NASDAQ$PBYI

Puma Biotechnology Inc · Q1 2021 earnings

Q1 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Puma Biotechnology's financial performance improved in Q1 2021, with a significant increase in total revenue and a shift to net income, driven by license revenue and Nerlynx sales.

Puma Biotechnology reported a net income of $16.5 million, or $0.40 per diluted share, for the first quarter of 2021, compared to a net loss of $16.9 million, or $0.43 per share, for the first quarter of 2020. Total revenue increased to $98.2 million, driven by $50.0 million in license revenue and $45.8 million in net product revenue. The company had cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities of $109.1 million at the end of the quarter.

  • Puma Biotechnology reported a net income of $16.5 million, a significant turnaround from the net loss of $16.9 million in the same quarter last year.
  • Total revenue surged to $98.2 million, primarily due to a substantial increase in license revenue to $50.0 million.
  • Net product revenue from NERLYNX was $45.8 million, slightly lower than the $48.6 million in the first quarter of 2020.
  • The company's cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities stood at $109.1 million as of March 31, 2021.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$98.2M

Previous: $51.2M+91.7%
EPS (adj)

$0.55

Previous: -$0.43+227.9%
Operating Cash Flow

$15.7M

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

$16.5M

Previous: -$16.9M+197.6%
Net Income

$16.5M

Previous: -$16.9M+197.6%
Operating Income

$20.1M

Previous: -$14.3M+241.4%
Gross Profit

$100K

Previous: $100K+0.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$95.7M

Previous: $83.4M+14.7%
Total Assets

$259M

Previous: $226M+14.7%
Stock-Based Comp

$5.86M

Previous: $8.91M-34.2%

Revenue & EPS history

Puma Biotechnology · Revenue · Quarterly

$98.2M

Q1 2021+91.7%vs Q1 2020
Beat estimate in 12 of 16 quarters(75%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Puma Biotechnology · $48.2M total across 2 segments · Q1 2021

  • Product Revenue, Net
    $45.8M-5.8%
  • Royalty Revenue
    $2.4M+300.0%

Forward guidance

Puma Biotechnology anticipates several key milestones over the next 12 months, including reporting top line data from the Phase II SUMMIT trial, conducting a pre-NDA meeting with the FDA, and receiving regulatory decisions for the extended adjuvant HER2-positive early stage breast cancer indication in additional countries.

Tailwinds

  • Reporting top line data from the randomized cohort of the Phase II SUMMIT trial of neratinib in hormone receptor positive breast cancer that has a HER2 mutation (2021).
  • Reporting Phase II data from the SUMMIT trial of neratinib in non-small cell lung cancer patients with EGFR exon 18 mutations (H2-2021).
  • Conducting a pre-NDA meeting with the FDA to discuss accelerated approval of neratinib in HER2-mutated hormone receptor positive breast cancer and HER2-mutated cervical cancer (2021).
  • Reporting data from the Phase II TBCRC-022 trial of the combination of Kadcyla plus neratinib in patients with HER2-positive breast cancer with brain metastases who have previously been treated with Kadcyla (H2-2021).
  • Conducting a meeting with the FDA to discuss the potential for an accelerated approval pathway for neratinib in non-small cell lung cancer patients with EGFR exon 18 mutations who have previously been treated with an EGFR tyrosine kinase inhibitor (2021).

Headwinds

  • Potential adverse impact on Puma’s business from the global COVID-19 pandemic.
  • Risks and uncertainties that could cause Puma’s actual results to differ materially from the anticipated results.
  • The risk factors disclosed in the periodic and current reports filed by Puma with the Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Uncertainties related to the worldwide expansion of NERLYNX.
  • Uncertainties related to Puma’s anticipated milestones.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2021

Historical avgQ1 2021

-1.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.7%

Avg return

5 days after

+4.4%

Avg return

30 days after

47%

21 / 45 earnings

Positive

+36.4%

Q4 2018

Best reaction

-45.8%

Q3 2018

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-2.8%-6.0%-5.8%
Q4 2025-25.1%-15.8%-20.0%
Q3 2025+21.8%+1.8%+8.2%
Q1 2025-4.6%-5.5%+21.2%
Q4 2024+19.7%+18.4%+5.0%
Q3 2024-5.9%+4.9%+2.0%
Q2 2024+6.7%+12.3%-30.4%
Q1 2024-1.8%-4.0%-22.2%
Q4 2023-10.8%-21.5%-19.7%
Q3 2023+4.9%+9.4%+41.5%
Q2 2023+5.8%+13.3%+2.5%
Q1 2023+19.8%+19.4%+35.0%
Q4 2022-20.1%-26.6%-23.1%
Q3 2022+25.5%+50.9%+106.0%
Q2 2022+23.5%+17.4%-17.0%
Q1 2022-19.1%-26.0%-4.9%
Q4 2021+13.5%+25.7%+34.2%
Q3 2021-39.1%-42.2%-54.6%
Q2 2021+3.6%+3.6%+7.9%
Q1 2021+1.6%-0.8%+17.0%
Q4 2020-11.9%-11.9%-12.6%
Q3 2020-11.0%+1.3%+31.8%
Q2 2020-5.7%-7.9%-11.6%
Q1 2020+11.2%+23.1%+6.4%
Q4 2019-2.4%-18.8%-43.9%
Q3 2019+4.2%+18.0%+9.1%
Q2 2019+26.7%+25.8%+22.1%
Q1 2019-38.6%-41.5%-53.9%
Q4 2018+36.4%+35.3%+35.9%
Q3 2018-45.8%-39.5%-37.3%
Q2 2018-7.5%-7.1%-2.1%
Q1 2018-19.0%-18.9%-24.3%
Q4 2017+8.7%+16.7%+4.1%
Q3 2017-22.2%-24.3%-23.9%
Q2 2017-11.6%-1.7%+28.0%
Q1 2017+1.5%+4.3%+163.9%
Q4 2016-10.6%-8.3%+1.4%
Q3 2016+21.3%-0.5%-9.4%
Q3 2015-9.6%
Q1 2015+2.0%
Q4 2014-3.3%
Q1 2013+3.7%
Q3 2012-6.4%
Q2 2012+0.0%
Q1 2012+1.9%
Q3 2011
Q2 2011
Q1 2011
Q4 2010
Q3 2010
Q2 2010
Q1 2010

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