NASDAQ$RUSHA

Rush Enterprises Inc · Q4 2019 earnings

Q4 2019 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported strong financial results despite declines in new Class 8 truck sales and aftermarket products and services sales in Q4.

Rush Enterprises reported Q4 2019 revenues of $1.3 billion and net income of $23.8 million, or $0.64 per diluted share. While aftermarket product and services revenues remained relatively flat compared to the previous year, the company experienced declines in new Class 8 truck sales. The company's absorption ratio was 116.6% in the fourth quarter of 2019.

  • Q4 revenues totaled $1.3 billion.
  • Q4 net income was $23.8 million, or $0.64 per diluted share.
  • Aftermarket product and services revenues were $421.2 million.
  • The company’s absorption ratio was 116.6%.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.32B

Previous: $1.54B-14.4%
EPS (adj)

$0.29

Previous: $0.53-45.3%
Dealership Absorption Ratio

116.6%

Previous: 124.3%-6.2%
Capital Expenditures

$62.9M

Previous: $62M+1.4%
Free Cash Flow

$137M

Previous: -$49.7M+375.2%
Net Income

$23.8M

Previous: $47M-49.3%
Operating Income

$39.4M

Previous: $68.4M-42.4%
Gross Profit

$234M

Previous: $259M-9.4%
Cash & Equivalents

$182M

Previous: $132M+37.9%
Total Assets

$3.41B

Previous: $3.2B+6.4%
Stock-Based Comp

$3.2M

Previous: $2.21M+45.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Rush Enterprises · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.32B

Q4 2019-14.4%vs Q4 2018
Beat estimate in 13 of 16 quarters(81%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Rush Enterprises anticipates relatively flat parts and service activity throughout the industry in 2020 compared to 2019 and expects medium-duty performance to be on pace with the market.

Tailwinds

  • Freight rates are expected to improve in the second half of the year.
  • The housing sector is growing.
  • The economy is healthy.
  • Believes aftermarket demand from our energy sector customers has bottomed.
  • Focused on gaining market share and believe we are positioned for modest aftermarket products and services revenues growth in 2020.

Headwinds

  • 2020 will be a challenging year for the new Class 8 truck market.
  • Excess truck capacity in the market resulting from exceptionally high unit sales volumes over the past two years.
  • Excess truck capacity has negatively impacted freight rates for our customers.
  • Declining freight rates, coupled with the fact that this is an election year, generally results in our customers being more cautious with their purchase decisions.
  • Employee benefits and payroll taxes will negatively impact expenses in the first quarter of 2020 compared to the fourth quarter of 2019

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2019

Historical avgQ4 2019

+0.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.7%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.8%

Avg return

30 days after

52%

34 / 65 earnings

Positive

+14.0%

Q3 2016

Best reaction

-17.1%

Q4 2015

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+2.9%-5.8%-8.0%
Q4 2025+2.9%+4.7%-10.0%
Q3 2025-0.1%-7.3%+3.3%
Q1 2025-0.6%-5.8%-2.6%
Q4 2024+1.3%-9.7%-12.7%
Q3 2024+5.5%+3.9%+11.2%
Q2 2024+7.1%-1.9%+2.9%
Q1 2024-3.8%-3.2%-9.3%
Q4 2023-1.5%-2.2%+1.1%
Q3 2023-9.4%-8.6%+0.1%
Q2 2023+3.8%+1.2%+0.1%
Q1 2023-3.9%-2.3%-2.3%
Q4 2022+7.6%+5.5%-9.5%
Q3 2022-1.3%+2.4%+6.2%
Q2 2022-5.0%-4.0%+1.9%
Q1 2022+3.3%+3.5%+3.4%
Q4 2021-1.3%-1.4%+4.5%
Q3 2021+6.7%+13.4%+18.0%
Q2 2021+7.1%+6.8%-0.8%
Q1 2021-1.7%+3.2%+0.6%
Q4 2020-3.2%-3.9%+16.0%
Q3 2020+2.8%+3.2%+6.2%
Q2 2020+8.0%+9.2%+12.1%
Q1 2020+7.7%+13.3%+21.5%
Q4 2019-7.9%-4.7%-25.3%
Q3 2019+1.7%+4.3%+2.2%
Q2 2019+4.2%+5.4%+4.7%
Q1 2019-1.9%-3.7%-19.2%
Q4 2018+9.9%+13.6%+7.3%
Q3 2018-0.9%+4.8%+12.8%
Q2 2018-5.3%-2.0%-4.3%
Q1 2018-5.2%-4.3%+0.6%
Q4 2017-11.2%-11.8%-9.6%
Q3 2017+11.8%+7.0%+2.6%
Q2 2017+7.4%+13.0%+2.6%
Q1 2017+6.7%+7.4%+4.5%
Q4 2016+4.8%+7.3%+5.4%
Q3 2016+14.0%+15.0%+28.9%
Q2 2016+0.7%+1.6%+4.9%
Q1 2016-1.2%
Q4 2015-17.1%
Q3 2015-5.3%
Q2 2015+4.0%
Q1 2015-0.2%
Q4 2014+0.5%
Q3 2014+0.1%
Q2 2014+6.8%
Q1 2014-2.6%
Q4 2013+2.4%
Q3 2013+2.1%
Q2 2013-3.8%
Q1 2013+1.9%
Q2 2012-2.9%
Q4 2012+2.2%
Q3 2012+0.7%
Q1 2011-3.2%
Q1 2012-3.2%
Q4 2011-1.0%
Q4 2009-1.0%
Q2 2011-1.0%
Q3 2011-4.6%
Q3 2010-4.6%
Q2 2010+0.3%
Q4 2010+0.3%
Q1 2010+13.0%

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