NYSE$BCC

Boise Cascade Company · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Boise Cascade reported a decrease in net income and sales compared to the same quarter last year, while facing challenges in the housing market.

Boise Cascade Company reported Q4 2022 net income of $117.4 million, or $2.95 per share, on sales of $1.6 billion. The results reflect a decrease in both net income and sales compared to the fourth quarter of 2021, driven by lower sales volumes in the Wood Products segment and decreased sales in the Building Materials Distribution segment.

  • Net income for Q4 2022 was $117.4 million, or $2.95 per share, compared to $169.1 million, or $4.26 per share, in Q4 2021.
  • Sales for Q4 2022 were $1.6 billion, a decrease of 9% compared to $1.8 billion in Q4 2021.
  • Wood Products sales decreased by 5% due to lower EWP sales volumes, offset partially by higher EWP sales prices and higher plywood sales volumes.
  • Building Materials Distribution sales decreased by 12% due to a sales volume decrease of 14%, offset partially by sales price increases of 2%.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.63B

Previous: $1.78B-8.6%
EPS (adj)

$2.95

Previous: $4.26-30.8%
Capital Expenditures

$52.3M

Previous: $55.1M-5.0%
Free Cash Flow

$175M

Previous: $84.8M+106.1%
Net Income

$117M

Previous: $169M-30.6%
Operating Income

$156M

Previous: $227M-31.5%
Gross Profit

$340M

Previous: $391M-13.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$998M

Previous: $749M+33.3%
Total Assets

$3.24B

Previous: $2.57B+26.0%
Stock-Based Comp

$3.18M

Previous: $2.23M+42.8%

Revenue & EPS history

Boise Cascade · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.63B

Q4 2022-8.6%vs Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 9 of 14 quarters(64%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Demand for the products we manufacture, as well as the products we purchase and distribute, is correlated with new residential construction, residential repair-and-remodeling activity and light commercial construction. While mortgage rates have declined from peak levels in late 2022 and home price increases have moderated, home affordability remains a challenge for consumers.

Tailwinds

  • While mortgage rates have declined from peak levels in late 2022 and home price increases have moderated, home affordability remains a challenge for consumers.
  • The Federal Reserve's upcoming actions in response to inflationary data and what impacts these actions have on mortgage rates and the broader economy will continue to influence the near-term demand environment.
  • As it relates to home improvement spending, the age of U.S. housing stock and elevated levels of homeowner equity provide a favorable backdrop for repair-and-remodel spending.
  • We anticipate the primary drivers of repair-and-remodeling activity to continue to be supportive of homeowners' further investment in their residences.
  • periods of increasing prices providing the opportunity for higher sales and increased margins

Headwinds

  • We expect a deceleration in housing starts, with various industry forecasts for 2023 single- and multi-family housing starts in the U.S generally ranging from 1.1 million to 1.3 million units, compared with actual housing starts of 1.55 million in 2022 and 1.60 million in 2021, as reported by the U.S. Census Bureau.
  • While likely tempered by an economic slowdown
  • As a manufacturer of certain commodity products, we have sales and profitability exposure to declines in commodity product prices and rising input costs.
  • declining price environments expose us to declines in sales and profitability.
  • we have experienced price erosion and reduced volumes on our EWP products due to slowing economic activity and decreased demand for new residential construction

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022

Historical avgQ4 2022

-1.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.6%

Avg return

5 days after

-1.1%

Avg return

30 days after

47%

27 / 57 earnings

Positive

+20.1%

Q3 2015

Best reaction

-28.5%

Q4 2015

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-4.9%-9.5%-12.6%
Q4 2025+8.1%+2.7%-7.8%
Q3 2025+2.7%+3.4%+8.7%
Q1 2025-4.5%-4.2%-5.4%
Q4 2024-8.1%-10.7%-14.6%
Q3 2024+3.2%+6.0%+9.5%
Q2 2024+0.6%-1.4%-2.4%
Q1 2024-4.0%-1.7%-1.8%
Q4 2023-10.6%-7.5%+8.7%
Q3 2023+0.8%+12.3%+21.8%
Q2 2023+4.7%+7.4%+7.4%
Q1 2023+2.7%+8.0%+10.6%
Q4 2022-2.8%-4.8%-19.5%
Q3 2022-1.5%-2.9%+9.0%
Q2 2022-4.0%-2.2%-11.9%
Q1 2022-10.6%-7.9%-4.3%
Q4 2021-21.6%-7.5%-13.4%
Q3 2021+10.2%+23.2%+14.8%
Q2 2021+1.7%+4.4%+12.1%
Q1 2021+3.8%+5.1%-6.8%
Q4 2020-10.6%-3.6%+5.2%
Q3 2020+9.5%+17.3%+16.7%
Q2 2020+1.2%-4.7%+3.3%
Q1 2020+6.5%-2.3%+25.3%
Q4 2019-10.0%-13.4%-43.7%
Q3 2019+2.3%+4.8%+2.6%
Q2 2019+11.9%+9.1%+10.5%
Q1 2019-8.4%-7.5%-19.4%
Q4 2018+2.2%-3.1%-6.4%
Q3 2018-6.7%-12.0%-20.0%
Q2 2018+0.0%-0.9%+1.2%
Q1 2018+2.9%+4.7%+16.6%
Q4 2017-6.3%-9.8%-13.7%
Q3 2017+1.6%+5.1%+9.1%
Q2 2017+3.0%-0.3%-5.3%
Q1 2017-4.4%-4.2%-7.9%
Q4 2016-2.2%+5.4%-1.7%
Q3 2016-14.2%-19.9%-6.3%
Q2 2016-2.0%-0.0%-9.4%
Q1 2016-4.3%
Q4 2015-28.5%
Q3 2015+20.1%
Q2 2015-7.1%
Q1 2015-2.6%
Q4 2014-13.3%
Q3 2014+5.0%
Q2 2014+6.0%
Q1 2014-0.9%
Q4 2013+0.2%
Q3 2012+0.8%
Q3 2013+7.9%
Q2 2012-0.4%
Q2 2013+0.8%
Q4 2011-3.1%
Q1 2012-3.1%
Q1 2013+6.6%
Q4 2012-5.1%
Q3 2011

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