NASDAQ$PGY

Pagaya Technologies Ltd · Q1 2025 earnings

Q1 2025 earnings · · Before market open · Investor relations

Briefing

Pagaya Technologies reported Q1 2025, revenue of $167.9M, net loss of $48M.

For Q1 2025, Pagaya Technologies reported revenue of $167.9M, a net loss of $48M. Management discusses operating trends, capital, and sector risks in the quarterly filing.

  • Q1 2025 revenue $167.9M.
  • Net loss $48M.
  • Pagaya Technologies highlights liquidity, execution, and sector-specific risks in MD&A.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$290M

Previous: $245M+18.2%
EPS (adj)

$0.70

Previous: -$0.33+312.1%
Network Volume

$2.4B

Previous: $2.42B-0.8%
FRLPC

$116M

Previous: $92.1M+25.5%
FRLPC Margin

4.8%

Previous: 3.8%+26.3%
Adjusted EBITDA

$80M

Previous: $40M+100.0%
Adjusted Net Income

$53M

Previous: $13.3M+297.6%
Capital Expenditures

-$3.78M

Previous: -$5.15M+26.6%
Net Income

$7.89M

Previous: -$21.2M+137.2%
Operating Income

$47.7M

Previous: $7.69M+520.1%

Revenue & EPS history

Pagaya · Revenue · Quarterly

$290M

Q1 2025+18.2%vs Q1 2024
Beat estimate in 8 of 13 quarters(62%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Mortgage, credit, and fintech platforms cite rate sensitivity, origination volumes, and capital markets activity; numeric EPS guides are limited in the 10-Q.

Tailwinds

  • Higher volumes when rates stabilize or refinance windows open.
  • Technology and data monetization opportunities.
  • Diversified fee streams beyond gain-on-sale.

Headwinds

  • Rate volatility compresses mortgage margins.
  • Credit losses if macro weakens.
  • Regulatory changes affecting consumer finance.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2025

Historical avgQ1 2025

-0.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

-2.8%

Avg return

5 days after

-8.5%

Avg return

30 days after

45%

9 / 20 earnings

Positive

+24.3%

Q4 2024

Best reaction

-39.7%

Q3 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+3.3%-8.9%-1.8%
Q4 2025-23.9%-33.3%-38.4%
Q3 2025+12.7%-2.2%+1.0%
Q1 2025-2.4%+33.6%+52.4%
Q4 2024+24.3%+43.9%-10.4%
Q3 2024-39.7%-47.8%-43.9%
Q2 2024-21.5%-18.8%-18.7%
Q1 2024+20.8%+16.8%+17.6%
Q4 2023+15.4%+15.4%-34.4%
Q3 2023+9.3%+4.7%+14.0%
Q2 2023+9.1%-9.5%-7.4%
Q1 2023-7.2%-4.6%+25.8%
Q4 2020-2.6%-9.3%-3.1%
Q4 2021-2.6%-9.3%-3.1%
Q4 2022-3.7%-8.2%-26.1%
Q3 2022+10.2%+0.0%-42.5%
Q2 2022-9.0%-17.6%-51.4%
Q1 2022-0.3%-0.1%-0.2%
Q3 2021+0.2%+0.2%+1.2%
Q2 2021-0.1%-0.3%-0.5%
Q1 2021
Q3 2020
Q2 2020
Q1 2020

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