NYSE$CARR

Carrier Global Corp · Q3 2021 earnings

Q3 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported strong sales and raised outlook, driven by continued growth across the portfolio.

Carrier Global Corporation reported a strong third quarter with sales of $5.3 billion, up 7% compared to 2020, including 4% organic growth. GAAP EPS was $0.53 and adjusted EPS was $0.71. The company raised its full-year 2021 projected organic sales growth to ~16% and adjusted EPS to ~$2.20.

  • Sales of $5.3 billion, up 7% compared to 2020 including 4% organic growth
  • GAAP EPS of $0.53 and adjusted EPS of $0.71
  • Net cash flow from operating activities of $579 million and free cash flow of $505 million
  • Raising full-year 2021 projected organic sales growth to ~16%, ~13% organic

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$5.34B

Previous: $5B+6.8%
EPS (adj)

$0.71

Previous: $0.67+6.0%
Organic Sales Growth

4.0%

Previous: 3.0%+33.3%
Free Cash Flow

$480M

Previous: $741M-35.2%
Net Income

$480M

Previous: $741M-35.2%
Operating Income

$828M

Previous: $1.08B-23.4%
Gross Profit

$1.6B

Previous: $1.56B+2.6%
Cash & Equivalents

$2.67B

Previous: $3.85B-30.6%
Total Assets

$25.8B

Previous: $25.7B+0.2%
Stock-Based Comp

$20M

Previous: $21M-4.8%

Revenue & EPS history

Carrier · Revenue · Quarterly

$5.34B

Q3 2021+6.8%vs Q3 2020
Beat estimate in 7 of 11 quarters(64%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Carrier’s updated outlook for 2021 is as follows including Chubb results:

Tailwinds

  • Sales Organic * +~13% Y/Y
  • Acquisitions +1% Y/Y
  • FX +2% Y/Y
  • Adjusted Operating Margin *>13.5%
  • Adjusted EPS *~$2.20

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2021

Historical avgQ3 2021

+0.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.9%

Avg return

5 days after

+6.5%

Avg return

30 days after

50%

15 / 30 earnings

Positive

+11.8%

Q1 2020

Best reaction

-10.6%

Q2 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+5.9%+4.0%+3.6%
Q4 2025-0.7%+3.6%-8.2%
Q3 2025+0.9%+2.1%-6.7%
Q2 2025-10.6%-16.5%-17.5%
Q1 2025+11.6%+12.2%+13.8%
Q4 2024-1.6%-1.7%-3.0%
Q3 2024-7.8%-6.7%-3.7%
Q2 2024+1.2%+2.2%+8.0%
Q1 2024+10.5%+12.3%+19.9%
Q4 2023-4.3%-0.4%+5.8%
Q3 2023-1.1%+1.3%+12.6%
Q2 2023+8.4%+9.9%+1.1%
Q1 2023-3.1%-0.3%-1.7%
Q4 2022-2.4%-2.9%+0.0%
Q3 2022+7.6%+6.9%+19.0%
Q2 2022+2.5%+2.2%+1.8%
Q1 2022-4.9%-4.7%-0.1%
Q4 2021+4.9%-0.5%-4.2%
Q3 2021-1.7%-1.4%+4.2%
Q2 2021+7.1%+10.9%+13.1%
Q1 2021-2.0%-3.1%+3.2%
Q4 2018-6.3%-6.1%-1.2%
Q4 2020-6.3%-6.1%-1.2%
Q3 2019+0.3%+11.0%+13.5%
Q3 2020+0.3%+11.0%+13.5%
Q2 2019+2.7%+4.5%+12.6%
Q2 2020+0.2%+2.2%+11.5%
Q4 2019-3.1%-9.0%+20.9%
Q1 2019-3.1%-9.0%+20.9%
Q1 2020+11.8%+0.2%+43.6%

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