NYSE$AGO

Assured Guaranty Ltd. · Q2 2023 earnings

Q2 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Assured Guaranty reported mixed results with a net income of $125 million and adjusted operating income of $36 million for Q2 2023. The company saw strong new business production and strategic advancements in the asset management sector.

Assured Guaranty Ltd. reported a net income of $125 million, or $2.06 per share, for the second quarter of 2023. Adjusted operating income was $36 million, or $0.60 per share. The company returned $41 million of capital to shareholders, including $24 million in share repurchases and $17 million in dividends. New business production remained strong and diversified.

  • Net income attributable to Assured Guaranty Ltd. was $125 million, or $2.06 per share for second quarter 2023.
  • Adjusted operating income was $36 million, or $0.60 per share, for second quarter 2023.
  • Capital returned to shareholders in second quarter 2023 was $41 million.
  • Insurance segment adjusted operating income was $106 million for second quarter 2023.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$360M

Previous: $90M+300.0%
EPS (adj)

$0.60

Previous: $0.46+30.4%
Gross written premiums

$95M

Previous: $65M+46.2%
Capital returned

$41M

Previous: $167M-75.4%
Free Cash Flow

$125M

Previous: -$47M+366.0%
Net Income

$125M

Previous: -$47M+366.0%
Operating Income

$231M

Previous: $41M+463.4%
Gross Profit

$302M

Previous: $82M+268.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$114M

Previous: $138M-17.4%
Total Assets

$16.9B

Previous: $17B-0.6%

Revenue & EPS history

Assured Guaranty · Revenue · Quarterly

$360M

Q2 2023+300%vs Q2 2022
Beat estimate in 11 of 15 quarters(73%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Assured Guaranty · $254M total across 2 segments · Q2 2023

  • Insurance segment
    $224M+61.2%
  • Asset management AOI
    $30M+7.1%

Forward guidance

No explicit forward guidance was provided in the current report. The report focuses on the results of the second quarter of 2023 and recent strategic transactions.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2023

Historical avgQ2 2023

+0.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.3%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.4%

Avg return

30 days after

53%

36 / 68 earnings

Positive

+12.3%

Q4 2021

Best reaction

-14.0%

Q2 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-9.0%-8.9%
Q4 2025-0.6%-2.7%+2.3%
Q3 2025+6.6%+7.4%+8.7%
Q1 2025-1.3%-2.4%-3.4%
Q4 2024-5.3%-13.1%+2.4%
Q3 2024+4.4%+4.0%+3.0%
Q2 2024-3.3%-3.1%+1.2%
Q1 2024+3.9%+0.3%-1.8%
Q4 2023+10.9%+7.1%+1.8%
Q3 2023+0.7%-0.4%+4.4%
Q2 2023-3.1%-4.1%-4.9%
Q1 2023-0.3%-0.5%+1.9%
Q4 2022-5.8%+4.6%+2.3%
Q3 2022+1.5%+2.5%+7.8%
Q2 2022-14.0%-11.4%-11.2%
Q1 2022-2.3%-6.1%-2.3%
Q4 2021+12.3%-0.9%-15.1%
Q3 2021-1.8%-3.7%-15.6%
Q2 2021+2.5%+3.6%+0.0%
Q1 2021-5.3%-9.2%-7.8%
Q4 2020+0.5%-0.0%+0.7%
Q3 2020+0.8%+16.5%+17.7%
Q2 2020+10.2%+10.1%-0.7%
Q1 2020+2.0%-8.3%+3.9%
Q4 2019-5.3%+27.6%+50.2%
Q3 2019-0.3%-0.1%+2.3%
Q2 2019+6.3%+5.2%+1.5%
Q1 2019-3.5%-7.7%-7.4%
Q4 2018+5.5%+5.8%+7.5%
Q3 2018+0.6%-2.3%-5.0%
Q2 2018-0.4%+1.3%+4.7%
Q1 2018+1.6%-1.6%+1.1%
Q4 2017-3.3%-8.5%-7.9%
Q3 2017+0.2%-2.6%-2.7%
Q2 2017-0.5%-2.0%-5.8%
Q1 2017+3.3%+3.5%+4.1%
Q4 2016+2.3%-0.7%-11.0%
Q3 2016+7.2%+10.0%+23.2%
Q2 2016+2.7%+4.2%+4.3%
Q1 2016+2.0%
Q4 2015+1.7%
Q3 2015+5.3%
Q2 2015+3.5%
Q1 2015+4.8%
Q4 2014-1.1%
Q3 2014+5.0%
Q2 2014+2.9%
Q1 2014+8.9%
Q4 2013+2.0%
Q3 2013+7.5%
Q2 2013+4.0%
Q1 2013+3.8%
Q4 2012+1.9%
Q3 2012+1.4%
Q2 2012+11.5%
Q1 2012-0.4%
Q2 2009-0.6%
Q4 2011-0.6%
Q3 2011-10.8%
Q2 2011-4.1%
Q1 2010-4.5%
Q1 2011-0.8%
Q4 2009-4.4%
Q4 2008-4.4%
Q4 2010-4.4%
Q3 2009-3.5%
Q3 2010-3.5%
Q2 2010-2.3%

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