NYSE$ALLE

Allegion · Q1 2020 earnings

Q1 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Allegion experienced solid underlying fundamentals despite the impact of COVID-19, with organic growth and adjusted margin expansion in the first quarter.

Allegion reported a 3% increase in net revenues, reaching $674.7 million. Net income was $0.4 million, or $0.00 per share. Adjusted EPS was $1.04, up 18.2% compared to the previous year. The company's performance was led by strong growth in the Americas region, offset by weakness in EMEIA and Asia Pacific due to COVID-19 impacts and market conditions.

  • First-quarter net revenues increased by 3% to $674.7 million, with a 4.3% increase on an organic basis.
  • Adjusted EPS rose by 18.2% to $1.04, compared to $0.88 in the first quarter of 2019.
  • Operating margin was 4.3%, while adjusted operating margin reached 19%, a 190 basis points increase from the previous year.
  • The company withdrew its 2020 outlook due to the uncertainty caused by the COVID-19 pandemic.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$675M

Previous: $655M+3.0%
EPS (adj)

$1.04

Previous: $0.88+18.2%
Operating Margin

4.3%

Previous: 16.5%-73.9%
Adjusted Operating Margin

19.0%

Previous: 17.1%+11.1%
Interest Expense

$12.9M

Previous: $13.7M-5.8%
Effective Tax Rate

95.8%

Previous: 15.8%+506.3%
Free Cash Flow

$400K

Previous: $80.2M-99.5%
Net Income

$400K

Previous: $80.2M-99.5%
Operating Income

$28.9M

Previous: $108M-73.2%
Gross Profit

$293M

Previous: $277M+5.9%
Cash & Equivalents

$245M

Previous: $154M+59.5%
Total Assets

$2.76B

Previous: $2.8B-1.5%

Revenue & EPS history

Allegion · Revenue · Quarterly

$675M

Q1 2020+3%vs Q1 2019
Beat estimate in 12 of 16 quarters(75%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Allegion · $642M total across 2 segments · Q1 2020

  • Allegion Americas
    $512M+7.7%
  • Allegion International
    $130M-9.1%

Forward guidance

Allegion previously withdrew its 2020 outlook for revenue and EPS due to the uncertainty surrounding the COVID-19 pandemic. The company expects near-term negative financial impacts to revenue, income, and cash flow.

Tailwinds

  • Committed to the well-being of employees, customers, and communities.
  • Focused on business health and essential critical infrastructure.
  • Taking proactive measures such as reductions in discretionary spending.
  • Eliminating non-essential investment spend.
  • Implementing a hiring freeze.

Headwinds

  • COVID-19 pandemic will cause near-term negative financial impacts to revenue.
  • COVID-19 pandemic will cause near-term negative financial impacts to income.
  • COVID-19 pandemic will cause near-term negative financial impacts to cash flow.
  • Uncertainty surrounding the COVID-19 pandemic.
  • Impact on demand and the supply chain.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2020

Historical avgQ1 2020

+0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.7%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.9%

Avg return

30 days after

48%

26 / 54 earnings

Positive

+10.3%

Q1 2025

Best reaction

-9.5%

Q2 2020

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+3.6%-8.7%-12.6%
Q4 2025-9.2%-9.7%-19.9%
Q3 2025-2.5%-3.7%-7.2%
Q2 2025-0.6%+0.1%+3.2%
Q1 2025+10.3%+9.3%+11.7%
Q4 2024-5.6%-4.7%-4.3%
Q3 2024-5.5%-7.3%-6.3%
Q2 2024+4.5%+8.2%+7.7%
Q1 2024-2.1%-3.9%-3.1%
Q4 2023-1.0%-2.5%+2.2%
Q3 2023+1.2%+4.3%+8.6%
Q2 2023-9.1%-8.0%-13.6%
Q1 2023+9.3%+8.6%+5.1%
Q4 2022-1.1%-1.7%-12.5%
Q3 2022+9.1%+9.5%+17.5%
Q2 2022+1.4%-1.4%-6.3%
Q1 2022+1.1%-0.4%-3.4%
Q4 2021-2.6%-3.5%-0.5%
Q3 2021-2.4%-5.4%-2.2%
Q2 2021-0.9%-2.7%-1.3%
Q1 2021+4.0%+3.4%+3.3%
Q4 2020-7.6%-7.8%+3.1%
Q3 2020-1.0%-4.5%+8.8%
Q2 2020-9.5%-11.7%-10.2%
Q1 2020+3.9%+9.3%+1.4%
Q4 2019-5.6%-7.4%-32.2%
Q3 2019+8.6%+10.6%+14.1%
Q2 2019-2.7%-3.6%-13.7%
Q1 2019+2.9%+3.9%+4.0%
Q4 2018-3.9%-2.0%-2.9%
Q3 2018+3.7%+6.1%+11.8%
Q2 2018+1.9%+1.8%+9.0%
Q1 2018-6.3%-7.1%-5.1%
Q4 2017+4.8%+4.2%+2.3%
Q3 2017-7.2%-3.6%-4.1%
Q2 2017+3.7%+3.8%-1.1%
Q1 2017-1.4%-2.6%-0.4%
Q4 2016+6.4%+5.1%+10.2%
Q3 2016-3.0%-3.2%+3.5%
Q2 2016+0.7%-0.3%-0.4%
Q1 2016-2.1%
Q4 2015+4.8%
Q3 2015-0.0%
Q2 2015-0.8%
Q1 2015+1.5%
Q4 2014-1.6%
Q3 2013+5.6%
Q3 2014+5.6%
Q2 2013-1.9%
Q2 2014-1.9%
Q1 2013+4.8%
Q4 2012+4.8%
Q1 2014+4.8%
Q4 2013+2.8%

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