NYSE$AAP

Advance Auto Parts Inc · Q2 2022 earnings

Q2 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Advance Auto Parts' Q2 2022 financial performance saw a slight increase in net sales, but a decrease in comparable store sales. Adjusted operating income margin reached a seven-year high, driving record adjusted diluted earnings per share.

Advance Auto Parts reported a 0.6% increase in net sales to $2.7 billion, driven by growth in the professional business, while comparable store sales decreased by 0.6%. Adjusted operating income margin expanded to 11.7%, the highest in seven years, contributing to a record adjusted diluted EPS of $3.74. The company returned $291 million to shareholders through share repurchases and dividends.

  • Net sales increased 0.6% to $2.7 billion.
  • Comparable store sales decreased 0.6%.
  • Adjusted operating income margin reached 11.7%, the highest in seven years.
  • Adjusted diluted EPS increased 10.0% to $3.74.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$2.67B

Previous: $2.65B+0.6%
EPS (adj)

$3.74

Previous: $3.40+10.0%
Comparable Store Sales

-0.6%

Previous: 5.8%-110.3%
Capital Expenditures

-$211M

Previous: -$130M-63.0%
Free Cash Flow

-$66.8M

Previous: $49.1M-236.0%
Net Income

$144M

Previous: $179M-19.2%
Operating Income

$202M

Previous: $245M-17.7%
Gross Profit

$1.19B

Previous: $1.19B-0.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$241M

Previous: $809M-70.3%
Total Assets

$12.1B

Previous: $11.8B+2.5%
Stock-Based Comp

$12.4M

No prior period

Revenue & EPS history

Advance Auto Parts · Revenue · Quarterly

$2.67B

Q2 2022+0.6%vs Q2 2021
Beat estimate in 11 of 16 quarters(69%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Advance Auto Parts updated its full year 2022 guidance, anticipating net sales between $11.0 and $11.2 billion, and comparable store sales to range from -1.0% to 0.0%. They expect adjusted operating income margin between 9.8% and 10.0% and adjusted diluted EPS between $12.75 and $13.25.

Tailwinds

  • Well positioned to create long-term value for shareholders
  • Delivering on long-term goals shared in strategic update
  • Remain relentlessly focused on customer service
  • Confident this will help enable sustainable sales growth
  • Confident this will help enable margin expansion and strong cash returns

Headwinds

  • External environment has changed significantly since 2021 strategic update
  • Volatility remains
  • Industry is not immune to the inflationary pressures consumers and broader retail have been experiencing
  • High inflation and significant year over year increases in fuel prices will continue to pressure DIY consumers in the back half of the year
  • Updating 2022 full year guidance

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2022

Historical avgQ2 2022

-0.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.9%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.9%

Avg return

30 days after

45%

29 / 65 earnings

Positive

+57.0%

Q1 2025

Best reaction

-39.4%

Q1 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2027+13.3%+7.5%+17.3%
Q4 2025+1.1%-3.9%-11.1%
Q3 2025-8.4%-12.8%-5.9%
Q2 2025-7.5%-8.9%-1.2%
Q1 2025+57.0%+58.4%+57.8%
Q4 2024-17.8%-22.8%-15.1%
Q3 2024-7.9%-6.0%+7.1%
Q2 2024-20.6%-22.7%-33.8%
Q1 2024-4.6%-3.9%-9.8%
Q4 2023+4.3%+7.6%+31.4%
Q3 2023-8.5%-9.2%+7.4%
Q2 2023+0.8%-2.5%-14.5%
Q1 2023-39.4%-41.5%-37.3%
Q4 2022-1.3%-1.5%-15.7%
Q3 2022-15.0%-19.7%-22.1%
Q2 2022-9.4%-12.5%-17.3%
Q1 2022-0.9%+6.1%-4.0%
Q4 2021-0.2%-1.9%-6.9%
Q3 2021-1.4%-3.8%+0.0%
Q2 2021+2.2%-1.9%+3.0%
Q1 2021-1.8%-0.8%+8.4%
Q4 2020+5.9%+8.6%+20.2%
Q3 2020-0.1%-1.7%+1.0%
Q2 2020-0.1%-3.0%-3.9%
Q1 2020+3.5%+1.8%+12.7%
Q4 2019+4.9%+5.3%-35.6%
Q3 2019-6.1%-3.6%-7.5%
Q2 2019-4.0%-3.9%+9.2%
Q1 2019-0.9%-2.0%-5.0%
Q4 2018-2.3%-5.0%-0.5%
Q3 2018+6.4%+7.3%-0.5%
Q2 2018+9.1%+10.3%+15.1%
Q1 2018+3.4%+4.8%+17.1%
Q4 2017+4.9%+9.0%+5.2%
Q3 2017+11.3%+8.5%+21.8%
Q2 2017-16.3%-14.7%-8.5%
Q1 2017-6.2%-4.6%-14.9%
Q4 2016-1.2%-2.6%-6.7%
Q3 2016+13.3%+12.1%+18.3%
Q2 2016-5.8%-5.8%-11.2%
Q1 2016+1.8%
Q4 2015+1.6%
Q3 2015-17.0%
Q2 2015+8.7%
Q1 2015+6.9%
Q4 2014-7.5%
Q3 2014-5.0%
Q2 2014+6.9%
Q1 2014-1.2%
Q4 2013+12.9%
Q3 2013-0.1%
Q2 2013+1.1%
Q1 2013-2.8%
Q4 2012+8.2%
Q3 2012-1.7%
Q2 2012-2.8%
Q1 2012+1.3%
Q4 2009+1.4%
Q3 2011-1.3%
Q2 2011-0.6%
Q1 2011-1.0%
Q3 2010+0.3%
Q2 2010+0.8%
Q1 2010+2.2%
Q4 2010+2.2%

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