NYSE$BFH

Bread Financial Holdings Inc · Q2 2020 earnings

Q2 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Alliance Data's second quarter results were announced, revealing challenges due to the unusual environment, but supported by actions taken in 2019 and at the outset of COVID-19, resulting in better than expected performance.

Alliance Data Systems Corporation reported a 27% decrease in consolidated revenue to $979 million compared to the second quarter of 2019. Income from continuing operations decreased 73% to $38 million, and EPS decreased 70% to $0.81. Adjusted EBITDA, net decreased 50% to $156 million. The company is maintaining an elevated reserve for loan loss, exceeding 13% of end of period receivables.

  • Sales activity improved progressively throughout the second quarter.
  • Expense reduction programs achieved approximately $50 million in cost savings.
  • Additional cost savings of more than $100 million are expected in the second half of 2020.
  • Credit metrics were better than expected.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$979M

Previous: $1.35B-27.4%
EPS (adj)

$1.86

Previous: $3.83-51.4%
Net Principal Loss Rate

7.6%

Previous: 6.1%+24.6%
Delinquency Rate

4.3%

Previous: 5.2%-17.3%
Free Cash Flow

$38.4M

Previous: $139M-72.4%
Net Income

$38.4M

Previous: $139M-72.4%
Operating Income

$175M

Previous: $337M-48.2%
Gross Profit

$487M

Previous: $694M-29.9%
Cash & Equivalents

$4.96B

Previous: $4.03B+23.2%
Total Assets

$22.9B

Previous: $30.7B-25.6%
Stock-Based Comp

$6.3M

Previous: $30.2M-79.1%

Revenue & EPS history

Bread Financial · Revenue · Quarterly

$979M

Q2 2020-27.4%vs Q2 2019
Beat estimate in 11 of 16 quarters(69%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Alliance Data expects to remain EBT and cash flow positive in 2020, with sufficient liquidity to manage through a period of anticipated significant stress. The company expects to enter 2021 as a much leaner organization.

Tailwinds

  • Alliance Data is working closely with clients on adjusting in-store and online strategies and marketing plans.
  • Home décor and beauty continue to be strong-performing verticals.
  • Multi-year Private Label Credit Card (PLCC) renewals were signed, including The Tile Shop.
  • A new PLCC commercial card program was launched with Floor & Decor.
  • A new multi-channel PLCC agreement was signed with SalonCentric.

Headwinds

  • Uncertain business environment.
  • Adapting to and supporting the needs of enterprise clients and cardmembers.
  • Strengthening financial position.
  • Investing strategically to drive future growth.
  • Macro-economic trends for the remainder of the year are uncertain.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2020

Historical avgQ2 2020

+0.8%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.3%

Avg return

30 days after

59%

41 / 69 earnings

Positive

+17.8%

Q3 2020

Best reaction

-19.0%

Q4 2015

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.1%-6.6%-6.5%
Q4 2025+7.4%+10.6%+3.9%
Q3 2025+8.4%+7.3%+6.9%
Q2 2025+0.6%-2.0%+3.5%
Q1 2025+2.5%+1.2%+5.7%
Q4 2024-0.5%-5.4%-15.2%
Q3 2024+0.2%-1.8%+13.8%
Q2 2024+9.2%+8.1%+12.4%
Q1 2024+4.2%+3.9%+17.9%
Q4 2023+16.4%+20.3%+20.6%
Q3 2023-2.5%-2.8%-2.2%
Q2 2023+12.0%+11.4%+1.7%
Q1 2023+3.3%-7.0%+11.0%
Q4 2022-5.8%-4.0%-7.2%
Q3 2022+5.9%+12.6%+21.3%
Q2 2022-5.2%-10.0%-8.0%
Q1 2022+6.0%+3.5%+1.8%
Q4 2021+1.7%+5.0%+1.8%
Q3 2021-3.7%-2.1%+2.4%
Q2 2021-5.9%-6.1%-1.2%
Q1 2021+9.3%+10.9%+12.2%
Q4 2020+0.1%+3.2%+42.8%
Q3 2020+17.8%+31.1%+70.4%
Q2 2020+4.3%+1.1%+1.5%
Q1 2020+10.1%+29.8%+14.6%
Q4 2019-6.3%-6.6%-21.7%
Q3 2019-15.3%-16.0%-15.6%
Q2 2019+0.5%+2.9%-8.0%
Q1 2019-4.9%-2.9%-13.0%
Q4 2018-8.7%-6.0%-7.5%
Q3 2018+2.2%-2.8%-6.3%
Q2 2018+3.1%+2.8%+5.3%
Q1 2018-2.0%-3.9%-1.6%
Q4 2017+0.9%-1.9%-6.7%
Q3 2017+4.8%+5.0%-1.8%
Q2 2017-10.2%-8.1%-16.0%
Q1 2017+7.8%+9.3%-2.3%
Q4 2016-2.2%+0.5%+7.7%
Q3 2016-6.9%-5.1%+1.3%
Q2 2016+7.5%+8.4%-6.9%
Q1 2016-5.5%
Q4 2015-19.0%
Q3 2015+7.2%
Q2 2015-9.1%
Q1 2015-2.5%
Q4 2014-6.1%
Q3 2014+8.8%
Q2 2014-1.6%
Q1 2014-7.5%
Q4 2013+13.2%
Q3 2013+2.5%
Q2 2013+3.0%
Q1 2013+1.9%
Q4 2012+2.2%
Q3 2012+4.0%
Q2 2012+0.5%
Q1 2012+0.5%
Q4 2011-0.3%
Q3 2011+0.7%
Q2 2011-3.7%
Q1 2010+1.0%
Q1 2011+1.0%
Q4 2008-1.0%
Q4 2010-1.0%
Q3 2010+0.4%
Q3 2009+0.4%
Q4 2009-0.5%
Q2 2010-0.5%
Q2 2009-0.5%

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