NYSE$ADM

Archer-Daniels-Midland Co · Q4 2019 earnings

Q4 2019 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

ADM reported a solid fourth quarter, with adjusted EPS of $1.42, including a $0.61 impact from the biodiesel tax credit.

ADM reported fourth-quarter earnings of $0.90 per share, or $1.42 per share on an adjusted basis, which includes a $0.61 per share impact from the retroactive biodiesel tax credit. The company's industry-leading solutions portfolio, combined with business improvements, Readiness, and growth investments, give confidence for 2020 and beyond.

  • Net earnings of $504 million
  • Reported and adjusted earnings and EPS inclusive of $0.61 per share impact of retroactive biodiesel tax credit for 2018 and 2019
  • Ag Services & Oilseeds results were higher year over year, and included approximately $270 million net operating profit impact from the passage of the biodiesel tax credit (BTC) for 2018 and 2019.
  • Nutrition results were substantially higher year over year.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$16.3B

Previous: $15.9B+2.4%
EPS (adj)

$1.42

Previous: $0.88+61.4%
Processed oilseeds

9.3M

No prior period
Processed corn

5.8M

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

$262M

Previous: $287M-8.7%
Free Cash Flow

-$2.08B

Previous: -$1.39B-49.2%
Net Income

$504M

Previous: $315M+60.0%
Operating Income

$934M

No prior period
Gross Profit

$1.17B

Previous: $1.05B+11.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$852M

Previous: $2B-57.3%
Total Assets

$31.5B

Previous: $40.8B-22.9%
Stock-Based Comp

$23M

Previous: $21M+9.5%

Revenue & EPS history

ADM · Revenue · Quarterly

$16.3B

Q4 2019+2.4%vs Q4 2018
Beat estimate in 10 of 16 quarters(63%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

ADM · $16.3B total across 3 segments · Q4 2019

  • Ag Services & Oilseeds
    $12.4B
  • Carbohydrate Solutions
    $2.48B
  • Nutrition
    $1.41B

Forward guidance

ADM expects market conditions to improve as the year progresses, particularly as impacts from the U.S.-China Phase 1 trade deal take hold. More importantly, another year of expected 20-plus percent growth in Nutrition profitability, combined with our work to improve business performance, advance Readiness, and harvest our growth investments, give us confidence in strong results in 2020 and the years to come.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2019

Historical avgQ4 2019

-0.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.0%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.8%

Avg return

30 days after

50%

35 / 70 earnings

Positive

+8.5%

Q3 2016

Best reaction

-9.7%

Q1 2017

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+1.6%+1.9%+7.3%
Q4 2025-0.4%-2.6%-2.3%
Q3 2025+0.1%-5.2%-1.2%
Q2 2025+6.0%+6.4%+13.9%
Q1 2025+1.7%+2.2%-1.1%
Q4 2024-5.1%-8.5%-3.9%
Q3 2024-0.7%-0.4%-6.6%
Q2 2024-2.0%-6.9%-3.9%
Q1 2024-3.8%-2.5%-0.9%
Q4 2023+6.1%+8.0%+14.0%
Q3 2023-1.9%-3.3%+2.7%
Q2 2023+4.6%+3.9%-3.3%
Q1 2023-4.7%-3.4%-8.8%
Q4 2022-2.3%-3.2%-4.8%
Q3 2022+4.8%+6.3%+8.4%
Q2 2022+6.4%+9.5%+20.2%
Q1 2022+3.3%-1.5%-2.9%
Q4 2021+5.4%+10.7%+10.6%
Q3 2021-3.2%-3.6%-0.5%
Q2 2021+0.3%+2.2%+2.2%
Q1 2021+5.2%+5.3%+11.0%
Q4 2020-6.6%-5.8%+8.0%
Q3 2020-6.6%-3.3%+1.9%
Q2 2020+1.8%+0.8%+5.4%
Q1 2020-0.1%-6.5%+5.8%
Q4 2019+4.3%+2.4%-14.3%
Q3 2019+4.7%+6.0%+5.9%
Q2 2019-2.5%-8.9%-7.4%
Q1 2019+3.7%+5.6%-6.1%
Q4 2018-5.9%-6.1%-5.2%
Q3 2018+0.4%+0.3%-5.3%
Q2 2018+1.6%+5.5%+6.4%
Q1 2018-2.1%-3.3%-3.7%
Q4 2017+3.9%+2.2%+6.6%
Q3 2017-5.1%-7.1%-6.8%
Q2 2017+0.7%+1.0%-2.0%
Q1 2017-9.7%-7.2%-8.6%
Q4 2016-1.3%-0.4%+0.9%
Q3 2016+8.5%+7.7%+1.7%
Q2 2016-0.7%+0.5%-2.5%
Q1 2016-3.8%
Q4 2015-5.7%
Q3 2015-7.0%
Q2 2015+1.1%
Q1 2015-0.8%
Q4 2014-4.2%
Q3 2014+6.5%
Q2 2014+3.6%
Q1 2014-1.5%
Q4 2013-0.6%
Q3 2013+2.9%
Q2 2013-0.3%
Q1 2013-1.0%
Q4 2012-6.6%
Q3 2012+6.9%
Q2 2012-1.8%
Q1 2012+4.0%
Q4 2011-2.8%
Q3 2011-4.5%
Q2 2011-1.8%
Q1 2011-2.0%
Q4 2008+0.9%
Q4 2010+0.9%
Q3 2010+4.2%
Q3 2009+4.2%
Q2 2010-2.3%
Q4 2009+0.1%
Q1 2009+0.1%
Q2 2009+0.1%
Q1 2010+0.1%

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