NYSE$BCC
Boise Cascade Company · Q4 2019 earnings
Q4 2019 earnings · · Investor relations
Briefing
Boise Cascade reported stronger than expected financial performance due to favorable weather and solid homebuilder activity.
Boise Cascade reported Q4 net income of $14.6 million, or $0.37 per share, on sales of $1.1 billion. The company's performance was driven by favorable weather conditions that allowed homebuilders to maintain solid activity levels, leading to increased product demand.
- Total U.S. housing starts increased 20% compared to the same period last year.
- Single-family starts increased 15%, driving sales volumes.
- BMD's sales increased 7% due to a sales volume increase of 11%.
- Company expects to record approximately $18 million of charges during first quarter 2020.
Headline financials
Revenue & EPS history
Boise Cascade · Revenue · Quarterly
$1.1B
Forward guidance
The February 2020 Blue Chip consensus forecast for 2020 and 2021 reflects 1.34 million and 1.35 million total U.S. housing starts, respectively, compared with actual housing starts of 1.29 million in 2019. Commodity wood product pricing during 2020 will be a key driver of our financial results and will be dependent on industry operating rates, net import and export activity, transportation constraints or disruptions, inventory levels in various distribution channels, and seasonal demand patterns.
Tailwinds
- U.S. demographics are supportive of higher levels of housing starts.
- Household formation rates will be a key factor behind the demand for new construction.
- Company will continue to manage our production levels to our sales demand.
Headwinds
- Constraints faced by builders, such as availability of labor and building lots, as well as affordability constraints faced by prospective buyers, may limit residential construction growth.
- The pace of household formation rates and residential repair-and-remodeling activity will be affected by employment growth, wage growth, prospective home buyers' access to and cost of financing, housing affordability, and consumer confidence, as well as other factors.
- The size of new single-family residences as well as the mix of single and multi-family starts will influence product consumption.
- Financial results were impacted by lower lumber, OSB, and plywood pricing compared to pricing in 2018.
- I-joist consumption per housing start has trended downward in recent years which we believe is due to decreases in the median home size and an increasing proportion of slab on grade new home construction.
Historical earnings impact
How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.
Avg. return before/after earnings
Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2019
-1.4%
Avg return
Earnings day
-0.6%
Avg return
5 days after
-1.1%
Avg return
30 days after
47%
27 / 57 earnings
Positive
+20.1%
Q3 2015
Best reaction
-28.5%
Q4 2015
Worst reaction
| Quarter | Report date | Reaction (Day 0) | +5 days | +30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | -4.9% | -9.5% | -12.6% | |
| Q4 2025 | +8.1% | +2.7% | -7.8% | |
| Q3 2025 | +2.7% | +3.4% | +8.7% | |
| Q1 2025 | -4.5% | -4.2% | -5.4% | |
| Q4 2024 | -8.1% | -10.7% | -14.6% | |
| Q3 2024 | +3.2% | +6.0% | +9.5% | |
| Q2 2024 | +0.6% | -1.4% | -2.4% | |
| Q1 2024 | -4.0% | -1.7% | -1.8% | |
| Q4 2023 | -10.6% | -7.5% | +8.7% | |
| Q3 2023 | +0.8% | +12.3% | +21.8% | |
| Q2 2023 | +4.7% | +7.4% | +7.4% | |
| Q1 2023 | +2.7% | +8.0% | +10.6% | |
| Q4 2022 | -2.8% | -4.8% | -19.5% | |
| Q3 2022 | -1.5% | -2.9% | +9.0% | |
| Q2 2022 | -4.0% | -2.2% | -11.9% | |
| Q1 2022 | -10.6% | -7.9% | -4.3% | |
| Q4 2021 | -21.6% | -7.5% | -13.4% | |
| Q3 2021 | +10.2% | +23.2% | +14.8% | |
| Q2 2021 | +1.7% | +4.4% | +12.1% | |
| Q1 2021 | +3.8% | +5.1% | -6.8% | |
| Q4 2020 | -10.6% | -3.6% | +5.2% | |
| Q3 2020 | +9.5% | +17.3% | +16.7% | |
| Q2 2020 | +1.2% | -4.7% | +3.3% | |
| Q1 2020 | +6.5% | -2.3% | +25.3% | |
| Q4 2019 | -10.0% | -13.4% | -43.7% | |
| Q3 2019 | +2.3% | +4.8% | +2.6% | |
| Q2 2019 | +11.9% | +9.1% | +10.5% | |
| Q1 2019 | -8.4% | -7.5% | -19.4% | |
| Q4 2018 | +2.2% | -3.1% | -6.4% | |
| Q3 2018 | -6.7% | -12.0% | -20.0% | |
| Q2 2018 | +0.0% | -0.9% | +1.2% | |
| Q1 2018 | +2.9% | +4.7% | +16.6% | |
| Q4 2017 | -6.3% | -9.8% | -13.7% | |
| Q3 2017 | +1.6% | +5.1% | +9.1% | |
| Q2 2017 | +3.0% | -0.3% | -5.3% | |
| Q1 2017 | -4.4% | -4.2% | -7.9% | |
| Q4 2016 | -2.2% | +5.4% | -1.7% | |
| Q3 2016 | -14.2% | -19.9% | -6.3% | |
| Q2 2016 | -2.0% | -0.0% | -9.4% | |
| Q1 2016 | -4.3% | — | — | |
| Q4 2015 | -28.5% | — | — | |
| Q3 2015 | +20.1% | — | — | |
| Q2 2015 | -7.1% | — | — | |
| Q1 2015 | -2.6% | — | — | |
| Q4 2014 | -13.3% | — | — | |
| Q3 2014 | +5.0% | — | — | |
| Q2 2014 | +6.0% | — | — | |
| Q1 2014 | -0.9% | — | — | |
| Q4 2013 | +0.2% | — | — | |
| Q3 2012 | +0.8% | — | — | |
| Q3 2013 | +7.9% | — | — | |
| Q2 2012 | -0.4% | — | — | |
| Q2 2013 | +0.8% | — | — | |
| Q4 2011 | -3.1% | — | — | |
| Q1 2012 | -3.1% | — | — | |
| Q1 2013 | +6.6% | — | — | |
| Q4 2012 | -5.1% | — | — | |
| Q3 2011 | — | — | — |
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