NYSE$ALLE

Allegion · Q4 2021 earnings

Q4 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Allegion's Q4 2021 earnings were reported, showing a decrease in revenue and adjusted EPS compared to the previous year, while facing supply chain challenges and operational inefficiencies.

Allegion's Q4 2021 revenues were $709.2 million, a decrease of 2.5 percent compared to 2020. The net earnings per share (EPS) was $1.26, while the adjusted EPS was $1.11, down 25.5 percent compared to 2020. The company is introducing a positive 2022 outlook, expecting strong end-market demand and a return to margin expansion.

  • Fourth-quarter revenue decreased by 2.5 percent, reaching $709.2 million.
  • Net earnings per share (EPS) stood at $1.26, compared to $1.01 in the previous year.
  • Adjusted EPS decreased by 25.5 percent to $1.11.
  • The company is anticipating a positive 2022 outlook, with expectations of strong end-market demand and margin expansion.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$709M

Previous: $727M-2.5%
EPS (adj)

$1.11

Previous: $1.49-25.5%
Operating Margin

16.2%

Previous: 16.2%+0.0%
Adjusted Operating Margin

16.4%

Previous: 22.5%-27.1%
Interest Expense

$13.2M

Previous: $12.3M+7.3%
Effective Tax Rate

9.5%

Previous: 11.7%-18.8%
Dividends Paid

$0.41

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

$45.4M

Previous: $47.1M-3.6%
Free Cash Flow

$86.8M

Previous: $443M-80.4%
Net Income

$113M

Previous: $93.3M+20.8%
Operating Income

$115M

Previous: $118M-2.2%
Gross Profit

$287M

Previous: $320M-10.4%
Cash & Equivalents

$398M

Previous: $480M-17.2%
Total Assets

$3.05B

Previous: $3.07B-0.6%
Stock-Based Comp

$23.4M

Previous: $20.8M+12.5%

Revenue & EPS history

Allegion · Revenue · Quarterly

$709M

Q4 2021-2.5%vs Q4 2020
Beat estimate in 12 of 16 quarters(75%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Allegion · $709M total across 2 segments · Q4 2021

  • Allegion Americas
    $500M-4.2%
  • Allegion International
    $210M+1.7%

Forward guidance

The company expects full-year 2022 revenues to increase 6 to 7.5 percent on a reported basis and increase 7 to 8.5 percent organically, when compared with 2021, after excluding the expected impacts of acquisitions, divestitures and foreign currency movements. Full-year 2022 reported EPS is expected to be in the range of $5.50 to $5.70, or $5.55 to $5.75 on an adjusted basis.

Tailwinds

  • Full-year 2022 revenues are expected to increase 6 to 7.5 percent on a reported basis.
  • Organic revenue growth is projected to be 7 to 8.5 percent.
  • Full-year 2022 EPS is expected to be in the range of $5.50 to $5.70.
  • Adjusted EPS is expected to be $5.55 to $5.75.
  • The company is targeting full-year available cash flow of approximately $465 to $485 million.

Headwinds

  • Adjustments to 2022 EPS include estimated impacts of approximately $0.05 per share for restructuring costs.
  • The outlook includes an incremental investment of approximately $0.15 to $0.20 per share to support future growth opportunities in electronics and seamless access.
  • Assumes a full-year adjusted effective tax rate of approximately 13 percent.
  • Assumes an average diluted share count for the full year of approximately 88 million shares.
  • Continued supply chain challenges.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2021

Historical avgQ4 2021

+0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.7%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.9%

Avg return

30 days after

48%

26 / 54 earnings

Positive

+10.3%

Q1 2025

Best reaction

-9.5%

Q2 2020

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+3.6%-8.7%-12.6%
Q4 2025-9.2%-9.7%-19.9%
Q3 2025-2.5%-3.7%-7.2%
Q2 2025-0.6%+0.1%+3.2%
Q1 2025+10.3%+9.3%+11.7%
Q4 2024-5.6%-4.7%-4.3%
Q3 2024-5.5%-7.3%-6.3%
Q2 2024+4.5%+8.2%+7.7%
Q1 2024-2.1%-3.9%-3.1%
Q4 2023-1.0%-2.5%+2.2%
Q3 2023+1.2%+4.3%+8.6%
Q2 2023-9.1%-8.0%-13.6%
Q1 2023+9.3%+8.6%+5.1%
Q4 2022-1.1%-1.7%-12.5%
Q3 2022+9.1%+9.5%+17.5%
Q2 2022+1.4%-1.4%-6.3%
Q1 2022+1.1%-0.4%-3.4%
Q4 2021-2.6%-3.5%-0.5%
Q3 2021-2.4%-5.4%-2.2%
Q2 2021-0.9%-2.7%-1.3%
Q1 2021+4.0%+3.4%+3.3%
Q4 2020-7.6%-7.8%+3.1%
Q3 2020-1.0%-4.5%+8.8%
Q2 2020-9.5%-11.7%-10.2%
Q1 2020+3.9%+9.3%+1.4%
Q4 2019-5.6%-7.4%-32.2%
Q3 2019+8.6%+10.6%+14.1%
Q2 2019-2.7%-3.6%-13.7%
Q1 2019+2.9%+3.9%+4.0%
Q4 2018-3.9%-2.0%-2.9%
Q3 2018+3.7%+6.1%+11.8%
Q2 2018+1.9%+1.8%+9.0%
Q1 2018-6.3%-7.1%-5.1%
Q4 2017+4.8%+4.2%+2.3%
Q3 2017-7.2%-3.6%-4.1%
Q2 2017+3.7%+3.8%-1.1%
Q1 2017-1.4%-2.6%-0.4%
Q4 2016+6.4%+5.1%+10.2%
Q3 2016-3.0%-3.2%+3.5%
Q2 2016+0.7%-0.3%-0.4%
Q1 2016-2.1%
Q4 2015+4.8%
Q3 2015-0.0%
Q2 2015-0.8%
Q1 2015+1.5%
Q4 2014-1.6%
Q3 2013+5.6%
Q3 2014+5.6%
Q2 2013-1.9%
Q2 2014-1.9%
Q1 2013+4.8%
Q4 2012+4.8%
Q1 2014+4.8%
Q4 2013+2.8%

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