NYSE$CLF

Cleveland-Cliffs Inc · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Cleveland-Cliffs reported a net loss of $204 million and revenues of $5.0 billion for Q4 2022, with free cash flow of $262 million.

Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. reported full-year and fourth-quarter results for the period ended December 31, 2022. The company reported Q4 revenues of $5.0 billion and a net loss of $204 million. Despite the loss, the company generated healthy free cash flow of $262 million and achieved its targeted unit cost reduction of $80 per net ton.

  • Q4 2022 consolidated revenues were $5.0 billion, compared to $5.3 billion in the prior-year fourth quarter.
  • The Company recorded a net loss of $204 million, corresponding to a loss of $0.41 per diluted share attributable to Cliffs shareholders.
  • Fourth-quarter 2022 Adjusted EBITDA was $123 million, compared to $1.5 billion in the fourth quarter of 2021.
  • The company expects a $115 per ton increase on fixed price contracts for its direct automotive business in 2023 compared to 2022.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$5.04B

Previous: $5.35B-5.6%
EPS (adj)

-$0.30

Previous: $1.78-116.9%
Adjusted EBITDA

$123M

Previous: $1.46B-91.6%
Steel Shipments

3.8K

Previous: 3.4K+13.4%
Avg Selling Price

$1.16K

Previous: $1.42K-18.8%
Capital Expenditures

$227M

Previous: $232M-2.2%
Free Cash Flow

$262M

Previous: $905M-71.0%
Net Income

-$204M

Previous: $899M-122.7%
Operating Income

-$182M

Previous: $1.12B-116.3%
Gross Profit

-$60M

Previous: $1.27B-104.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$26M

Previous: $48M-45.8%
Total Assets

$18.8B

Previous: $19B-1.2%

Revenue & EPS history

Cleveland-Cliffs · Revenue · Quarterly

$5.04B

Q4 2022-5.6%vs Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 5 of 15 quarters(33%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Cleveland-Cliffs · $5.87B total across 1 segment · Q3 2021

  • Steelmaking
    $5.87B

Forward guidance

Cleveland-Cliffs expects improved profitability throughout 2023, driven by higher fixed price contracts, declining unit costs, and improved sales volumes. The company anticipates a $115 per ton increase on fixed price contracts for its direct automotive business and expects its Q1 2023 Adjusted EBITDA to exceed Q4 2022 performance.

Tailwinds

  • Expected $115 per ton increase on fixed price contracts for direct automotive business.
  • Anticipated $2 billion reduction in Steelmaking COGS in 2023 compared to 2022.
  • Expected sequential decline of $50 per ton in Steelmaking unit costs during Q1 2023.
  • Anticipated further reductions in unit costs into Q2 and Q3 2023.
  • Expected Q1 2023 Adjusted EBITDA to exceed Q4 2022 performance.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022

Historical avgQ4 2022

+0.8%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.8%

Avg return

5 days after

-2.5%

Avg return

30 days after

55%

40 / 73 earnings

Positive

+23.1%

Q2 2018

Best reaction

-21.1%

Q4 2020

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-4.6%+0.3%+10.0%
Q4 2025-16.4%-29.5%-37.0%
Q3 2025+21.4%-1.4%-15.5%
Q2 2025-0.7%-1.9%+9.9%
Q1 2025-15.9%-10.7%-10.5%
Q4 2024-3.2%-2.8%-16.3%
Q3 2024-12.5%-3.0%-6.3%
Q2 2024+4.7%+2.0%-15.4%
Q1 2024-10.9%-14.1%-17.6%
Q4 2023+9.3%+10.4%+10.2%
Q3 2023+7.3%+9.9%+15.5%
Q2 2023+9.9%+7.0%-5.1%
Q1 2023-3.8%-3.1%-10.6%
Q4 2022+2.4%-0.6%-11.4%
Q3 2022-5.0%-13.4%+2.4%
Q2 2022-3.4%-2.9%+3.8%
Q1 2022-6.2%-7.2%-26.3%
Q4 2021-11.8%-5.2%+23.4%
Q3 2021+20.1%+17.2%+3.7%
Q2 2021+1.9%+5.1%+8.5%
Q1 2021+5.5%+9.6%+5.9%
Q4 2020-21.1%-13.1%-2.0%
Q3 2020+3.0%-3.5%+11.6%
Q2 2020-10.8%-5.9%+11.5%
Q1 2020-8.9%-14.9%+36.7%
Q4 2019-6.7%-15.0%-58.0%
Q3 2019+0.1%+3.6%+11.2%
Q2 2019+3.1%+0.6%-24.9%
Q1 2019+6.1%+5.0%-2.1%
Q4 2018+6.9%+5.2%-10.3%
Q3 2018-1.2%-11.2%-10.3%
Q2 2018+23.1%+22.2%+11.5%
Q1 2018+1.0%+4.0%+19.7%
Q4 2017-8.6%-11.0%-10.3%
Q3 2017-8.3%-8.2%-17.6%
Q2 2017-8.2%-3.6%+1.2%
Q1 2017-6.5%-7.8%-14.6%
Q4 2016+17.1%+26.4%-8.2%
Q3 2016-12.4%-12.1%+59.8%
Q2 2016+0.8%+1.4%-26.5%
Q1 2016+22.3%
Q4 2015+4.6%
Q3 2015+4.5%
Q2 2015-10.8%
Q1 2015-11.7%
Q4 2014+5.9%
Q3 2014+17.2%
Q2 2014-0.8%
Q1 2014-1.6%
Q4 2013+5.3%
Q3 2013+6.7%
Q2 2013+7.7%
Q1 2013+21.0%
Q4 2012-19.6%
Q3 2012-12.3%
Q2 2012-9.6%
Q1 2012-4.3%
Q4 2011-2.9%
Q3 2011+2.5%
Q2 2011-4.0%
Q1 2011-0.2%
Q1 2009+3.9%
Q4 2010+3.9%
Q3 2010+4.7%
Q2 2010+4.5%
Q1 2010+1.5%
Q4 2007+13.1%
Q4 2009+13.1%
Q3 2009+1.7%
Q3 2008+1.7%
Q2 2008+10.2%
Q2 2009+10.2%
Q4 2008+10.2%

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