NYSE$CARR

Carrier Global Corp · Q3 2023 earnings

Q3 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported strong financial results and raised full year adjusted operating margin and adjusted EPS guidance.

Carrier's Q3 2023 results showed a 5% increase in sales compared to the prior year, with organic sales up 3%. The company reported GAAP EPS of $0.42 and adjusted EPS of $0.89. Net cash inflows from operating activities were $1.04 billion, and free cash flow generation was $949 million. The company is increasing adjusted EPS guidance for 2023 from $2.55 - $2.65 to approximately $2.70.

  • Net sales increased by 5% compared to Q3 2022, with organic sales up 3%.
  • GAAP EPS was $0.42, and adjusted EPS was $0.89.
  • Net cash inflows from operating activities reached $1.04 billion, with free cash flow of $949 million.
  • Adjusted EPS guidance for 2023 increased from $2.55 - $2.65 to approximately $2.70.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$5.73B

Previous: $5.45B+5.1%
EPS (adj)

$0.89

Previous: $0.70+27.1%
Organic Sales Growth

3.0%

Previous: 8.0%-62.5%
Capital Expenditures

-$92M

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

$381M

Previous: $1.33B-71.4%
Net Income

$381M

Previous: $1.33B-71.4%
Operating Income

$645M

Previous: $1.53B-57.7%
Gross Profit

$1.82B

Previous: $1.48B+23.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$3.9B

Previous: $2.99B+30.7%
Total Assets

$26.5B

Previous: $25.4B+4.7%
R&D Expense

$157M

No prior period
Stock-Based Comp

$23M

Previous: $17M+35.3%

Revenue & EPS history

Carrier · Revenue · Quarterly

$5.73B

Q3 2023+5.1%vs Q3 2022
Beat estimate in 5 of 15 quarters(33%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Carrier updated its full-year 2023 guidance, expecting sales over $22 billion, organic sales up in the mid-single digits, adjusted operating margin of approximately 14.5%, adjusted EPS of approximately $2.70, and free cash flow over $1.9 billion.

Tailwinds

  • Sales over $22B
  • Organic sales up MSD
  • FX ~0%
  • Acquisitions / Divestitures, net +~5%
  • Adjusted Operating Margin *~ 14.5%

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2023

Historical avgQ3 2023

+0.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.9%

Avg return

5 days after

+6.5%

Avg return

30 days after

50%

15 / 30 earnings

Positive

+11.8%

Q1 2020

Best reaction

-10.6%

Q2 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+5.9%+4.0%+3.6%
Q4 2025-0.7%+3.6%-8.2%
Q3 2025+0.9%+2.1%-6.7%
Q2 2025-10.6%-16.5%-17.5%
Q1 2025+11.6%+12.2%+13.8%
Q4 2024-1.6%-1.7%-3.0%
Q3 2024-7.8%-6.7%-3.7%
Q2 2024+1.2%+2.2%+8.0%
Q1 2024+10.5%+12.3%+19.9%
Q4 2023-4.3%-0.4%+5.8%
Q3 2023-1.1%+1.3%+12.6%
Q2 2023+8.4%+9.9%+1.1%
Q1 2023-3.1%-0.3%-1.7%
Q4 2022-2.4%-2.9%+0.0%
Q3 2022+7.6%+6.9%+19.0%
Q2 2022+2.5%+2.2%+1.8%
Q1 2022-4.9%-4.7%-0.1%
Q4 2021+4.9%-0.5%-4.2%
Q3 2021-1.7%-1.4%+4.2%
Q2 2021+7.1%+10.9%+13.1%
Q1 2021-2.0%-3.1%+3.2%
Q4 2018-6.3%-6.1%-1.2%
Q4 2020-6.3%-6.1%-1.2%
Q3 2019+0.3%+11.0%+13.5%
Q3 2020+0.3%+11.0%+13.5%
Q2 2019+2.7%+4.5%+12.6%
Q2 2020+0.2%+2.2%+11.5%
Q4 2019-3.1%-9.0%+20.9%
Q1 2019-3.1%-9.0%+20.9%
Q1 2020+11.8%+0.2%+43.6%

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