NYSE$ADM

Archer-Daniels-Midland Co · Q3 2024 earnings

Q3 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported third quarter results consistent with preliminary results, restated fiscal year 2023 Form 10-K and subsequent Forms 10-Q, and the restatement had no impact on consolidated financial results for 2023 and first and second quarters of 2024.

ADM reported third quarter 2024 financial results, with net earnings of $18 million and adjusted net earnings of $530 million. EPS was $0.04, while adjusted EPS was $1.09. The company filed its restated financial statements with no impact on ADM’s consolidated balance sheet, earnings, or cash flows for the periods presented in the restated filings.

  • Net earnings of $18 million, adjusted net earnings of $530 million (includes non-cash charge against GAAP earnings of $461 million related to our Wilmar equity investment)
  • Earnings per share of $0.04, with adjusted earnings per share of $1.09, both down versus the prior year period
  • Trailing four-quarter average return on invested capital (ROIC) of 6.6%, trailing four-quarter average adjusted return on invested capital (ROIC) of 8.8%
  • Year-to-date cash flows from operating activities were $2,468 million, with cash flows from operations before working capital of $2,341 million

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$19.9B

Previous: $21.7B-8.1%
EPS

$0.04

Previous: $1.63-97.5%
Processed oilseeds

8.4M

No prior period
Processed corn

4.9M

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$1.07B

Previous: -$1.06B-1.5%
Free Cash Flow

-$1.05B

Previous: -$234M-350.0%
Net Income

$18M

Previous: $821M-97.8%
Operating Income

-$17M

Previous: $960M-101.8%
Gross Profit

$1.37B

Previous: $1.81B-24.6%
Cash & Equivalents

$784M

Previous: $1.5B-47.7%
Total Assets

$52.2B

Previous: $55.1B-5.3%
Stock-Based Comp

-$10M

Previous: $12M-183.3%

Revenue & EPS history

ADM · Revenue · Quarterly

$19.9B

Q3 2024-8.1%vs Q3 2023
Beat estimate in 4 of 15 quarters(27%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

ADM · $21.6B total across 3 segments · Q3 2023

  • Ag Services & Oilseeds
    $16.5B-13.9%
  • Carbohydrate Solutions
    $3.33B-7.1%
  • Nutrition
    $1.78B-4.3%

Forward guidance

ADM expects adjusted earnings per share in the range of $4.50 to $5.00 for the full year 2024 based on trends in ADM’s performance to date, legislative and regulatory policy uncertainties, and ongoing headwinds from slower market demand and internal operational challenges.

Tailwinds

  • Improved environment in Ag Services is expected.
  • Solid demand and margins in North American Starches & Sweeteners.
  • Strong fundamentals in ethanol.
  • Fourth quarter operating profit will be higher than the prior year period in Nutrition.

Headwinds

  • Slower market demand.
  • Internal operational challenges.
  • Lower margins in Crushing and Refined Products & Other.
  • Moderating wheat milling margins.
  • Softer consumer demand, lower texturants pricing, and ongoing operational challenges, including prolonged downtime at Decatur East.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2024

Historical avgQ3 2024

-0.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.0%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.8%

Avg return

30 days after

50%

35 / 70 earnings

Positive

+8.5%

Q3 2016

Best reaction

-9.7%

Q1 2017

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+1.6%+1.9%+7.3%
Q4 2025-0.4%-2.6%-2.3%
Q3 2025+0.1%-5.2%-1.2%
Q2 2025+6.0%+6.4%+13.9%
Q1 2025+1.7%+2.2%-1.1%
Q4 2024-5.1%-8.5%-3.9%
Q3 2024-0.7%-0.4%-6.6%
Q2 2024-2.0%-6.9%-3.9%
Q1 2024-3.8%-2.5%-0.9%
Q4 2023+6.1%+8.0%+14.0%
Q3 2023-1.9%-3.3%+2.7%
Q2 2023+4.6%+3.9%-3.3%
Q1 2023-4.7%-3.4%-8.8%
Q4 2022-2.3%-3.2%-4.8%
Q3 2022+4.8%+6.3%+8.4%
Q2 2022+6.4%+9.5%+20.2%
Q1 2022+3.3%-1.5%-2.9%
Q4 2021+5.4%+10.7%+10.6%
Q3 2021-3.2%-3.6%-0.5%
Q2 2021+0.3%+2.2%+2.2%
Q1 2021+5.2%+5.3%+11.0%
Q4 2020-6.6%-5.8%+8.0%
Q3 2020-6.6%-3.3%+1.9%
Q2 2020+1.8%+0.8%+5.4%
Q1 2020-0.1%-6.5%+5.8%
Q4 2019+4.3%+2.4%-14.3%
Q3 2019+4.7%+6.0%+5.9%
Q2 2019-2.5%-8.9%-7.4%
Q1 2019+3.7%+5.6%-6.1%
Q4 2018-5.9%-6.1%-5.2%
Q3 2018+0.4%+0.3%-5.3%
Q2 2018+1.6%+5.5%+6.4%
Q1 2018-2.1%-3.3%-3.7%
Q4 2017+3.9%+2.2%+6.6%
Q3 2017-5.1%-7.1%-6.8%
Q2 2017+0.7%+1.0%-2.0%
Q1 2017-9.7%-7.2%-8.6%
Q4 2016-1.3%-0.4%+0.9%
Q3 2016+8.5%+7.7%+1.7%
Q2 2016-0.7%+0.5%-2.5%
Q1 2016-3.8%
Q4 2015-5.7%
Q3 2015-7.0%
Q2 2015+1.1%
Q1 2015-0.8%
Q4 2014-4.2%
Q3 2014+6.5%
Q2 2014+3.6%
Q1 2014-1.5%
Q4 2013-0.6%
Q3 2013+2.9%
Q2 2013-0.3%
Q1 2013-1.0%
Q4 2012-6.6%
Q3 2012+6.9%
Q2 2012-1.8%
Q1 2012+4.0%
Q4 2011-2.8%
Q3 2011-4.5%
Q2 2011-1.8%
Q1 2011-2.0%
Q4 2008+0.9%
Q4 2010+0.9%
Q3 2010+4.2%
Q3 2009+4.2%
Q2 2010-2.3%
Q4 2009+0.1%
Q1 2009+0.1%
Q2 2009+0.1%
Q1 2010+0.1%

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