NYSE$CARR

Carrier Global Corp · Q4 2025 earnings

Q4 2025 earnings · · Before market open · Investor relations

Briefing

Carrier reported Q4 2025 net sales of $4.8B with adjusted EPS of $0.34.

Fourth-quarter net sales decreased 6% to $4.8 billion with organic sales down 9% on weak Americas residential volumes. GAAP EPS from continuing operations was $0.03 and adjusted EPS was $0.34. Full-year sales were $21.75 billion; management guided ~$2.80 adjusted EPS for 2026.

  • Q4 net sales $4.8B; organic sales -9%.
  • Adjusted EPS $0.34; GAAP EPS $0.03.
  • Americas residential down 38% in CSA segment.
  • 2026 adjusted EPS guide ~$2.80.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$4.84B

Previous: $5.15B-6.0%
EPS (adj)

$0.34

Previous: $0.54-37.0%
Organic Sales Growth

1.0%

Previous: 6.0%-83.3%
GAAP Operating Margin

6.4%

No prior period
Adj. Operating Margin

13.2%

No prior period
Share Repurchases

$250M

No prior period
Net Income

$28M

Previous: $2.55B-98.9%
Operating Income

$307M

Previous: $730M-57.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Carrier · Revenue · Quarterly

$4.84B

Q4 2025-6%vs Q4 2024
Beat estimate in 5 of 15 quarters(33%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

2026 adjusted EPS ~$2.80; Riello divestiture ~$350M revenue headwind and ~$0.03 EPS impact.

Tailwinds

  • Commercial HVAC double-digit growth expected.
  • Productivity and cost actions.

Headwinds

  • Americas residential weakness.
  • Organic sales pressure in Q4.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2025

Historical avgQ4 2025

+0.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.9%

Avg return

5 days after

+6.5%

Avg return

30 days after

50%

15 / 30 earnings

Positive

+11.8%

Q1 2020

Best reaction

-10.6%

Q2 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+5.9%+4.0%+3.6%
Q4 2025-0.7%+3.6%-8.2%
Q3 2025+0.9%+2.1%-6.7%
Q2 2025-10.6%-16.5%-17.5%
Q1 2025+11.6%+12.2%+13.8%
Q4 2024-1.6%-1.7%-3.0%
Q3 2024-7.8%-6.7%-3.7%
Q2 2024+1.2%+2.2%+8.0%
Q1 2024+10.5%+12.3%+19.9%
Q4 2023-4.3%-0.4%+5.8%
Q3 2023-1.1%+1.3%+12.6%
Q2 2023+8.4%+9.9%+1.1%
Q1 2023-3.1%-0.3%-1.7%
Q4 2022-2.4%-2.9%+0.0%
Q3 2022+7.6%+6.9%+19.0%
Q2 2022+2.5%+2.2%+1.8%
Q1 2022-4.9%-4.7%-0.1%
Q4 2021+4.9%-0.5%-4.2%
Q3 2021-1.7%-1.4%+4.2%
Q2 2021+7.1%+10.9%+13.1%
Q1 2021-2.0%-3.1%+3.2%
Q4 2018-6.3%-6.1%-1.2%
Q4 2020-6.3%-6.1%-1.2%
Q3 2019+0.3%+11.0%+13.5%
Q3 2020+0.3%+11.0%+13.5%
Q2 2019+2.7%+4.5%+12.6%
Q2 2020+0.2%+2.2%+11.5%
Q4 2019-3.1%-9.0%+20.9%
Q1 2019-3.1%-9.0%+20.9%
Q1 2020+11.8%+0.2%+43.6%

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