NYSE$BCC

Boise Cascade Company · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Boise Cascade reported strong financial performance driven by growth strategies and shareholder returns.

Boise Cascade Company reported Q4 2023 net income of $97.5 million, or $2.44 per share, on sales of $1.6 billion. The company is optimistic about new single-family residential construction activity in 2024 and remains committed to a balanced approach to capital allocation.

  • Delivered strong financial performance in the fourth quarter.
  • Executed growth strategies through organic and acquisition initiatives.
  • Returned meaningful capital to shareholders through share price gains and dividends.
  • Optimistic about new single-family residential construction activity in 2024.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.64B

Previous: $1.63B+1.0%
EPS (adj)

$2.44

Previous: $2.95-17.3%
Capital Expenditures

-$116M

Previous: $52.3M-322.2%
Net Income

$97.5M

Previous: $117M-16.9%
Operating Income

$121M

Previous: $156M-22.2%
Gross Profit

$334M

Previous: $340M-1.6%
Stock-Based Comp

$3.89M

Previous: $3.18M+22.4%

Revenue & EPS history

Boise Cascade · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.64B

Q4 2023+1%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 9 of 14 quarters(64%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Industry forecasts for 2024 U.S. housing starts are generally consistent with actual housing starts of 1.42 million in 2023. Home affordability remains a challenge, but new residential construction is expected to remain an important source of supply for homebuyers. Home improvement spending is expected to remain robust compared to history, but recent industry forecasts project mid-single-digit declines in 2024.

Tailwinds

  • Recent declines in mortgage rates.
  • Homebuilders responding with various mechanisms to attract buyers.
  • Resilient economy.
  • Elevated mortgage rates which limits existing home inventory for sale.
  • Potential for future rate reductions has created optimism that single-family starts will reflect year-over-year growth.

Headwinds

  • Home affordability remains a challenge for consumers.
  • Multi-family starts may pull back from recent record highs due to capital costs for developers combined with cooling rents and elevated supply.
  • Economic uncertainty.
  • Higher borrowing costs.
  • Recent industry forecasts project mid-single-digit declines in 2024.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

-1.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.6%

Avg return

5 days after

-1.1%

Avg return

30 days after

47%

27 / 57 earnings

Positive

+20.1%

Q3 2015

Best reaction

-28.5%

Q4 2015

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-4.9%-9.5%-12.6%
Q4 2025+8.1%+2.7%-7.8%
Q3 2025+2.7%+3.4%+8.7%
Q1 2025-4.5%-4.2%-5.4%
Q4 2024-8.1%-10.7%-14.6%
Q3 2024+3.2%+6.0%+9.5%
Q2 2024+0.6%-1.4%-2.4%
Q1 2024-4.0%-1.7%-1.8%
Q4 2023-10.6%-7.5%+8.7%
Q3 2023+0.8%+12.3%+21.8%
Q2 2023+4.7%+7.4%+7.4%
Q1 2023+2.7%+8.0%+10.6%
Q4 2022-2.8%-4.8%-19.5%
Q3 2022-1.5%-2.9%+9.0%
Q2 2022-4.0%-2.2%-11.9%
Q1 2022-10.6%-7.9%-4.3%
Q4 2021-21.6%-7.5%-13.4%
Q3 2021+10.2%+23.2%+14.8%
Q2 2021+1.7%+4.4%+12.1%
Q1 2021+3.8%+5.1%-6.8%
Q4 2020-10.6%-3.6%+5.2%
Q3 2020+9.5%+17.3%+16.7%
Q2 2020+1.2%-4.7%+3.3%
Q1 2020+6.5%-2.3%+25.3%
Q4 2019-10.0%-13.4%-43.7%
Q3 2019+2.3%+4.8%+2.6%
Q2 2019+11.9%+9.1%+10.5%
Q1 2019-8.4%-7.5%-19.4%
Q4 2018+2.2%-3.1%-6.4%
Q3 2018-6.7%-12.0%-20.0%
Q2 2018+0.0%-0.9%+1.2%
Q1 2018+2.9%+4.7%+16.6%
Q4 2017-6.3%-9.8%-13.7%
Q3 2017+1.6%+5.1%+9.1%
Q2 2017+3.0%-0.3%-5.3%
Q1 2017-4.4%-4.2%-7.9%
Q4 2016-2.2%+5.4%-1.7%
Q3 2016-14.2%-19.9%-6.3%
Q2 2016-2.0%-0.0%-9.4%
Q1 2016-4.3%
Q4 2015-28.5%
Q3 2015+20.1%
Q2 2015-7.1%
Q1 2015-2.6%
Q4 2014-13.3%
Q3 2014+5.0%
Q2 2014+6.0%
Q1 2014-0.9%
Q4 2013+0.2%
Q3 2012+0.8%
Q3 2013+7.9%
Q2 2012-0.4%
Q2 2013+0.8%
Q4 2011-3.1%
Q1 2012-3.1%
Q1 2013+6.6%
Q4 2012-5.1%
Q3 2011

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