NASDAQ$UDMY

Udemy Inc · Q3 2023 earnings

Q3 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Udemy Q3 2023 earnings exceeded expectations with strong revenue growth and positive adjusted EBITDA.

Udemy's Q3 2023 earnings showcased strong performance with revenue exceeding guidance and a 17% year-over-year increase. The company achieved its second consecutive quarter of positive adjusted EBITDA and free cash flow. Udemy Business revenue grew by 30% year-over-year, driven by new customer additions and expansions.

  • Total revenue increased by 17% year-over-year to $184.7 million, surpassing the high end of guidance by $4.7 million.
  • Udemy Business revenue grew by 30% year-over-year to $109.1 million, with ARR increasing by 26% to $443.1 million.
  • Consumer segment revenue increased by 1% year-over-year to $75.6 million.
  • Udemy ended the quarter with $483.0 million in cash, cash equivalents, restricted cash, and marketable securities.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$185M

Previous: $158M+16.6%
EPS (adj)

$0.05

Previous: -$0.15+133.3%
Capital Expenditures

-$435K

Previous: -$1.4M+68.9%
Free Cash Flow

-$17.2M

Previous: -$48.1M+64.2%
Net Income

-$16.8M

Previous: -$46.7M+64.1%
Operating Income

-$21.5M

Previous: -$43.3M+50.3%
Gross Profit

$107M

Previous: $89.4M+20.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$328M

Previous: $428M-23.4%
Total Assets

$736M

Previous: $730M+0.8%
R&D Expense

$30.3M

No prior period
Stock-Based Comp

$23.5M

Previous: $25M-5.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Udemy · Revenue · Quarterly

$185M

Q3 2023+16.6%vs Q3 2022
Beat estimate in 11 of 16 quarters(69%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Udemy · $76.6M total across 1 segment · Q2 2023

  • Consumer
    $76.6M-2.4%

Forward guidance

Udemy provides revenue guidance for Q4 2023 to be between $184 million and $187 million and expects an adjusted EBITDA margin between 0.0% and 1.0%. For the full year 2023, Udemy expects revenue between $723 million and $726 million, with an adjusted EBITDA margin between 0.5% and 1.0%.

Tailwinds

  • Revenue is expected to be between $184 million and $187 million for Q4 2023.
  • Adjusted EBITDA margin is projected to be between 0.0% and 1.0% for Q4 2023.
  • Full year 2023 revenue is anticipated to be between $723 million and $726 million.
  • Full year 2023 adjusted EBITDA margin is expected to be between 0.5% and 1.0%.
  • The company is focusing on delivering value for all stakeholders, while making high-growth investments and managing cost structure efficiently.

Headwinds

  • Revenue guidance range assumes historical changes in foreign currency exchange rates will negatively impact total revenue year-over-year growth by approximately 2 percentage points in the fourth quarter and 3 percentage points for the full year 2023.
  • Udemy's revenue guidance also assumes FX rates will remain constant for the remainder of the year.
  • Plans to adjust the content payment structure for its Udemy Business and consumer subscription offerings, reducing the instructor share from 25% today to 15% by 2026, with the first adjustment to 20% effective as of January 1, 2024.
  • The adjustment is expected to improve future gross margin, which will allow the Company to make greater investments in brand initiatives and product innovation to accelerate growth in the business.
  • Actual results may differ materially.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2023

Historical avgQ3 2023

+2.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.9%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.6%

Avg return

30 days after

50%

12 / 24 earnings

Positive

+40.7%

Q3 2023

Best reaction

-22.1%

Q4 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-2.9%
Q4 2025+0.0%-2.3%+3.8%
Q3 2025-11.6%-16.5%-20.4%
Q2 2025+9.2%+4.6%-1.9%
Q1 2025-6.6%-5.7%+6.6%
Q4 2024+28.0%+29.2%+4.9%
Q3 2024-1.1%-2.7%-2.5%
Q2 2024-17.7%-22.2%-7.3%
Q1 2024+0.7%+0.2%-12.1%
Q4 2023-22.1%-20.9%-21.4%
Q3 2023+40.7%+40.9%+67.2%
Q2 2023-4.5%-4.1%-9.6%
Q1 2023+2.9%+1.5%+21.4%
Q4 2022-0.7%-11.8%-23.9%
Q3 2022-3.9%+0.8%-2.7%
Q2 2021+23.0%+23.2%+21.7%
Q2 2022+23.0%+23.2%+21.7%
Q1 2021+5.1%+18.8%+39.5%
Q1 2022+5.1%+18.8%+39.5%
Q4 2019+1.0%+3.2%-15.0%
Q4 2021-13.0%-14.2%-30.8%
Q3 2020+0.2%-7.0%-30.2%
Q4 2020+0.2%-7.0%-30.2%
Q3 2021-6.5%-5.8%-32.5%
Q2 2020
Q1 2020

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