NASDAQ$PBYI

Puma Biotechnology Inc · Q1 2020 earnings

Q1 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Puma Biotechnology reported a net loss for Q1 2020, with product revenue increasing slightly compared to Q1 2019.

Puma Biotechnology reported a net loss of $16.9 million, or $0.43 per share, for the first quarter of 2020. Net product revenue was $48.6 million, compared to $45.6 million in the first quarter of 2019. Total revenue for the first quarter of 2020 was $51.2 million, compared to $99.1 million for the first quarter of 2019.

  • Net product revenue for Q1 2020 was $48.6 million, an increase from $45.6 million in Q1 2019.
  • Puma reported a net loss of $16.9 million, or $0.43 per share, for Q1 2020, compared to a net loss of $10.1 million, or $0.26 per share, for Q1 2019.
  • Non-GAAP adjusted net loss was $8.0 million, or $0.20 per share, for Q1 2020, compared to non-GAAP adjusted net income of $8.1 million, or $0.20 per share, for Q1 2019.
  • Cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities totaled $100.6 million as of March 31, 2020.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$51.2M

Previous: $99.1M-48.3%
EPS (adj)

-$0.43

Previous: -$0.26-65.4%
Free Cash Flow

-$16.9M

Previous: -$10.1M-67.2%
Net Income

-$16.9M

Previous: -$10.1M-67.9%
Operating Income

-$14.3M

Previous: $9.85M-244.7%
Gross Profit

$100K

Previous: $91.1M-99.9%
Cash & Equivalents

$83.4M

Previous: $48.8M+70.9%
Total Assets

$226M

Previous: $331M-31.9%
Stock-Based Comp

$8.91M

No prior period

Revenue & EPS history

Puma Biotechnology · Revenue · Quarterly

$51.2M

Q1 2020-48.3%vs Q1 2019
Beat estimate in 11 of 14 quarters(79%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Puma Biotechnology · $49.2M total across 2 segments · Q1 2020

  • Product Revenue, Net
    $48.6M
  • Royalty Revenue
    $600K

Forward guidance

Puma anticipates several key milestones over the next 12 months, including a pre-NDA meeting with the FDA, reporting Phase II data from the SUMMIT trial, reporting additional data from the Phase II CONTROL trial, and receiving regulatory decisions for an extended adjuvant HER2-positive early stage breast cancer indication in additional countries.

Tailwinds

  • Conducting a pre-NDA meeting with the FDA to discuss accelerated approval of neratinib in HER2 mutated hormone receptor positive breast cancer and HER2 mutated cervical cancer in the first quarter of 2021.
  • Reporting Phase II data from the HER-positive breast and cervical cancer cohort from the SUMMIT trial of neratinib in patients with HER2 mutations in the fourth quarter of 2020.
  • Reporting additional data from the Phase II CONTROL trial in the fourth quarter of 2020.
  • Receiving regulatory decisions for an extended adjuvant HER2-positive early stage breast cancer indication in additional countries.
  • Maintain a significant stock of NERLYNX and do not anticipate any disruption of supply to existing or new patients.

Headwinds

  • Any adverse impact on Puma’s business or the global economy and financial markets, generally, from the global COVID-19 pandemic
  • Risks and uncertainties that could cause Puma’s actual results to differ materially from the anticipated results and expectations expressed in these forward-looking statements.
  • These statements are based on current expectations, forecasts and assumptions, and actual outcomes and results could differ materially from these statements due to a number of factors
  • The risk factors disclosed in the periodic and current reports filed by Puma with the Securities and Exchange Commission from time to time
  • Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date hereof.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2020

Historical avgQ1 2020

-1.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.7%

Avg return

5 days after

+4.4%

Avg return

30 days after

47%

21 / 45 earnings

Positive

+36.4%

Q4 2018

Best reaction

-45.8%

Q3 2018

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-2.8%-6.0%-5.8%
Q4 2025-25.1%-15.8%-20.0%
Q3 2025+21.8%+1.8%+8.2%
Q1 2025-4.6%-5.5%+21.2%
Q4 2024+19.7%+18.4%+5.0%
Q3 2024-5.9%+4.9%+2.0%
Q2 2024+6.7%+12.3%-30.4%
Q1 2024-1.8%-4.0%-22.2%
Q4 2023-10.8%-21.5%-19.7%
Q3 2023+4.9%+9.4%+41.5%
Q2 2023+5.8%+13.3%+2.5%
Q1 2023+19.8%+19.4%+35.0%
Q4 2022-20.1%-26.6%-23.1%
Q3 2022+25.5%+50.9%+106.0%
Q2 2022+23.5%+17.4%-17.0%
Q1 2022-19.1%-26.0%-4.9%
Q4 2021+13.5%+25.7%+34.2%
Q3 2021-39.1%-42.2%-54.6%
Q2 2021+3.6%+3.6%+7.9%
Q1 2021+1.6%-0.8%+17.0%
Q4 2020-11.9%-11.9%-12.6%
Q3 2020-11.0%+1.3%+31.8%
Q2 2020-5.7%-7.9%-11.6%
Q1 2020+11.2%+23.1%+6.4%
Q4 2019-2.4%-18.8%-43.9%
Q3 2019+4.2%+18.0%+9.1%
Q2 2019+26.7%+25.8%+22.1%
Q1 2019-38.6%-41.5%-53.9%
Q4 2018+36.4%+35.3%+35.9%
Q3 2018-45.8%-39.5%-37.3%
Q2 2018-7.5%-7.1%-2.1%
Q1 2018-19.0%-18.9%-24.3%
Q4 2017+8.7%+16.7%+4.1%
Q3 2017-22.2%-24.3%-23.9%
Q2 2017-11.6%-1.7%+28.0%
Q1 2017+1.5%+4.3%+163.9%
Q4 2016-10.6%-8.3%+1.4%
Q3 2016+21.3%-0.5%-9.4%
Q3 2015-9.6%
Q1 2015+2.0%
Q4 2014-3.3%
Q1 2013+3.7%
Q3 2012-6.4%
Q2 2012+0.0%
Q1 2012+1.9%
Q3 2011
Q2 2011
Q1 2011
Q4 2010
Q3 2010
Q2 2010
Q1 2010

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