NYSE$BCC

Boise Cascade Company · Q4 2020 earnings

Q4 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Boise Cascade reported increased sales and net income compared to the same quarter last year.

Boise Cascade reported Q4 net income of $26.0 million, or $0.66 per share, on sales of $1.5 billion. The results were negatively impacted by non-cash items, including pension settlement charges and income tax expense related to the elimination of the defined benefit pension plan.

  • Delivered the best safety performance in the Company’s history in 2020.
  • Reinvested in businesses through door shop expansions in Texas, facility expansions in key distribution markets, and the log utilization center project at the Florien mill.
  • Provided dividends to shareholders and supported the team and communities in response to natural disasters in Louisiana and Oregon.
  • BMD warehouse sales were strong throughout the third and fourth quarters as retail lumberyard customers relied on the broad base of inventory and high service levels.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.47B

Previous: $1.1B+33.6%
EPS (adj)

$1.76

Previous: $0.37+375.7%
Capital Expenditures

$32.4M

Previous: $29.5M+10.1%
Free Cash Flow

-$31.7M

Previous: $21.4M-247.9%
Net Income

$26M

Previous: $14.6M+77.5%
Operating Income

$99.1M

Previous: $24.8M+300.2%
Gross Profit

$239M

Previous: $162M+47.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$405M

Previous: $285M+42.1%
Total Assets

$1.97B

Previous: $1.69B+16.1%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.98M

Previous: $1.96M+1.2%

Revenue & EPS history

Boise Cascade · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.47B

Q4 2020+33.6%vs Q4 2019
Beat estimate in 12 of 16 quarters(75%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Wood Products continues to experience periodic short-term disruptions at many locations due to COVID-19 as we continue to make efforts to restore production rates to pre-COVID-19 levels in response to strong end-product demand, particularly for our EWP.

Tailwinds

  • Low mortgage rates
  • Continuation of work-from-home practices by many in the economy
  • Demographics in the U.S. have created a favorable demand environment for new residential construction, which we expect to continue in 2021.
  • Homeowners spending more time at home, repair and remodel spending may remain elevated as homeowners invest in existing homes.
  • Strong demand when coupled with capacity constraints in late fourth quarter 2020 and early first quarter 2021 created supply/demand imbalances in the marketplace and historically high pricing levels for commodity lumber and panel products.

Headwinds

  • COVID-19 related short-term disruptions at our BMD locations
  • Activity levels across our distribution network continue to vary widely as COVID-19 impacts geographies across the U.S. to differing degrees, and federal, state, or local restrictions are implemented or rescinded.
  • Heightened level of economic uncertainty due to the pandemic
  • Impacts of COVID-19 on residential construction and residential repair-and-remodeling activity are uncertain.
  • Capacity constraints in late fourth quarter 2020 and early first quarter 2021 created supply/demand imbalances in the marketplace

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2020

Historical avgQ4 2020

-1.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.6%

Avg return

5 days after

-1.1%

Avg return

30 days after

47%

27 / 57 earnings

Positive

+20.1%

Q3 2015

Best reaction

-28.5%

Q4 2015

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-4.9%-9.5%-12.6%
Q4 2025+8.1%+2.7%-7.8%
Q3 2025+2.7%+3.4%+8.7%
Q1 2025-4.5%-4.2%-5.4%
Q4 2024-8.1%-10.7%-14.6%
Q3 2024+3.2%+6.0%+9.5%
Q2 2024+0.6%-1.4%-2.4%
Q1 2024-4.0%-1.7%-1.8%
Q4 2023-10.6%-7.5%+8.7%
Q3 2023+0.8%+12.3%+21.8%
Q2 2023+4.7%+7.4%+7.4%
Q1 2023+2.7%+8.0%+10.6%
Q4 2022-2.8%-4.8%-19.5%
Q3 2022-1.5%-2.9%+9.0%
Q2 2022-4.0%-2.2%-11.9%
Q1 2022-10.6%-7.9%-4.3%
Q4 2021-21.6%-7.5%-13.4%
Q3 2021+10.2%+23.2%+14.8%
Q2 2021+1.7%+4.4%+12.1%
Q1 2021+3.8%+5.1%-6.8%
Q4 2020-10.6%-3.6%+5.2%
Q3 2020+9.5%+17.3%+16.7%
Q2 2020+1.2%-4.7%+3.3%
Q1 2020+6.5%-2.3%+25.3%
Q4 2019-10.0%-13.4%-43.7%
Q3 2019+2.3%+4.8%+2.6%
Q2 2019+11.9%+9.1%+10.5%
Q1 2019-8.4%-7.5%-19.4%
Q4 2018+2.2%-3.1%-6.4%
Q3 2018-6.7%-12.0%-20.0%
Q2 2018+0.0%-0.9%+1.2%
Q1 2018+2.9%+4.7%+16.6%
Q4 2017-6.3%-9.8%-13.7%
Q3 2017+1.6%+5.1%+9.1%
Q2 2017+3.0%-0.3%-5.3%
Q1 2017-4.4%-4.2%-7.9%
Q4 2016-2.2%+5.4%-1.7%
Q3 2016-14.2%-19.9%-6.3%
Q2 2016-2.0%-0.0%-9.4%
Q1 2016-4.3%
Q4 2015-28.5%
Q3 2015+20.1%
Q2 2015-7.1%
Q1 2015-2.6%
Q4 2014-13.3%
Q3 2014+5.0%
Q2 2014+6.0%
Q1 2014-0.9%
Q4 2013+0.2%
Q3 2012+0.8%
Q3 2013+7.9%
Q2 2012-0.4%
Q2 2013+0.8%
Q4 2011-3.1%
Q1 2012-3.1%
Q1 2013+6.6%
Q4 2012-5.1%
Q3 2011

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