NYSE$BCC

Boise Cascade Company · Q1 2023 earnings

Q1 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported solid financial results despite headwinds from lower new single-family starts and commodity product prices.

Boise Cascade reported a net income of $96.7 million, or $2.43 per share, on sales of $1.5 billion for the first quarter ended March 31, 2023. This is compared to a net income of $302.6 million, or $7.61 per share, on sales of $2.3 billion for the first quarter ended March 31, 2022.

  • The expected weaker environment from lower new single-family starts and commodity product prices was evident during the first quarter.
  • The company delivered solid financial results despite these headwinds.
  • Economic uncertainties persist as we look to the second quarter, but we remain focused on providing high service levels.
  • The strength of our balance sheet allows us to remain committed to our strategies and the continued execution of our growth initiatives.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.54B

Previous: $2.33B-33.6%
EPS (adj)

$2.43

Previous: $7.61-68.1%
Capital Expenditures

-$30.1M

Previous: -$17.4M-72.3%
Free Cash Flow

$66.7M

Previous: $285M-76.6%
Net Income

$96.7M

Previous: $303M-68.0%
Operating Income

$128M

Previous: $406M-68.5%
Gross Profit

-$1.23B

Previous: -$1.73B+28.9%
Cash & Equivalents

$1B

Previous: $923M+8.5%
Total Assets

$3.36B

Previous: $3.11B+8.3%
Stock-Based Comp

$3.32M

Previous: $2.39M+39.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Boise Cascade · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.54B

Q1 2023-33.6%vs Q1 2022
Beat estimate in 9 of 14 quarters(64%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

The full year outlook for 2023 is uncertain and is reflected in various industry forecasts for 2023 U.S housing starts that generally range from 1.2 million to 1.4 million units, compared with actual housing starts of 1.55 million in 2022.

Tailwinds

  • Mortgage rates have declined from peak levels in late 2022.
  • Measures of builder sentiment have improved from fourth quarter 2022 levels.
  • The age of U.S. housing stock and elevated levels of homeowner equity have provided a favorable backdrop for repair-and-remodel spending.

Headwinds

  • Home affordability remains a challenge for consumers.
  • The Federal Reserve's ongoing actions in response to inflationary data and what impacts these actions have on future mortgage rates and the broader economy will influence the near-term demand environment.
  • Industry forecasts project continued moderation of year-over-year growth in renovation spending.
  • Economic uncertainty may also negatively impact homeowners' further investment in their residences.
  • We expect further EWP price erosion in the second quarter.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2023

Historical avgQ1 2023

-1.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.6%

Avg return

5 days after

-1.1%

Avg return

30 days after

47%

27 / 57 earnings

Positive

+20.1%

Q3 2015

Best reaction

-28.5%

Q4 2015

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-4.9%-9.5%-12.6%
Q4 2025+8.1%+2.7%-7.8%
Q3 2025+2.7%+3.4%+8.7%
Q1 2025-4.5%-4.2%-5.4%
Q4 2024-8.1%-10.7%-14.6%
Q3 2024+3.2%+6.0%+9.5%
Q2 2024+0.6%-1.4%-2.4%
Q1 2024-4.0%-1.7%-1.8%
Q4 2023-10.6%-7.5%+8.7%
Q3 2023+0.8%+12.3%+21.8%
Q2 2023+4.7%+7.4%+7.4%
Q1 2023+2.7%+8.0%+10.6%
Q4 2022-2.8%-4.8%-19.5%
Q3 2022-1.5%-2.9%+9.0%
Q2 2022-4.0%-2.2%-11.9%
Q1 2022-10.6%-7.9%-4.3%
Q4 2021-21.6%-7.5%-13.4%
Q3 2021+10.2%+23.2%+14.8%
Q2 2021+1.7%+4.4%+12.1%
Q1 2021+3.8%+5.1%-6.8%
Q4 2020-10.6%-3.6%+5.2%
Q3 2020+9.5%+17.3%+16.7%
Q2 2020+1.2%-4.7%+3.3%
Q1 2020+6.5%-2.3%+25.3%
Q4 2019-10.0%-13.4%-43.7%
Q3 2019+2.3%+4.8%+2.6%
Q2 2019+11.9%+9.1%+10.5%
Q1 2019-8.4%-7.5%-19.4%
Q4 2018+2.2%-3.1%-6.4%
Q3 2018-6.7%-12.0%-20.0%
Q2 2018+0.0%-0.9%+1.2%
Q1 2018+2.9%+4.7%+16.6%
Q4 2017-6.3%-9.8%-13.7%
Q3 2017+1.6%+5.1%+9.1%
Q2 2017+3.0%-0.3%-5.3%
Q1 2017-4.4%-4.2%-7.9%
Q4 2016-2.2%+5.4%-1.7%
Q3 2016-14.2%-19.9%-6.3%
Q2 2016-2.0%-0.0%-9.4%
Q1 2016-4.3%
Q4 2015-28.5%
Q3 2015+20.1%
Q2 2015-7.1%
Q1 2015-2.6%
Q4 2014-13.3%
Q3 2014+5.0%
Q2 2014+6.0%
Q1 2014-0.9%
Q4 2013+0.2%
Q3 2012+0.8%
Q3 2013+7.9%
Q2 2012-0.4%
Q2 2013+0.8%
Q4 2011-3.1%
Q1 2012-3.1%
Q1 2013+6.6%
Q4 2012-5.1%
Q3 2011

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