NYSE$CARR

Carrier Global Corp · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Carrier's Q4 2023 financial results were strong, with EPS up over 30% compared to the prior year.

Carrier Global Corporation reported strong financial results for the fourth quarter and full year of 2023. The company's fourth quarter sales were $5.1B. GAAP EPS was $0.49, up 53% vs. 2022 and adjusted EPS was $0.53, up 33% vs. 2022.

  • Sales of $5.1B
  • Operating margin expansion of 340 basis points and adjusted operating margin expansion of 80 basis points
  • GAAP EPS of $0.49, up 53% vs. 2022 and adjusted EPS of $0.53, up 33% vs. 2022
  • Net cash flow from operating activities of $1.1B and free cash flow of $829M

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$5.1B

Previous: $5.11B-0.1%
EPS (adj)

$0.53

Previous: $0.40+32.5%
Organic Sales Growth

0.0%

Previous: 5.0%-100.0%
Capital Expenditures

-$233M

No prior period
Net Income

$420M

Previous: $270M+55.6%
Operating Income

$607M

Previous: $433M+40.2%
Gross Profit

$22.1B

Previous: $1.25B+1672.1%
R&D Expense

$170M

No prior period
Stock-Based Comp

$18M

Previous: $19M-5.3%

Revenue & EPS history

Carrier · Revenue · Quarterly

$5.1B

Q4 2023-0.1%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 5 of 15 quarters(33%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Carrier is announcing the following outlook for 2024: Sales ~$26.5B Adjusted Operating Margin* 15.0% - 15.5% Adjusted EPS* $2.80 - $2.90 Free Cash Flow* ~$0.7B

Tailwinds

  • Sales ~$26.5B
  • Organic* up MSDFX 0%
  • Acquisitions +20%
  • Divestitures (5%)
  • Adjusted Operating Margin* 15.0% - 15.5%

Headwinds

  • Adjusted EPS* $2.80 - $2.90
  • Free Cash Flow* ~$0.7B
  • Includes $1.7B of expected tax payments on the gains from the announced business exits, restructuring, and transaction-related costs
  • Global Access Solutions and Commercial Refrigeration included through June 30, 2024
  • Viessmann Climate Solutions sales expected to grow mid-single-digits

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

+0.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.9%

Avg return

5 days after

+6.5%

Avg return

30 days after

50%

15 / 30 earnings

Positive

+11.8%

Q1 2020

Best reaction

-10.6%

Q2 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+5.9%+4.0%+3.6%
Q4 2025-0.7%+3.6%-8.2%
Q3 2025+0.9%+2.1%-6.7%
Q2 2025-10.6%-16.5%-17.5%
Q1 2025+11.6%+12.2%+13.8%
Q4 2024-1.6%-1.7%-3.0%
Q3 2024-7.8%-6.7%-3.7%
Q2 2024+1.2%+2.2%+8.0%
Q1 2024+10.5%+12.3%+19.9%
Q4 2023-4.3%-0.4%+5.8%
Q3 2023-1.1%+1.3%+12.6%
Q2 2023+8.4%+9.9%+1.1%
Q1 2023-3.1%-0.3%-1.7%
Q4 2022-2.4%-2.9%+0.0%
Q3 2022+7.6%+6.9%+19.0%
Q2 2022+2.5%+2.2%+1.8%
Q1 2022-4.9%-4.7%-0.1%
Q4 2021+4.9%-0.5%-4.2%
Q3 2021-1.7%-1.4%+4.2%
Q2 2021+7.1%+10.9%+13.1%
Q1 2021-2.0%-3.1%+3.2%
Q4 2018-6.3%-6.1%-1.2%
Q4 2020-6.3%-6.1%-1.2%
Q3 2019+0.3%+11.0%+13.5%
Q3 2020+0.3%+11.0%+13.5%
Q2 2019+2.7%+4.5%+12.6%
Q2 2020+0.2%+2.2%+11.5%
Q4 2019-3.1%-9.0%+20.9%
Q1 2019-3.1%-9.0%+20.9%
Q1 2020+11.8%+0.2%+43.6%

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