NYSE$ACCO

ACCO Brands Corporation · Q1 2023 earnings

Q1 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

ACCO Brands' Q1 2023 results were highlighted by improved margins and cash flow.

ACCO Brands reported net sales of $403 million, exceeding expectations, with gross margins improving by 250 basis points year-over-year. Operating income increased by 49% to $10.1 million, and adjusted operating income grew by 8% to $24.3 million. The company reiterates its full-year 2023 outlook, supported by the better-than-expected first-quarter results.

  • Net sales reached $403 million, surpassing the company's outlook.
  • Gross margins improved by 250 basis points compared to the previous year.
  • Operating income increased by 49% year-over-year to $10.1 million.
  • Net operating cash outflow improved by $82 million due to better working capital management.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$403M

Previous: $442M-8.8%
EPS (adj)

$0.09

Previous: $0.11-18.2%
Operating income margin

2.5%

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

-$3.7M

Previous: -$6.1M+39.3%
Net Income

-$3.7M

Previous: -$2.7M-37.0%
Operating Income

$10.1M

Previous: $6.8M+48.5%
Gross Profit

$119M

Previous: $120M-0.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$127M

Previous: $91.3M+39.2%
Total Assets

$2.79B

Previous: $3.1B-9.9%
Stock-Based Comp

$5.6M

Previous: $4.9M+14.3%

Revenue & EPS history

ACCO Brands · Revenue · Quarterly

$403M

Q1 2023-8.8%vs Q1 2022
Beat estimate in 8 of 15 quarters(53%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

The Company is reaffirming its full year 2023 outlook and providing a 2Q outlook. For the full year, we expect comparable sales to be flat to down 3 percent, reflecting a challenging near-term demand environment. In the second quarter, we expect comparable sales to be down 4 percent to down 7 percent, with adjusted EPS within a range of $0.29 to $0.32.

Tailwinds

  • Full year adjusted EPS is expected to rise 4 percent to 8 percent, to $1.08 to $1.12
  • Double-digit growth in adjusted operating income
  • Foreign exchange is expected to be neutral to reported revenue.
  • Company expects 2023 free cash flow to grow to at least $100 million
  • Company expects to end the year with a consolidated leverage ratio of 3.5x to 3.7x.

Headwinds

  • Challenging near-term demand environment.
  • Comparable sales to be flat to down 3 percent for the full year.
  • Comparable sales to be down 4 percent to down 7 percent for the second quarter.
  • Higher interest expenses.
  • Higher non-cash non-operating pension expenses.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2023

Historical avgQ1 2023

+1.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.2%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.4%

Avg return

30 days after

48%

31 / 65 earnings

Positive

+26.2%

Q3 2016

Best reaction

-19.1%

Q3 2018

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+23.1%+25.5%+23.7%
Q4 2025-6.6%-13.6%-25.6%
Q3 2025-6.9%-4.6%-12.0%
Q1 2025-5.6%-8.0%-7.0%
Q4 2024-17.4%-17.6%-21.4%
Q3 2024+5.8%+16.9%+17.1%
Q2 2024-9.0%-9.0%+7.2%
Q1 2024+2.5%+3.2%+6.9%
Q4 2023-13.4%+8.0%-4.2%
Q3 2023-0.6%-5.5%+7.7%
Q2 2023-4.5%-7.3%-13.2%
Q1 2023+15.6%+16.3%+16.3%
Q4 2022-3.6%+1.4%-11.4%
Q3 2022+15.6%+19.7%+24.1%
Q2 2022-8.8%-2.2%-20.7%
Q1 2022-5.2%-6.4%-6.4%
Q4 2021+8.4%+10.2%+2.6%
Q3 2021-6.3%-6.7%-0.1%
Q2 2021+8.8%+8.1%+14.8%
Q1 2021+4.1%+0.4%+5.7%
Q4 2020-6.3%-7.6%-2.4%
Q3 2020-9.8%-15.4%+30.2%
Q2 2020+1.9%-5.0%-3.6%
Q1 2020-11.4%-10.3%-3.1%
Q4 2019+13.2%+7.1%-32.7%
Q3 2019-11.2%-8.6%-8.4%
Q2 2019+19.9%+18.1%+13.6%
Q1 2019-3.1%-4.5%-16.9%
Q4 2018-2.4%+0.5%-3.1%
Q3 2018-19.1%-10.2%-18.7%
Q2 2018-6.6%-5.9%-9.6%
Q1 2018-1.7%-2.1%+7.1%
Q4 2017+23.3%+22.4%+19.3%
Q3 2017+0.0%-1.5%+2.7%
Q2 2017-9.4%-6.4%-6.0%
Q1 2017-5.3%-11.6%-17.3%
Q4 2016+8.9%+7.8%+0.8%
Q3 2016+26.2%+21.8%+39.4%
Q2 2016-10.7%-11.2%-10.1%
Q1 2016+7.2%
Q4 2015+9.4%
Q3 2015-0.4%
Q2 2015+12.4%
Q1 2015-6.6%
Q4 2014-6.2%
Q3 2014+7.6%
Q2 2014+9.8%
Q1 2014+2.2%
Q4 2013+2.4%
Q3 2013-17.5%
Q2 2013-6.7%
Q1 2013-3.2%
Q4 2012-4.6%
Q3 2012+24.1%
Q2 2012-17.1%
Q1 2012+3.4%
Q1 2011+3.4%
Q4 2011+1.9%
Q4 2009+1.9%
Q3 2011+21.9%
Q3 2010+21.9%
Q4 2010+17.3%
Q2 2011+17.3%
Q2 2010+17.3%
Q1 2010-2.0%

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