NYSE$BFH

Bread Financial Holdings Inc · Q3 2023 earnings

Q3 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Bread Financial reported Q3 2023 results, demonstrating financial resilience amidst consumer spending moderation and credit tightening.

Bread Financial reported a 5% increase in revenue and a 28% increase in net income compared to the third quarter of 2022. The company's results reflect prudent growth and expense discipline, with PPNR growing year-over-year for the tenth consecutive quarter. The company is proactively developing plans to address potential changes in regulation related to credit card late fees.

  • Revenue increased by 5% year-over-year, driven by higher finance charge yields and non-interest income.
  • Net income increased by 28% compared to the third quarter of 2022.
  • Common equity tier 1 capital ratio increased by 140 basis points to 12.9%.
  • The company completed an authorized $35 million share repurchase plan.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.08B

Previous: $979M+10.5%
EPS (adj)

$3.46

Previous: $2.69+28.6%
Delinquency Rate

6.3%

Previous: 5.7%+10.5%
CET1 Capital Ratio

12.9%

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$10M

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

$171M

Previous: $134M+27.6%
Net Income

$171M

Previous: $134M+27.6%
Operating Income

$396M

Previous: $360M+10.0%
Gross Profit

$778M

Previous: $675M+15.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$3.38B

Previous: $3.58B-5.7%
Total Assets

$21.6B

Previous: $22B-1.6%
Stock-Based Comp

$10M

Previous: $8M+25.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Bread Financial · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.08B

Q3 2023+10.5%vs Q3 2022
Beat estimate in 14 of 15 quarters(93%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Bread Financial updated its full year 2023 outlook to reflect slower sales growth as a result of ongoing strategic credit tightening and moderating consumer spending, both of which pressure loan growth and the net loss rate.

Tailwinds

  • The outlook assumes continued pressure from compounded inflation.
  • The outlook assumes interest rate increases, if any, by the Federal Reserve will result in a nominal benefit to total net interest income.
  • Total revenue growth for 2023, excluding the gain on portfolio sale, is anticipated to be slightly above average loan growth.
  • Full year net interest margin is expected to be similar to that of 2022.
  • The company remains focused on disciplined expense management as they adjust the pace and timing of investments to align with revenue and growth outlook.

Headwinds

  • Slower sales growth is expected due to ongoing strategic credit tightening and moderating consumer spending.
  • These factors are expected to pressure loan growth.
  • These factors are expected to pressure the net loss rate.
  • The macroeconomic landscape is expected to be more challenging.
  • The company updated its expectation of a net loss rate to the mid 7% range for 2023.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2023

Historical avgQ3 2023

+0.8%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.3%

Avg return

30 days after

59%

41 / 69 earnings

Positive

+17.8%

Q3 2020

Best reaction

-19.0%

Q4 2015

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.1%-6.6%-6.5%
Q4 2025+7.4%+10.6%+3.9%
Q3 2025+8.4%+7.3%+6.9%
Q2 2025+0.6%-2.0%+3.5%
Q1 2025+2.5%+1.2%+5.7%
Q4 2024-0.5%-5.4%-15.2%
Q3 2024+0.2%-1.8%+13.8%
Q2 2024+9.2%+8.1%+12.4%
Q1 2024+4.2%+3.9%+17.9%
Q4 2023+16.4%+20.3%+20.6%
Q3 2023-2.5%-2.8%-2.2%
Q2 2023+12.0%+11.4%+1.7%
Q1 2023+3.3%-7.0%+11.0%
Q4 2022-5.8%-4.0%-7.2%
Q3 2022+5.9%+12.6%+21.3%
Q2 2022-5.2%-10.0%-8.0%
Q1 2022+6.0%+3.5%+1.8%
Q4 2021+1.7%+5.0%+1.8%
Q3 2021-3.7%-2.1%+2.4%
Q2 2021-5.9%-6.1%-1.2%
Q1 2021+9.3%+10.9%+12.2%
Q4 2020+0.1%+3.2%+42.8%
Q3 2020+17.8%+31.1%+70.4%
Q2 2020+4.3%+1.1%+1.5%
Q1 2020+10.1%+29.8%+14.6%
Q4 2019-6.3%-6.6%-21.7%
Q3 2019-15.3%-16.0%-15.6%
Q2 2019+0.5%+2.9%-8.0%
Q1 2019-4.9%-2.9%-13.0%
Q4 2018-8.7%-6.0%-7.5%
Q3 2018+2.2%-2.8%-6.3%
Q2 2018+3.1%+2.8%+5.3%
Q1 2018-2.0%-3.9%-1.6%
Q4 2017+0.9%-1.9%-6.7%
Q3 2017+4.8%+5.0%-1.8%
Q2 2017-10.2%-8.1%-16.0%
Q1 2017+7.8%+9.3%-2.3%
Q4 2016-2.2%+0.5%+7.7%
Q3 2016-6.9%-5.1%+1.3%
Q2 2016+7.5%+8.4%-6.9%
Q1 2016-5.5%
Q4 2015-19.0%
Q3 2015+7.2%
Q2 2015-9.1%
Q1 2015-2.5%
Q4 2014-6.1%
Q3 2014+8.8%
Q2 2014-1.6%
Q1 2014-7.5%
Q4 2013+13.2%
Q3 2013+2.5%
Q2 2013+3.0%
Q1 2013+1.9%
Q4 2012+2.2%
Q3 2012+4.0%
Q2 2012+0.5%
Q1 2012+0.5%
Q4 2011-0.3%
Q3 2011+0.7%
Q2 2011-3.7%
Q1 2010+1.0%
Q1 2011+1.0%
Q4 2008-1.0%
Q4 2010-1.0%
Q3 2010+0.4%
Q3 2009+0.4%
Q4 2009-0.5%
Q2 2010-0.5%
Q2 2009-0.5%

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