NYSE$ALLE

Allegion · Q2 2023 earnings

Q2 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Allegion reported a strong second-quarter performance driven by electronics growth, margin expansion, and increased cash flow, leading to an increase in the full-year EPS outlook.

Allegion's Q2 2023 results showed strong revenue growth, driven by electronics, and margin expansion. The company raised its full-year EPS outlook and available cash flow expectations.

  • Net earnings per share (EPS) of $1.61, compared with $1.30; Adjusted EPS of $1.76, up 23.1% compared with $1.43.
  • Revenues of $912.5 million, up 18.0% on a reported basis and up 5.6% on an organic basis.
  • Operating margin of 20.2%, compared with 19.0%; Adjusted operating margin of 22.2%, up 130 basis points compared with 20.9%.
  • Americas electronics growth of approximately 40%

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$913M

Previous: $773M+18.0%
EPS (adj)

$1.76

Previous: $1.37+28.5%
Operating Margin

20.2%

Previous: 19.0%+6.3%
Adjusted Operating Margin

22.2%

Previous: 20.0%+11.0%
Interest Expense

$23.7M

Previous: $17.2M+37.8%
Effective Tax Rate

12.6%

Previous: 13.6%-7.4%
Free Cash Flow

$142M

Previous: $115M+23.4%
Net Income

$142M

Previous: $115M+23.4%
Operating Income

$185M

Previous: $147M+25.5%
Gross Profit

$402M

Previous: $315M+27.6%
Cash & Equivalents

$323M

Previous: $920M-64.9%
Total Assets

$4.16B

Previous: $3.65B+14.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Allegion · Revenue · Quarterly

$913M

Q2 2023+18%vs Q2 2022
Beat estimate in 10 of 15 quarters(67%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Allegion · $913M total across 2 segments · Q2 2023

  • Allegion Americas
    $727M+22.8%
  • Allegion International
    $185M+2.5%

Forward guidance

The company is tightening its full-year 2023 revenue growth outlook and expects it to be 11.5% to 12.5%, while also updating its organic revenue growth outlook and expects it to be 5.5% to 6.5%. The company is increasing its full-year 2023 reported EPS outlook and expects it to be in the $6.10 to $6.20 range, with adjusted EPS expected to be between $6.70 to $6.80. The company increases expectations for full-year 2023 available cash flow to approximately $500 to $520 million.

Tailwinds

  • Full-year 2023 revenue growth outlook 11.5% to 12.5%
  • Full-year 2023 organic revenue growth outlook 5.5% to 6.5%
  • Full-year 2023 reported EPS outlook $6.10 to $6.20 range
  • Adjusted EPS expected to be between $6.70 to $6.80
  • Full-year 2023 available cash flow to approximately $500 to $520 million

Headwinds

  • Headwind of approximately $0.29 for interest and other income
  • Full-year adjusted effective tax rate of approximately 15% to 15.5%
  • Average diluted share count for the full year of approximately 88.3 million shares.
  • Adjustments to 2023 EPS include estimated impacts of approximately $0.40 per share for acquisition-related amortization
  • $0.20 per share for restructuring, M&A and amortization expense related to acquired backlog (approximately $9 million pre-tax).

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2023

Historical avgQ2 2023

+0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.7%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.9%

Avg return

30 days after

48%

26 / 54 earnings

Positive

+10.3%

Q1 2025

Best reaction

-9.5%

Q2 2020

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+3.6%-8.7%-12.6%
Q4 2025-9.2%-9.7%-19.9%
Q3 2025-2.5%-3.7%-7.2%
Q2 2025-0.6%+0.1%+3.2%
Q1 2025+10.3%+9.3%+11.7%
Q4 2024-5.6%-4.7%-4.3%
Q3 2024-5.5%-7.3%-6.3%
Q2 2024+4.5%+8.2%+7.7%
Q1 2024-2.1%-3.9%-3.1%
Q4 2023-1.0%-2.5%+2.2%
Q3 2023+1.2%+4.3%+8.6%
Q2 2023-9.1%-8.0%-13.6%
Q1 2023+9.3%+8.6%+5.1%
Q4 2022-1.1%-1.7%-12.5%
Q3 2022+9.1%+9.5%+17.5%
Q2 2022+1.4%-1.4%-6.3%
Q1 2022+1.1%-0.4%-3.4%
Q4 2021-2.6%-3.5%-0.5%
Q3 2021-2.4%-5.4%-2.2%
Q2 2021-0.9%-2.7%-1.3%
Q1 2021+4.0%+3.4%+3.3%
Q4 2020-7.6%-7.8%+3.1%
Q3 2020-1.0%-4.5%+8.8%
Q2 2020-9.5%-11.7%-10.2%
Q1 2020+3.9%+9.3%+1.4%
Q4 2019-5.6%-7.4%-32.2%
Q3 2019+8.6%+10.6%+14.1%
Q2 2019-2.7%-3.6%-13.7%
Q1 2019+2.9%+3.9%+4.0%
Q4 2018-3.9%-2.0%-2.9%
Q3 2018+3.7%+6.1%+11.8%
Q2 2018+1.9%+1.8%+9.0%
Q1 2018-6.3%-7.1%-5.1%
Q4 2017+4.8%+4.2%+2.3%
Q3 2017-7.2%-3.6%-4.1%
Q2 2017+3.7%+3.8%-1.1%
Q1 2017-1.4%-2.6%-0.4%
Q4 2016+6.4%+5.1%+10.2%
Q3 2016-3.0%-3.2%+3.5%
Q2 2016+0.7%-0.3%-0.4%
Q1 2016-2.1%
Q4 2015+4.8%
Q3 2015-0.0%
Q2 2015-0.8%
Q1 2015+1.5%
Q4 2014-1.6%
Q3 2013+5.6%
Q3 2014+5.6%
Q2 2013-1.9%
Q2 2014-1.9%
Q1 2013+4.8%
Q4 2012+4.8%
Q1 2014+4.8%
Q4 2013+2.8%

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