NYSE$BFH

Bread Financial Holdings Inc · Q1 2024 earnings

Q1 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Bread Financial reported net income driven by strong risk-adjusted loan yield and balance sheet strength in Q1 2024.

Bread Financial reported a net income of $134 million for Q1 2024, driven by strong risk-adjusted loan yields and proactive credit tightening initiatives. The company focused on strengthening its balance sheet, managing capital, and implementing strategies to mitigate the impact of the CFPB's final rule on credit card late fees.

  • Net income was $134 million, influenced by a robust risk-adjusted loan yield.
  • Reduced parent-level debt by $100 million and increased tangible book value by 20% year-over-year to $45.96.
  • Common Equity Tier 1 capital ratio increased 80 basis points year-over-year to 12.6%.
  • Implemented mitigation strategies for the CFPB's final rule on credit card late fees, expecting the financial impact to lessen over time.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.05B

Previous: $1.12B-5.8%
EPS

$2.70

Previous: $9.08-70.3%
Credit Sales

$6B

Previous: $7.37B-18.6%
Average Receivables

$18.5B

No prior period
Net Principal Loss Rate

8.5%

No prior period
Delinquency Rate

6.2%

Previous: 5.7%+8.8%
CET1 Capital Ratio

12.6%

No prior period
Tangible Book Value/Share

$45.96

No prior period
ROATCE

23.1%

No prior period
Payment Rate

14.8%

No prior period
Reserve Rate

12.4%

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$17M

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

$134M

Previous: $455M-70.5%
Net Income

$134M

Previous: $455M-70.5%
Operating Income

$334M

Previous: $614M-45.6%
Gross Profit

$731M

Previous: $1.01B-27.6%
Stock-Based Comp

$15M

Previous: $9M+66.7%

Revenue & EPS history

Bread Financial · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.05B

Q1 2024-5.8%vs Q1 2023
Beat estimate in 14 of 15 quarters(93%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Bread Financial anticipates slower sales growth due to strategic credit tightening and moderating consumer spending, which will pressure loan and revenue growth and the net loss rate. The company expects multiple interest rate decreases by the Federal Reserve, which will pressure total net interest income. Factoring in the potential impacts of the CFPB late fee rule based on a May 14 effective date.

Tailwinds

  • Efficiencies gained from ongoing investments in technology modernization and digital advancement.
  • Disciplined expense management.
  • Lower loss rate is projected in the second half of 2024 versus the first due to strategic credit actions.
  • Assumed gradual modest improvement in economic conditions throughout the year.
  • The rule (CFPB) is expected to reduce fourth quarter total revenue in the mid-teen range on an isolated basis relative to the fourth quarter of 2023, net of mitigation actions. This reflects an improvement from our previously disclosed estimated impact.

Headwinds

  • Slower sales growth due to ongoing strategic credit tightening.
  • Continued moderation in consumer spending.
  • Multiple interest rate decreases by the Federal Reserve will pressure total net interest income.
  • Impact of the CFPB late fee rule.
  • Higher reversals of interest and fees due to expected higher gross credit losses.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2024

Historical avgQ1 2024

+0.8%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.3%

Avg return

30 days after

59%

41 / 69 earnings

Positive

+17.8%

Q3 2020

Best reaction

-19.0%

Q4 2015

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.1%-6.6%-6.5%
Q4 2025+7.4%+10.6%+3.9%
Q3 2025+8.4%+7.3%+6.9%
Q2 2025+0.6%-2.0%+3.5%
Q1 2025+2.5%+1.2%+5.7%
Q4 2024-0.5%-5.4%-15.2%
Q3 2024+0.2%-1.8%+13.8%
Q2 2024+9.2%+8.1%+12.4%
Q1 2024+4.2%+3.9%+17.9%
Q4 2023+16.4%+20.3%+20.6%
Q3 2023-2.5%-2.8%-2.2%
Q2 2023+12.0%+11.4%+1.7%
Q1 2023+3.3%-7.0%+11.0%
Q4 2022-5.8%-4.0%-7.2%
Q3 2022+5.9%+12.6%+21.3%
Q2 2022-5.2%-10.0%-8.0%
Q1 2022+6.0%+3.5%+1.8%
Q4 2021+1.7%+5.0%+1.8%
Q3 2021-3.7%-2.1%+2.4%
Q2 2021-5.9%-6.1%-1.2%
Q1 2021+9.3%+10.9%+12.2%
Q4 2020+0.1%+3.2%+42.8%
Q3 2020+17.8%+31.1%+70.4%
Q2 2020+4.3%+1.1%+1.5%
Q1 2020+10.1%+29.8%+14.6%
Q4 2019-6.3%-6.6%-21.7%
Q3 2019-15.3%-16.0%-15.6%
Q2 2019+0.5%+2.9%-8.0%
Q1 2019-4.9%-2.9%-13.0%
Q4 2018-8.7%-6.0%-7.5%
Q3 2018+2.2%-2.8%-6.3%
Q2 2018+3.1%+2.8%+5.3%
Q1 2018-2.0%-3.9%-1.6%
Q4 2017+0.9%-1.9%-6.7%
Q3 2017+4.8%+5.0%-1.8%
Q2 2017-10.2%-8.1%-16.0%
Q1 2017+7.8%+9.3%-2.3%
Q4 2016-2.2%+0.5%+7.7%
Q3 2016-6.9%-5.1%+1.3%
Q2 2016+7.5%+8.4%-6.9%
Q1 2016-5.5%
Q4 2015-19.0%
Q3 2015+7.2%
Q2 2015-9.1%
Q1 2015-2.5%
Q4 2014-6.1%
Q3 2014+8.8%
Q2 2014-1.6%
Q1 2014-7.5%
Q4 2013+13.2%
Q3 2013+2.5%
Q2 2013+3.0%
Q1 2013+1.9%
Q4 2012+2.2%
Q3 2012+4.0%
Q2 2012+0.5%
Q1 2012+0.5%
Q4 2011-0.3%
Q3 2011+0.7%
Q2 2011-3.7%
Q1 2010+1.0%
Q1 2011+1.0%
Q4 2008-1.0%
Q4 2010-1.0%
Q3 2010+0.4%
Q3 2009+0.4%
Q4 2009-0.5%
Q2 2010-0.5%
Q2 2009-0.5%

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