NYSE$ADM

Archer-Daniels-Midland Co · Q1 2021 earnings

Q1 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

ADM delivered an outstanding first quarter, building on the great 2020 performance with strong earnings across all three businesses and a sixth consecutive quarter of year-over-year adjusted operating profit growth.

ADM reported an outstanding first quarter with strong earnings across all three businesses. The company achieved a sixth consecutive quarter of year-over-year adjusted operating profit growth. The outlook for 2021 has been substantially improved, with expectations of significant EPS growth and another record year.

  • Q1 net earnings of $689 million; adjusted net earnings of $783 million.
  • Adjusted segment operating profit up 86 percent year over year.
  • Ag Services and Oilseeds achieved a record Q1, with operating profits 84 percent higher year over year.
  • Calendar year outlook for 2021 substantially improved; expect significant EPS growth and another record year.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$18.9B

Previous: $15B+26.2%
EPS (adj)

$1.39

Previous: $0.64+117.2%
Capital Expenditures

-$174M

Previous: -$194M+10.3%
Free Cash Flow

$515M

Previous: $197M+161.4%
Net Income

$689M

Previous: $391M+76.2%
Operating Income

$751M

Previous: $246M+205.3%
Gross Profit

$1.55B

Previous: $951M+62.8%
Cash & Equivalents

$694M

Previous: $4.73B-85.3%
Total Assets

$51.5B

Previous: $48.4B+6.4%
Stock-Based Comp

$76M

Previous: $51M+49.0%

Revenue & EPS history

ADM · Revenue · Quarterly

$18.9B

Q1 2021+26.2%vs Q1 2020
Beat estimate in 13 of 16 quarters(81%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

ADM · $18.9B total across 4 segments · Q1 2021

  • Ag Services & Oilseeds
    $15B+35.5%
  • Carbohydrate Solutions
    $2.22B-4.0%
  • Nutrition
    $1.56B+6.3%
  • Other Business
    $100M

Forward guidance

The outlook for 2021 is even more optimistic than previously shared. Expect significant year-over-year growth in earnings across all three businesses in 2021, and continued sustainable growth in the years to come.

Tailwinds

  • Expect significant year-over-year growth in earnings across all three of our businesses in 2021.
  • Continued sustainable growth in the years to come.
  • Favorable demand trends for many of our products.
  • Expect that pattern to continue as vaccine rollouts accelerate and restrictions ease.
  • Moving into the next phase of our strategic transformation, which will sharpen our focus on two key pillars — Productivity and Innovation

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2021

Historical avgQ1 2021

-0.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.0%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.8%

Avg return

30 days after

50%

35 / 70 earnings

Positive

+8.5%

Q3 2016

Best reaction

-9.7%

Q1 2017

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+1.6%+1.9%+7.3%
Q4 2025-0.4%-2.6%-2.3%
Q3 2025+0.1%-5.2%-1.2%
Q2 2025+6.0%+6.4%+13.9%
Q1 2025+1.7%+2.2%-1.1%
Q4 2024-5.1%-8.5%-3.9%
Q3 2024-0.7%-0.4%-6.6%
Q2 2024-2.0%-6.9%-3.9%
Q1 2024-3.8%-2.5%-0.9%
Q4 2023+6.1%+8.0%+14.0%
Q3 2023-1.9%-3.3%+2.7%
Q2 2023+4.6%+3.9%-3.3%
Q1 2023-4.7%-3.4%-8.8%
Q4 2022-2.3%-3.2%-4.8%
Q3 2022+4.8%+6.3%+8.4%
Q2 2022+6.4%+9.5%+20.2%
Q1 2022+3.3%-1.5%-2.9%
Q4 2021+5.4%+10.7%+10.6%
Q3 2021-3.2%-3.6%-0.5%
Q2 2021+0.3%+2.2%+2.2%
Q1 2021+5.2%+5.3%+11.0%
Q4 2020-6.6%-5.8%+8.0%
Q3 2020-6.6%-3.3%+1.9%
Q2 2020+1.8%+0.8%+5.4%
Q1 2020-0.1%-6.5%+5.8%
Q4 2019+4.3%+2.4%-14.3%
Q3 2019+4.7%+6.0%+5.9%
Q2 2019-2.5%-8.9%-7.4%
Q1 2019+3.7%+5.6%-6.1%
Q4 2018-5.9%-6.1%-5.2%
Q3 2018+0.4%+0.3%-5.3%
Q2 2018+1.6%+5.5%+6.4%
Q1 2018-2.1%-3.3%-3.7%
Q4 2017+3.9%+2.2%+6.6%
Q3 2017-5.1%-7.1%-6.8%
Q2 2017+0.7%+1.0%-2.0%
Q1 2017-9.7%-7.2%-8.6%
Q4 2016-1.3%-0.4%+0.9%
Q3 2016+8.5%+7.7%+1.7%
Q2 2016-0.7%+0.5%-2.5%
Q1 2016-3.8%
Q4 2015-5.7%
Q3 2015-7.0%
Q2 2015+1.1%
Q1 2015-0.8%
Q4 2014-4.2%
Q3 2014+6.5%
Q2 2014+3.6%
Q1 2014-1.5%
Q4 2013-0.6%
Q3 2013+2.9%
Q2 2013-0.3%
Q1 2013-1.0%
Q4 2012-6.6%
Q3 2012+6.9%
Q2 2012-1.8%
Q1 2012+4.0%
Q4 2011-2.8%
Q3 2011-4.5%
Q2 2011-1.8%
Q1 2011-2.0%
Q4 2008+0.9%
Q4 2010+0.9%
Q3 2010+4.2%
Q3 2009+4.2%
Q2 2010-2.3%
Q4 2009+0.1%
Q1 2009+0.1%
Q2 2009+0.1%
Q1 2010+0.1%

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