NYSE$ALLE

Allegion · Q4 2019 earnings

Q4 2019 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Allegion's Q4 2019 earnings were released, revealing a mix of strong performance in the Americas and challenges in other regions.

Allegion reported Q4 2019 net revenues of $719.5 million and net earnings of $80.7 million, or $0.86 per share. Adjusted EPS was $1.28, up 4.9% compared to Q4 2018. The Americas region delivered strong organic growth, while EMEIA and Asia Pacific faced challenges.

  • Q4 2019 net revenues reached $719.5 million, a 2.4% increase year-over-year (3.5% organic growth).
  • Q4 2019 EPS was $0.86, with adjusted EPS at $1.28, a 4.9% increase year-over-year.
  • Operating income for Q4 2019 was $143.3 million, a 1.3% increase compared to 2018.
  • The Americas region showed strong organic growth, while EMEIA and Asia Pacific faced market challenges.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$720M

Previous: $702M+2.4%
EPS (adj)

$1.28

Previous: $1.22+4.9%
Operating Margin

19.9%

Previous: 20.1%-1.0%
Adjusted Operating Margin

21.0%

Previous: 20.7%+1.4%
Interest Expense

$13.3M

Previous: $13.7M-2.9%
Effective Tax Rate

17.4%

Previous: -4.5%+486.7%
Dividends Paid

$0.32

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

$65.6M

Previous: $49.1M+33.6%
Free Cash Flow

$143M

Previous: $148M-3.4%
Net Income

$80.7M

Previous: $133M-39.2%
Operating Income

$143M

Previous: $141M+1.3%
Gross Profit

$319M

Previous: $301M+6.2%
Cash & Equivalents

$355M

Previous: $284M+25.2%
Total Assets

$2.97B

Previous: $2.81B+5.6%
Stock-Based Comp

$20.4M

Previous: $19.6M+4.1%

Revenue & EPS history

Allegion · Revenue · Quarterly

$720M

Q4 2019+2.4%vs Q4 2018
Beat estimate in 11 of 16 quarters(69%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Allegion · $676M total across 2 segments · Q4 2019

  • Allegion Americas
    $526M+6.8%
  • Allegion International
    $150M-5.0%

Forward guidance

The company expects full-year 2020 revenues to increase 3 to 4 percent on a reported basis and 3.5 percent to 4.5 percent organically, when compared with 2019. Full-year 2020 reported EPS is expected to be in the range of $5.00 to $5.10, or $5.10 to $5.20 on an adjusted basis.

Tailwinds

  • Full-year 2020 revenues are expected to increase 3-4% on a reported basis.
  • Organic revenue growth for full-year 2020 is projected at 3.5-4.5%.
  • The Americas region is expected to lead revenue growth.
  • Full-year 2020 reported EPS is projected between $5.00 and $5.10.
  • Adjusted EPS for full-year 2020 is expected to be $5.10 to $5.20.

Headwinds

  • Outlook includes incremental investment of approximately $0.15 per share.
  • Assumes a full-year adjusted effective tax rate of approximately 16.5 to 17 percent.
  • Assumes an average diluted share count for the full year of approximately 93 million shares.
  • Weak market conditions in Australia.
  • Softened market conditions across China and Europe

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2019

Historical avgQ4 2019

+0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.7%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.9%

Avg return

30 days after

48%

26 / 54 earnings

Positive

+10.3%

Q1 2025

Best reaction

-9.5%

Q2 2020

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+3.6%-8.7%-12.6%
Q4 2025-9.2%-9.7%-19.9%
Q3 2025-2.5%-3.7%-7.2%
Q2 2025-0.6%+0.1%+3.2%
Q1 2025+10.3%+9.3%+11.7%
Q4 2024-5.6%-4.7%-4.3%
Q3 2024-5.5%-7.3%-6.3%
Q2 2024+4.5%+8.2%+7.7%
Q1 2024-2.1%-3.9%-3.1%
Q4 2023-1.0%-2.5%+2.2%
Q3 2023+1.2%+4.3%+8.6%
Q2 2023-9.1%-8.0%-13.6%
Q1 2023+9.3%+8.6%+5.1%
Q4 2022-1.1%-1.7%-12.5%
Q3 2022+9.1%+9.5%+17.5%
Q2 2022+1.4%-1.4%-6.3%
Q1 2022+1.1%-0.4%-3.4%
Q4 2021-2.6%-3.5%-0.5%
Q3 2021-2.4%-5.4%-2.2%
Q2 2021-0.9%-2.7%-1.3%
Q1 2021+4.0%+3.4%+3.3%
Q4 2020-7.6%-7.8%+3.1%
Q3 2020-1.0%-4.5%+8.8%
Q2 2020-9.5%-11.7%-10.2%
Q1 2020+3.9%+9.3%+1.4%
Q4 2019-5.6%-7.4%-32.2%
Q3 2019+8.6%+10.6%+14.1%
Q2 2019-2.7%-3.6%-13.7%
Q1 2019+2.9%+3.9%+4.0%
Q4 2018-3.9%-2.0%-2.9%
Q3 2018+3.7%+6.1%+11.8%
Q2 2018+1.9%+1.8%+9.0%
Q1 2018-6.3%-7.1%-5.1%
Q4 2017+4.8%+4.2%+2.3%
Q3 2017-7.2%-3.6%-4.1%
Q2 2017+3.7%+3.8%-1.1%
Q1 2017-1.4%-2.6%-0.4%
Q4 2016+6.4%+5.1%+10.2%
Q3 2016-3.0%-3.2%+3.5%
Q2 2016+0.7%-0.3%-0.4%
Q1 2016-2.1%
Q4 2015+4.8%
Q3 2015-0.0%
Q2 2015-0.8%
Q1 2015+1.5%
Q4 2014-1.6%
Q3 2013+5.6%
Q3 2014+5.6%
Q2 2013-1.9%
Q2 2014-1.9%
Q1 2013+4.8%
Q4 2012+4.8%
Q1 2014+4.8%
Q4 2013+2.8%

Discussion

Share your read of this quarter. Sign-in carries your eToro identity.

Join the conversation

Sign in with eToro to post your read of this quarter and vote on others'.

Sign in with eToro