NYSE$ADT
ADT Inc. · Q3 2020 earnings
Q3 2020 earnings · · Investor relations
Briefing
ADT reported strong financial and operating results, improving revenue payback and customer retention to record levels, growing RMR additions and increasing subscribers.
ADT Inc. reported third-quarter 2020 results, highlighting record customer retention and revenue payback, growth in U.S. RMR additions and net subscribers, and an accelerating launch of a co-branded offering with Google into 2021.
- Total revenue was $1,299 million, compared to $1,301 million.
- Net loss was $113 million, compared to $182 million.
- Adjusted EBITDA was $564 million, compared to $624 million.
- Trailing twelve-month gross customer revenue attrition of 12.9%, an improvement of 60 bps.
Headline financials
Revenue & EPS history
ADT · Revenue · Quarterly
$1.3B
Forward guidance
Based on the strength of the third quarter results, the Company is updating its financial guidance.
Tailwinds
- Total Revenue $5,200 - $5,350 million
- Adjusted EBITDA $2,150 - $2,225 million
- Adjusted Free Cash Flow $650 - $725 million
- Partnership with Google is off to a very strong start
- Consumer financing program has been well received
Headwinds
- There are many variables involved in 3G and CDMA radio conversion costs, including retention levels, system upgrade rates, revenue opportunities, cost-sharing opportunities, and possible technology solutions.
- The Company continues to estimate the range of net costs for this replacement program at $200 million to $325 million
- Lower volume of commercial transactions due to COVID-19
- Impact from the Defenders acquisition
- Sale of ADT Canada
Historical earnings impact
How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.
Avg. return before/after earnings
Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2020
-2.2%
Avg return
Earnings day
-3.8%
Avg return
5 days after
-1.7%
Avg return
30 days after
46%
17 / 37 earnings
Positive
+13.9%
Q3 2024
Best reaction
-25.8%
Q4 2020
Worst reaction
| Quarter | Report date | Reaction (Day 0) | +5 days | +30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | +5.0% | -2.2% | -6.6% | |
| Q4 2025 | +2.0% | -18.3% | -18.3% | |
| Q3 2025 | -7.9% | -5.9% | -7.7% | |
| Q1 2025 | -2.0% | +0.9% | +3.9% | |
| Q4 2024 | +7.8% | +0.8% | +7.6% | |
| Q3 2024 | +13.9% | +6.2% | +9.0% | |
| Q2 2024 | -10.9% | -9.1% | -6.3% | |
| Q1 2024 | +0.8% | +1.9% | +13.2% | |
| Q4 2023 | +11.2% | +12.3% | +2.9% | |
| Q3 2023 | +9.9% | +9.1% | +10.8% | |
| Q2 2023 | +5.2% | +6.3% | -5.5% | |
| Q1 2023 | -20.7% | -13.5% | -15.2% | |
| Q4 2022 | -3.3% | -2.4% | -8.9% | |
| Q3 2022 | +2.9% | +5.6% | +18.2% | |
| Q2 2022 | +9.7% | +7.4% | -1.4% | |
| Q1 2022 | -3.4% | -7.0% | +2.9% | |
| Q4 2021 | +7.8% | +3.8% | +3.8% | |
| Q3 2021 | -0.6% | +1.1% | -5.1% | |
| Q2 2021 | -13.5% | -14.0% | -17.9% | |
| Q1 2021 | +3.1% | +2.7% | +19.6% | |
| Q4 2020 | -25.8% | -30.0% | -19.9% | |
| Q3 2020 | +4.3% | +5.9% | +22.3% | |
| Q2 2020 | -5.9% | -6.6% | -19.4% | |
| Q1 2020 | +2.2% | +4.9% | +51.4% | |
| Q4 2019 | -12.6% | -22.6% | -38.4% | |
| Q3 2019 | +8.0% | +8.5% | +9.1% | |
| Q2 2019 | -7.1% | -11.9% | -5.3% | |
| Q1 2019 | -11.6% | -8.9% | -13.2% | |
| Q4 2016 | -11.0% | -12.3% | -9.6% | |
| Q4 2018 | -11.0% | -12.3% | -9.6% | |
| Q3 2017 | +5.8% | +5.8% | +0.4% | |
| Q3 2018 | +10.7% | +1.8% | +1.8% | |
| Q2 2017 | -6.1% | -6.1% | -7.2% | |
| Q2 2018 | -7.4% | +0.0% | -3.8% | |
| Q1 2018 | -7.6% | -14.8% | -4.1% | |
| Q1 2017 | -7.6% | -14.8% | -4.1% | |
| Q4 2017 | -14.5% | -12.2% | -11.9% | |
| Q3 2016 | — | — | — | |
| Q2 2016 | — | — | — | |
| Q1 2016 | — | — | — | |
| Q4 2015 | — | — | — | |
| Q3 2015 | — | — | — | |
| Q2 2015 | — | — | — | |
| Q1 2015 | — | — | — | |
| Q4 2014 | — | — | — | |
| Q3 2014 | — | — | — | |
| Q2 2014 | — | — | — | |
| Q1 2014 | — | — | — | |
| Q4 2013 | — | — | — | |
| Q3 2013 | — | — | — | |
| Q2 2013 | — | — | — | |
| Q1 2013 | — | — | — | |
| Q4 2012 | — | — | — |
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