NYSE$CARR

Carrier Global Corp · Q1 2024 earnings

Q1 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported strong financial results and reaffirmed full year earnings guidance.

Carrier Global Corporation reported strong first quarter results with net sales up 17% compared to the prior year, including 2% organic growth. Adjusted operating margins expanded by 280 basis points. The company reaffirmed its full year earnings guidance and expects to resume share repurchases in 2024.

  • Net sales increased by 17% compared to Q1 2023, with organic sales up by 2%.
  • GAAP EPS was $0.29, while adjusted EPS reached $0.62.
  • Adjusted operating margin expanded by 280 basis points year over year.
  • Full year 2024 adjusted EPS guidance is maintained despite a $0.05 headwind from earlier business exits.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$6.18B

Previous: $5.27B+17.2%
EPS

$0.29

Previous: $0.52-44.2%
GAAP Operating Margin

7.1%

No prior period
Adj. Operating Margin

14.1%

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$104M

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

$289M

Previous: $387M-25.3%
Net Income

$289M

Previous: $387M-25.3%
Operating Income

$500M

Previous: $555M-9.9%
Cash & Equivalents

$1.31B

Previous: $3.35B-60.8%
Total Assets

$40.8B

Previous: $26.4B+54.5%
R&D Expense

$224M

No prior period
Stock-Based Comp

$22M

Previous: $22M+0.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Carrier · Revenue · Quarterly

$6.18B

Q1 2024+17.2%vs Q1 2023
Beat estimate in 5 of 15 quarters(33%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Carrier updated the following guidance for 2024, which includes Access Solutions, Commercial Refrigeration, and Industrial Fire for half a year:

Tailwinds

  • Sales: ~$26B
  • Organic Sales: up MSDFX 0%
  • Acquisitions: +18%
  • Adjusted Operating Margin: ~15.5%
  • Adjusted EPS: $2.80 - $2.90

Headwinds

  • Divestitures: (6%)
  • Free Cash Flow: ~$0.4B Includes ~$2B of expected tax payments on the gains from the announced business exits, restructuring, and transaction-related costs
  • When the company provides expectations for organic sales, adjusted operating profit, adjusted operating margin, adjusted EPS and free cash flow on a forward-looking basis, a reconciliation of the differences between the non-GAAP expectations and the corresponding GAAP measures generally is not available without unreasonable effort.
  • This communication contains statements which, to the extent they are not statements of historical or present fact, constitute "forward-looking statements" under the securities laws.
  • All forward-looking statements involve risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied in the forward-looking statements.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2024

Historical avgQ1 2024

+0.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.9%

Avg return

5 days after

+6.5%

Avg return

30 days after

50%

15 / 30 earnings

Positive

+11.8%

Q1 2020

Best reaction

-10.6%

Q2 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+5.9%+4.0%+3.6%
Q4 2025-0.7%+3.6%-8.2%
Q3 2025+0.9%+2.1%-6.7%
Q2 2025-10.6%-16.5%-17.5%
Q1 2025+11.6%+12.2%+13.8%
Q4 2024-1.6%-1.7%-3.0%
Q3 2024-7.8%-6.7%-3.7%
Q2 2024+1.2%+2.2%+8.0%
Q1 2024+10.5%+12.3%+19.9%
Q4 2023-4.3%-0.4%+5.8%
Q3 2023-1.1%+1.3%+12.6%
Q2 2023+8.4%+9.9%+1.1%
Q1 2023-3.1%-0.3%-1.7%
Q4 2022-2.4%-2.9%+0.0%
Q3 2022+7.6%+6.9%+19.0%
Q2 2022+2.5%+2.2%+1.8%
Q1 2022-4.9%-4.7%-0.1%
Q4 2021+4.9%-0.5%-4.2%
Q3 2021-1.7%-1.4%+4.2%
Q2 2021+7.1%+10.9%+13.1%
Q1 2021-2.0%-3.1%+3.2%
Q4 2018-6.3%-6.1%-1.2%
Q4 2020-6.3%-6.1%-1.2%
Q3 2019+0.3%+11.0%+13.5%
Q3 2020+0.3%+11.0%+13.5%
Q2 2019+2.7%+4.5%+12.6%
Q2 2020+0.2%+2.2%+11.5%
Q4 2019-3.1%-9.0%+20.9%
Q1 2019-3.1%-9.0%+20.9%
Q1 2020+11.8%+0.2%+43.6%

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