NYSE$ALLE

Allegion · Q1 2023 earnings

Q1 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Allegion reported strong Q1 2023 results, exceeding expectations with significant revenue growth and increased profitability, leading to an raised full-year outlook.

Allegion's Q1 2023 results showcased robust revenue growth, a notable increase in EPS, and a strengthened operating margin. The company's performance was driven by strong execution and resilience in the Americas non-residential business, leading to an increase in the full-year outlook.

  • Reported Q1 2023 revenue was $923.0 million, up 27.6% compared to the prior year.
  • Net earnings per share (EPS) reached $1.40, compared to $1.05 in 2022.
  • Adjusted EPS increased by 39.8% to $1.58, compared to $1.13 in 2022.
  • Operating margin was 18.5%, compared to 16.2% in 2022, with an adjusted operating margin of 20.8%.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$923M

Previous: $724M+27.6%
EPS (adj)

$1.58

Previous: $1.07+47.7%
Operating Margin

18.5%

Previous: 16.2%+14.2%
Adjusted Operating Margin

20.8%

Previous: 16.9%+23.1%
Interest Expense

$23.6M

Previous: $11.9M+98.3%
Effective Tax Rate

16.3%

Previous: 13.2%+23.5%
Free Cash Flow

$124M

Previous: $93M+32.8%
Net Income

$124M

Previous: $93M+32.8%
Operating Income

$171M

Previous: $117M+46.2%
Gross Profit

$391M

Previous: $289M+35.4%
Cash & Equivalents

$293M

Previous: $305M-4.0%
Total Assets

$4.12B

Previous: $3.01B+37.1%

Revenue & EPS history

Allegion · Revenue · Quarterly

$923M

Q1 2023+27.6%vs Q1 2022
Beat estimate in 10 of 15 quarters(67%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Allegion · $923M total across 2 segments · Q1 2023

  • Allegion Americas
    $741M+40.3%
  • Allegion International
    $182M-6.8%

Forward guidance

The company is raising its full-year 2023 revenue growth outlook and expects it to be 11.5% to 13.5%, while also increasing its organic revenue growth outlook and expects it to be 5.5% to 7.5%. The company is revising its full-year 2023 reported EPS outlook and expects it to be in the $5.95 to $6.15 range, with adjusted EPS expected to be between $6.55 to $6.75.

Tailwinds

  • Revenue growth outlook raised to 11.5% - 13.5%.
  • Organic revenue growth outlook increased to 5.5% - 7.5%.
  • Full-year 2023 reported EPS outlook in the $5.95 to $6.15 range.
  • Adjusted EPS expected to be between $6.55 to $6.75.
  • Expectations for full-year 2023 available cash flow increased to approximately $480 to $500 million.

Headwinds

  • Approximately $0.40 per share for acquisition-related amortization.
  • $0.20 per share for restructuring, M&A and amortization expense related to acquired backlog (approximately $9 million pre-tax).
  • Approximately a $0.29 headwind for interest and other income.
  • Full-year adjusted effective tax rate of approximately 15% to 15.5%.
  • Average diluted share count for the full year of approximately 88.3 million shares.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2023

Historical avgQ1 2023

+0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.7%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.9%

Avg return

30 days after

48%

26 / 54 earnings

Positive

+10.3%

Q1 2025

Best reaction

-9.5%

Q2 2020

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+3.6%-8.7%-12.6%
Q4 2025-9.2%-9.7%-19.9%
Q3 2025-2.5%-3.7%-7.2%
Q2 2025-0.6%+0.1%+3.2%
Q1 2025+10.3%+9.3%+11.7%
Q4 2024-5.6%-4.7%-4.3%
Q3 2024-5.5%-7.3%-6.3%
Q2 2024+4.5%+8.2%+7.7%
Q1 2024-2.1%-3.9%-3.1%
Q4 2023-1.0%-2.5%+2.2%
Q3 2023+1.2%+4.3%+8.6%
Q2 2023-9.1%-8.0%-13.6%
Q1 2023+9.3%+8.6%+5.1%
Q4 2022-1.1%-1.7%-12.5%
Q3 2022+9.1%+9.5%+17.5%
Q2 2022+1.4%-1.4%-6.3%
Q1 2022+1.1%-0.4%-3.4%
Q4 2021-2.6%-3.5%-0.5%
Q3 2021-2.4%-5.4%-2.2%
Q2 2021-0.9%-2.7%-1.3%
Q1 2021+4.0%+3.4%+3.3%
Q4 2020-7.6%-7.8%+3.1%
Q3 2020-1.0%-4.5%+8.8%
Q2 2020-9.5%-11.7%-10.2%
Q1 2020+3.9%+9.3%+1.4%
Q4 2019-5.6%-7.4%-32.2%
Q3 2019+8.6%+10.6%+14.1%
Q2 2019-2.7%-3.6%-13.7%
Q1 2019+2.9%+3.9%+4.0%
Q4 2018-3.9%-2.0%-2.9%
Q3 2018+3.7%+6.1%+11.8%
Q2 2018+1.9%+1.8%+9.0%
Q1 2018-6.3%-7.1%-5.1%
Q4 2017+4.8%+4.2%+2.3%
Q3 2017-7.2%-3.6%-4.1%
Q2 2017+3.7%+3.8%-1.1%
Q1 2017-1.4%-2.6%-0.4%
Q4 2016+6.4%+5.1%+10.2%
Q3 2016-3.0%-3.2%+3.5%
Q2 2016+0.7%-0.3%-0.4%
Q1 2016-2.1%
Q4 2015+4.8%
Q3 2015-0.0%
Q2 2015-0.8%
Q1 2015+1.5%
Q4 2014-1.6%
Q3 2013+5.6%
Q3 2014+5.6%
Q2 2013-1.9%
Q2 2014-1.9%
Q1 2013+4.8%
Q4 2012+4.8%
Q1 2014+4.8%
Q4 2013+2.8%

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