NYSE$AGO

Assured Guaranty Ltd. · Q1 2024 earnings

Q1 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Assured Guaranty reported excellent first quarter results with increased net income and adjusted operating income, reaching record levels in shareholders' equity and book value per share. New business production reflected strong activity in U.S. public finance and global structured finance.

Assured Guaranty's first quarter 2024 results showed a 35% year-over-year increase in net income and a 66% increase in adjusted operating income. Shareholders' equity per share, adjusted operating shareholders' equity per share, and adjusted book value per share all reached record levels. New business written produced $61 million of GWP and $63 million of PVP.

  • Net income attributable to Assured Guaranty Ltd. was $109 million, or $1.89 per share for first quarter 2024.
  • Adjusted operating income was $113 million, or $1.96 per share, for first quarter 2024.
  • Capital returned to shareholders was $148 million, including share repurchases of $129 million and dividends of $19 million.
  • Share repurchase authorization was increased by $300 million on May 2, 2024.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$245M

Previous: $283M-13.4%
EPS

$1.89

Previous: $1.12+68.7%
Gross written premiums

$61M

Previous: $86M-29.1%
Capital returned

$148M

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

$109M

Previous: $81M+34.6%
Net Income

$109M

Previous: $81M+34.6%
Operating Income

$201M

Previous: $221M-9.0%
Gross Profit

$240M

Previous: $276M-13.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$115M

Previous: $118M-2.5%
Total Assets

$12.2B

Previous: $16.8B-27.5%

Revenue & EPS history

Assured Guaranty · Revenue · Quarterly

$245M

Q1 2024-13.4%vs Q1 2023
Beat estimate in 11 of 16 quarters(69%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Assured Guaranty · $208 total across 1 segment · Q3 2023

  • Insurance segment
    $208-100.0%

Forward guidance

Any forward-looking statements made in this press release reflect the Company’s current views with respect to future events and financial performance and are made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2024

Historical avgQ1 2024

+0.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.4%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.1%

Avg return

30 days after

52%

36 / 69 earnings

Positive

+12.3%

Q4 2021

Best reaction

-14.0%

Q2 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q4 2025-0.6%-0.2%
Q1 2026-8.9%-8.9%-8.4%
Q3 2025+6.6%+7.4%+8.7%
Q2 2025+0.0%+0.8%+0.0%
Q1 2025-1.3%-2.4%-3.4%
Q4 2024-5.3%-13.1%+2.4%
Q3 2024+4.4%+4.0%+3.0%
Q2 2024-3.3%-3.1%+1.2%
Q1 2024+3.9%+0.3%-1.8%
Q4 2023+10.9%+7.1%+1.8%
Q3 2023+0.7%-0.4%+4.4%
Q2 2023-3.1%-4.1%-4.9%
Q1 2023-0.3%-0.5%+1.9%
Q4 2022-5.8%+4.6%+2.3%
Q3 2022+1.5%+2.5%+7.8%
Q2 2022-14.0%-11.4%-11.2%
Q1 2022-2.3%-6.1%-2.3%
Q4 2021+12.3%-0.9%-15.1%
Q3 2021-1.8%-3.7%-15.6%
Q2 2021+2.5%+3.6%+0.0%
Q1 2021-5.3%-9.2%-7.8%
Q4 2020+0.5%-0.0%+0.7%
Q3 2020+0.8%+16.5%+17.7%
Q2 2020+10.2%+10.1%-0.7%
Q1 2020+2.0%-8.3%+3.9%
Q4 2019-5.3%+27.6%+50.2%
Q3 2019-0.3%-0.1%+2.3%
Q2 2019+6.3%+5.2%+1.5%
Q1 2019-3.5%-7.7%-7.4%
Q4 2018+5.5%+5.8%+7.5%
Q3 2018+0.6%-2.3%-5.0%
Q2 2018-0.4%+1.3%+4.7%
Q1 2018+1.6%-1.6%+1.1%
Q4 2017-3.3%-8.5%-7.9%
Q3 2017+0.2%-2.6%-2.7%
Q2 2017-0.5%-2.0%-5.8%
Q1 2017+3.3%+3.5%+4.1%
Q4 2016+2.3%-0.7%-11.0%
Q3 2016+7.2%+10.0%+23.2%
Q2 2016+2.7%+4.2%+4.3%
Q1 2016+2.0%
Q4 2015+1.7%
Q3 2015+5.3%
Q2 2015+3.5%
Q1 2015+4.8%
Q4 2014-1.1%
Q3 2014+5.0%
Q2 2014+2.9%
Q1 2014+8.9%
Q4 2013+2.0%
Q3 2013+7.5%
Q2 2013+4.0%
Q1 2013+3.8%
Q4 2012+1.9%
Q3 2012+1.4%
Q2 2012+11.5%
Q1 2012-0.4%
Q2 2009-0.6%
Q4 2011-0.6%
Q3 2011-10.8%
Q2 2011-4.1%
Q1 2010-4.5%
Q1 2011-0.8%
Q4 2009-4.4%
Q4 2008-4.4%
Q4 2010-4.4%
Q3 2009-3.5%
Q3 2010-3.5%
Q2 2010-2.3%

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