NASDAQ$PGY

Pagaya Technologies Ltd · Q4 2025 earnings

Q4 2025 earnings · · Before market open · Investor relations

Briefing

Pagaya reported Q4 2025 total revenue and other income of $335M and GAAP net income of $34M on $2.7B network volume.

Q4 total revenue and other income was $334.8 million (+20% YoY) with network volume of $2.7 billion. GAAP net income attributable to Pagaya was $34.3 million versus a large prior-year loss; adjusted net income was $78.8 million. Management highlighted durable growth in auto and point-of-sale verticals and improving profitability.

  • Q4 revenue and other income $335M (+20%).
  • GAAP net income $34M; adjusted net income $79M.
  • Network volume $2.7B in the quarter.
  • FY2025 revenue and other income $1.30B (+26%).

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$335M

Previous: $279M+19.8%
EPS (adj)

$0.80

Previous: $0.17+370.6%
Network Volume

$2.68B

Previous: $2.6B+3.1%
FRLPC

$131M

Previous: $117M+11.5%
FRLPC Margin

4.9%

Previous: 4.5%+8.9%
Adjusted EBITDA

$98.1M

Previous: $64.2M+52.8%
Adjusted Net Income

$78.8M

Previous: $13.2M+495.5%
Net Income

$34.3M

Previous: -$238M+114.4%
Operating Income

$79.7M

Previous: $31.7M+151.2%

Revenue & EPS history

Pagaya · Revenue · Quarterly

$335M

Q4 2025+19.8%vs Q4 2024
Beat estimate in 8 of 13 quarters(62%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Pagaya discussed 2026 outlook around network volume, fee economics, and funding partners after delivering record FY2025 revenue and profitability versus prior outlook ranges.

Tailwinds

  • Return to GAAP profitability in Q4.
  • Strong adjusted EBITDA and fee revenue growth.
  • Auto and POS vertical momentum.

Headwinds

  • Credit performance and funding market volatility.
  • Fair-value marks on loan investments.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2025

Historical avgQ4 2025

-0.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

-2.8%

Avg return

5 days after

-8.5%

Avg return

30 days after

45%

9 / 20 earnings

Positive

+24.3%

Q4 2024

Best reaction

-39.7%

Q3 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+3.3%-8.9%-1.8%
Q4 2025-23.9%-33.3%-38.4%
Q3 2025+12.7%-2.2%+1.0%
Q1 2025-2.4%+33.6%+52.4%
Q4 2024+24.3%+43.9%-10.4%
Q3 2024-39.7%-47.8%-43.9%
Q2 2024-21.5%-18.8%-18.7%
Q1 2024+20.8%+16.8%+17.6%
Q4 2023+15.4%+15.4%-34.4%
Q3 2023+9.3%+4.7%+14.0%
Q2 2023+9.1%-9.5%-7.4%
Q1 2023-7.2%-4.6%+25.8%
Q4 2020-2.6%-9.3%-3.1%
Q4 2021-2.6%-9.3%-3.1%
Q4 2022-3.7%-8.2%-26.1%
Q3 2022+10.2%+0.0%-42.5%
Q2 2022-9.0%-17.6%-51.4%
Q1 2022-0.3%-0.1%-0.2%
Q3 2021+0.2%+0.2%+1.2%
Q2 2021-0.1%-0.3%-0.5%
Q1 2021
Q3 2020
Q2 2020
Q1 2020

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