NYSE$CARR

Carrier Global Corp · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported strong financial results for the fourth quarter and full year of 2022.

Carrier's Q4 2022 sales were $5.1 billion, down 1% compared to the prior year, but included organic sales growth of 5%. GAAP EPS was $0.32 and adjusted EPS was $0.40. Net cash flow from operating activities was $1.1 billion and free cash flow was $983 million.

  • Sales of $5.1 billion, down 1% compared to 2021 including 5% organic growth
  • GAAP EPS of $0.32 and adjusted EPS of $0.40
  • Net cash flow from operating activities of $1.1 billion
  • Free cash flow of $983 million

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$5.11B

Previous: $5.13B-0.5%
EPS (adj)

$0.40

Previous: $0.44-9.1%
Organic Sales Growth

5.0%

Previous: 11.0%-54.5%
Free Cash Flow

$983M

Previous: $775M+26.8%
Net Income

$270M

Previous: $324M-16.7%
Operating Income

$433M

Previous: $463M-6.5%
Gross Profit

$1.25B

Previous: $1.37B-8.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$3.52B

Previous: $2.99B+17.8%
Total Assets

$26.1B

Previous: $26.2B-0.3%
Stock-Based Comp

$19M

Previous: $32M-40.6%

Revenue & EPS history

Carrier · Revenue · Quarterly

$5.11B

Q4 2022-0.5%vs Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 5 of 15 quarters(33%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Carrier is announcing the following outlook for 2023: Sales of ~$22 billion with low to mid-single digit organic growth. Adjusted operating margin of ~14%, includes ~50 bps negative impact from TCC. Adjusted EPS of $2.50 - $2.60, up high-single to low-double digits. Free cash flow of ~$1.9 billion

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022

Historical avgQ4 2022

+0.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.9%

Avg return

5 days after

+6.5%

Avg return

30 days after

50%

15 / 30 earnings

Positive

+11.8%

Q1 2020

Best reaction

-10.6%

Q2 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+5.9%+4.0%+3.6%
Q4 2025-0.7%+3.6%-8.2%
Q3 2025+0.9%+2.1%-6.7%
Q2 2025-10.6%-16.5%-17.5%
Q1 2025+11.6%+12.2%+13.8%
Q4 2024-1.6%-1.7%-3.0%
Q3 2024-7.8%-6.7%-3.7%
Q2 2024+1.2%+2.2%+8.0%
Q1 2024+10.5%+12.3%+19.9%
Q4 2023-4.3%-0.4%+5.8%
Q3 2023-1.1%+1.3%+12.6%
Q2 2023+8.4%+9.9%+1.1%
Q1 2023-3.1%-0.3%-1.7%
Q4 2022-2.4%-2.9%+0.0%
Q3 2022+7.6%+6.9%+19.0%
Q2 2022+2.5%+2.2%+1.8%
Q1 2022-4.9%-4.7%-0.1%
Q4 2021+4.9%-0.5%-4.2%
Q3 2021-1.7%-1.4%+4.2%
Q2 2021+7.1%+10.9%+13.1%
Q1 2021-2.0%-3.1%+3.2%
Q4 2018-6.3%-6.1%-1.2%
Q4 2020-6.3%-6.1%-1.2%
Q3 2019+0.3%+11.0%+13.5%
Q3 2020+0.3%+11.0%+13.5%
Q2 2019+2.7%+4.5%+12.6%
Q2 2020+0.2%+2.2%+11.5%
Q4 2019-3.1%-9.0%+20.9%
Q1 2019-3.1%-9.0%+20.9%
Q1 2020+11.8%+0.2%+43.6%

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