NASDAQ$PBYI

Puma Biotechnology Inc · Q2 2020 earnings

Q2 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Puma Biotechnology reported net income for Q2 2020, with NERLYNX revenues within the company's guidance range, despite COVID-19 challenges and inventory draw down.

Puma Biotechnology reported a net income of $3.4 million for the second quarter of 2020, a significant improvement compared to the net loss of $37.4 million in the same quarter of the previous year. NERLYNX product revenue was $48.8 million, slightly lower than the $53.8 million in Q2 2019. Total revenue for the quarter was $70.6 million, including license and royalty revenue.

  • Puma Biotechnology reported a net income of $3.4 million for Q2 2020, compared to a net loss of $37.4 million for Q2 2019.
  • Net NERLYNX product revenue was $48.8 million, a decrease from $53.8 million in the same quarter last year.
  • Total revenue for Q2 2020 was $70.6 million, including product, license, and royalty revenue.
  • Non-GAAP adjusted net income was $14.0 million, compared to a non-GAAP adjusted net loss of $22.0 million for the same period in 2019.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$70.6M

Previous: $53.9M+30.9%
EPS (adj)

$0.35

Previous: -$0.97+136.1%
Capital Expenditures

-$12K

Previous: -$245K+95.1%
Free Cash Flow

$3.38M

Previous: -$37.7M+109.0%
Net Income

$3.4M

Previous: -$37.4M+109.1%
Operating Income

$7.13M

Previous: -$25.8M+127.7%
Gross Profit

$100K

Previous: $44.6M-99.8%
Cash & Equivalents

$90.9M

Previous: $27.2M+234.6%
Total Assets

$264M

Previous: $240M+10.0%
Stock-Based Comp

$10.6M

Previous: $15.4M-31.2%

Revenue & EPS history

Puma Biotechnology · Revenue · Quarterly

$70.6M

Q2 2020+30.9%vs Q2 2019
Beat estimate in 12 of 15 quarters(80%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Puma Biotechnology · $1.1M total across 1 segment · Q2 2020

  • Royalty Revenue
    $1.1M+1000.0%

Forward guidance

Puma Biotechnology anticipates key milestones over the next 12 months, including reporting Phase II data from the SUMMIT trial, additional data from the Phase II CONTROL trial, and data from the Phase II TBCRC-022 trial. They also plan to conduct a pre-NDA meeting with the FDA and receive regulatory decisions for an extended adjuvant HER2-positive early stage breast cancer indication in additional countries.

Tailwinds

  • Reporting Phase II data from the hormone receptor positive breast cancer cohort of the SUMMIT trial of neratinib in patients with HER2 mutations in the fourth quarter of 2020.
  • Reporting additional data from the Phase II CONTROL trial in the fourth quarter of 2020.
  • Reporting data from the Phase II TBCRC-022 trial of the combination of Kadcyla plus neratinib in patients with HER2 positive breast cancer with brain metastases who have previously been treated with Kadcyla in the first half of 2021.
  • Conducting a pre-NDA meeting with the FDA to discuss accelerated approval of neratinib in HER2 mutated hormone receptor positive breast cancer in the first half of 2021.
  • Receiving regulatory decisions for an extended adjuvant HER2-positive early stage breast cancer indication in additional countries.

Headwinds

  • The COVID-19 pandemic could have an adverse impact on Puma’s business or the global economy and financial markets.
  • Risk factors disclosed in Puma’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2019.
  • Risk factors disclosed in Puma’s Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended March 31, 2020.
  • Risk factors disclosed in subsequent reports filed by Puma with the Securities and Exchange Commission from time to time.
  • Forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties that could cause Puma’s actual results to differ materially from the anticipated results and expectations expressed in these forward-looking statements.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2020

Historical avgQ2 2020

-1.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.7%

Avg return

5 days after

+4.4%

Avg return

30 days after

47%

21 / 45 earnings

Positive

+36.4%

Q4 2018

Best reaction

-45.8%

Q3 2018

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-2.8%-6.0%-5.8%
Q4 2025-25.1%-15.8%-20.0%
Q3 2025+21.8%+1.8%+8.2%
Q1 2025-4.6%-5.5%+21.2%
Q4 2024+19.7%+18.4%+5.0%
Q3 2024-5.9%+4.9%+2.0%
Q2 2024+6.7%+12.3%-30.4%
Q1 2024-1.8%-4.0%-22.2%
Q4 2023-10.8%-21.5%-19.7%
Q3 2023+4.9%+9.4%+41.5%
Q2 2023+5.8%+13.3%+2.5%
Q1 2023+19.8%+19.4%+35.0%
Q4 2022-20.1%-26.6%-23.1%
Q3 2022+25.5%+50.9%+106.0%
Q2 2022+23.5%+17.4%-17.0%
Q1 2022-19.1%-26.0%-4.9%
Q4 2021+13.5%+25.7%+34.2%
Q3 2021-39.1%-42.2%-54.6%
Q2 2021+3.6%+3.6%+7.9%
Q1 2021+1.6%-0.8%+17.0%
Q4 2020-11.9%-11.9%-12.6%
Q3 2020-11.0%+1.3%+31.8%
Q2 2020-5.7%-7.9%-11.6%
Q1 2020+11.2%+23.1%+6.4%
Q4 2019-2.4%-18.8%-43.9%
Q3 2019+4.2%+18.0%+9.1%
Q2 2019+26.7%+25.8%+22.1%
Q1 2019-38.6%-41.5%-53.9%
Q4 2018+36.4%+35.3%+35.9%
Q3 2018-45.8%-39.5%-37.3%
Q2 2018-7.5%-7.1%-2.1%
Q1 2018-19.0%-18.9%-24.3%
Q4 2017+8.7%+16.7%+4.1%
Q3 2017-22.2%-24.3%-23.9%
Q2 2017-11.6%-1.7%+28.0%
Q1 2017+1.5%+4.3%+163.9%
Q4 2016-10.6%-8.3%+1.4%
Q3 2016+21.3%-0.5%-9.4%
Q3 2015-9.6%
Q1 2015+2.0%
Q4 2014-3.3%
Q1 2013+3.7%
Q3 2012-6.4%
Q2 2012+0.0%
Q1 2012+1.9%
Q3 2011
Q2 2011
Q1 2011
Q4 2010
Q3 2010
Q2 2010
Q1 2010

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