NYSE$ADT

ADT Inc. · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

ADT reported Q4 2023 results, streamlining its focus on innovation and growth in core consumer markets and fortifying its balance sheet with significant debt reduction.

ADT Inc. reported Q4 2023 results, with total revenue of $1.2 billion. The company focused on its core consumer security and smart home business after divesting its commercial business and exiting solar. The company also reduced debt and increased its dividend.

  • Total revenue reached $1.2 billion.
  • End-of-period recurring monthly revenue (RMR) increased by 4% to $353 million.
  • GAAP income from continuing operations was $85 million, or $0.09 per diluted share.
  • Adjusted income from continuing operations was $226 million, or $0.25 per diluted share.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.22B

Previous: $1.65B-25.7%
EPS (adj)

$0.25

Previous: $0.10+150.0%
Capital Expenditures

-$196M

No prior period
Net Income

$576M

Previous: $151M+281.5%
Operating Income

$263M

Previous: $206M+27.7%
Gross Profit

$663M

No prior period

Revenue & EPS history

ADT · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.22B

Q4 2023-25.7%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 6 of 15 quarters(40%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

The Company is providing the following financial guidance for 2024, with all metrics representing an improvement over 2023 performance.

Tailwinds

  • CSB Segment Total Revenue: $4,800 - $5,000 million
  • CSB Segment Adjusted EBITDA: $2,525 - $2,625 million
  • Total Company Adjusted EPS: $0.60 - $0.70
  • Total Company Adjusted Free Cash Flow (including interest rate swaps): $700 - $800 million

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

-2.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

-3.8%

Avg return

5 days after

-1.7%

Avg return

30 days after

46%

17 / 37 earnings

Positive

+13.9%

Q3 2024

Best reaction

-25.8%

Q4 2020

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+5.0%-2.2%-6.6%
Q4 2025+2.0%-18.3%-18.3%
Q3 2025-7.9%-5.9%-7.7%
Q1 2025-2.0%+0.9%+3.9%
Q4 2024+7.8%+0.8%+7.6%
Q3 2024+13.9%+6.2%+9.0%
Q2 2024-10.9%-9.1%-6.3%
Q1 2024+0.8%+1.9%+13.2%
Q4 2023+11.2%+12.3%+2.9%
Q3 2023+9.9%+9.1%+10.8%
Q2 2023+5.2%+6.3%-5.5%
Q1 2023-20.7%-13.5%-15.2%
Q4 2022-3.3%-2.4%-8.9%
Q3 2022+2.9%+5.6%+18.2%
Q2 2022+9.7%+7.4%-1.4%
Q1 2022-3.4%-7.0%+2.9%
Q4 2021+7.8%+3.8%+3.8%
Q3 2021-0.6%+1.1%-5.1%
Q2 2021-13.5%-14.0%-17.9%
Q1 2021+3.1%+2.7%+19.6%
Q4 2020-25.8%-30.0%-19.9%
Q3 2020+4.3%+5.9%+22.3%
Q2 2020-5.9%-6.6%-19.4%
Q1 2020+2.2%+4.9%+51.4%
Q4 2019-12.6%-22.6%-38.4%
Q3 2019+8.0%+8.5%+9.1%
Q2 2019-7.1%-11.9%-5.3%
Q1 2019-11.6%-8.9%-13.2%
Q4 2016-11.0%-12.3%-9.6%
Q4 2018-11.0%-12.3%-9.6%
Q3 2017+5.8%+5.8%+0.4%
Q3 2018+10.7%+1.8%+1.8%
Q2 2017-6.1%-6.1%-7.2%
Q2 2018-7.4%+0.0%-3.8%
Q1 2018-7.6%-14.8%-4.1%
Q1 2017-7.6%-14.8%-4.1%
Q4 2017-14.5%-12.2%-11.9%
Q3 2016
Q2 2016
Q1 2016
Q4 2015
Q3 2015
Q2 2015
Q1 2015
Q4 2014
Q3 2014
Q2 2014
Q1 2014
Q4 2013
Q3 2013
Q2 2013
Q1 2013
Q4 2012

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