NASDAQ$PBYI

Puma Biotechnology Inc · Q4 2020 earnings

Q4 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Puma Biotechnology reported a net loss for Q4 2020, impacted by COVID-19 challenges, but achieved NERLYNX revenues within guidance.

Puma Biotechnology reported a net loss of $15.0 million for the fourth quarter of 2020, with NERLYNX revenue at $50.0 million. The company continued to be impacted by COVID-19 challenges but met revenue guidance. Positive clinical milestones were achieved, and key milestones are anticipated over the next 12 months.

  • Net NERLYNX revenue for Q4 2020 was $50.0 million, compared to $58.7 million in Q4 2019.
  • Puma reported a net loss of $15.0 million, or $0.38 per share, for Q4 2020, compared to a net loss of $11.2 million, or $0.29 per share, for Q4 2019.
  • Non-GAAP adjusted net loss was $5.5 million, or $0.14 per share, for Q4 2020, compared to non-GAAP adjusted net income of $0.3 million, or $0.01 per share, for Q4 2019.
  • Net cash used in operating activities for Q4 2020 was $5.6 million, compared to net cash provided by operating activities of $1.6 million for Q4 2019.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$52.6M

Previous: $62.9M-16.4%
EPS (adj)

-$0.14

Previous: -$0.29+51.7%
Capital Expenditures

$23K

Previous: $306K-92.5%
Free Cash Flow

-$5.66M

Previous: $1.26M-549.0%
Net Income

-$15M

Previous: -$11.2M-33.9%
Operating Income

-$11.3M

Previous: -$8.7M-29.9%
Gross Profit

$41.6M

Previous: $26.1M+59.4%
Cash & Equivalents

$85.3M

Previous: $60M+42.2%
Total Assets

$244M

Previous: $112M+118.8%
Stock-Based Comp

$9.47M

Previous: $11.5M-17.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Puma Biotechnology · Revenue · Quarterly

$52.6M

Q4 2020-16.4%vs Q4 2019
Beat estimate in 12 of 16 quarters(75%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Puma Biotechnology · $56.1M total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • Product Revenue, Net
    $51.6M
  • Royalty Revenue
    $4.5M+60.7%

Forward guidance

Puma anticipates key milestones over the next 12 months, including completing enrollment and reporting top line data from the randomized cohort in the Phase II SUMMIT trial, conducting a pre-NDA meeting with the FDA, reporting Phase II data from the SUMMIT trial in non-small cell lung cancer patients, reporting data from the Phase II TBCRC-022 trial, conducting a meeting with the FDA to discuss the potential for an accelerated approval pathway, and receiving regulatory decisions for the extended adjuvant HER2-positive early stage breast cancer indication in additional countries.

Tailwinds

  • Completing enrollment in the randomized cohort in the Phase II SUMMIT trial of neratinib in hormone receptor positive breast cancer that has a HER2 mutation in the second quarter of 2021
  • Reporting top line data from the randomized cohort in the Phase II SUMMIT trial of neratinib in hormone receptor positive breast cancer that has a HER2 mutation in 2021
  • Conducting a pre-NDA meeting with the FDA to discuss accelerated approval of neratinib in HER2-mutated hormone receptor positive breast cancer and HER2-mutated cervical cancer in 2021
  • Reporting Phase II data from the SUMMIT trial of neratinib in non-small cell lung cancer patients with EGFR exon 18 mutations in the second half of 2021
  • Reporting data from the Phase II TBCRC-022 trial of the combination of Kadcyla plus neratinib in patients with HER2-positive breast cancer with brain metastases who have previously been treated with Kadcyla in the second half of 2021

Headwinds

  • COVID-19 may continue to impact operations in 2021
  • Potential risks and uncertainties could cause actual results to differ materially from anticipated results
  • Reliance on forward-looking statements which speak only as of the date of the report
  • Risk factors disclosed in periodic and current reports filed with the SEC
  • Any adverse impact on Puma’s business or the global economy and financial markets from the global COVID-19 pandemic

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2020

Historical avgQ4 2020

-1.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.7%

Avg return

5 days after

+4.4%

Avg return

30 days after

47%

21 / 45 earnings

Positive

+36.4%

Q4 2018

Best reaction

-45.8%

Q3 2018

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-2.8%-6.0%-5.8%
Q4 2025-25.1%-15.8%-20.0%
Q3 2025+21.8%+1.8%+8.2%
Q1 2025-4.6%-5.5%+21.2%
Q4 2024+19.7%+18.4%+5.0%
Q3 2024-5.9%+4.9%+2.0%
Q2 2024+6.7%+12.3%-30.4%
Q1 2024-1.8%-4.0%-22.2%
Q4 2023-10.8%-21.5%-19.7%
Q3 2023+4.9%+9.4%+41.5%
Q2 2023+5.8%+13.3%+2.5%
Q1 2023+19.8%+19.4%+35.0%
Q4 2022-20.1%-26.6%-23.1%
Q3 2022+25.5%+50.9%+106.0%
Q2 2022+23.5%+17.4%-17.0%
Q1 2022-19.1%-26.0%-4.9%
Q4 2021+13.5%+25.7%+34.2%
Q3 2021-39.1%-42.2%-54.6%
Q2 2021+3.6%+3.6%+7.9%
Q1 2021+1.6%-0.8%+17.0%
Q4 2020-11.9%-11.9%-12.6%
Q3 2020-11.0%+1.3%+31.8%
Q2 2020-5.7%-7.9%-11.6%
Q1 2020+11.2%+23.1%+6.4%
Q4 2019-2.4%-18.8%-43.9%
Q3 2019+4.2%+18.0%+9.1%
Q2 2019+26.7%+25.8%+22.1%
Q1 2019-38.6%-41.5%-53.9%
Q4 2018+36.4%+35.3%+35.9%
Q3 2018-45.8%-39.5%-37.3%
Q2 2018-7.5%-7.1%-2.1%
Q1 2018-19.0%-18.9%-24.3%
Q4 2017+8.7%+16.7%+4.1%
Q3 2017-22.2%-24.3%-23.9%
Q2 2017-11.6%-1.7%+28.0%
Q1 2017+1.5%+4.3%+163.9%
Q4 2016-10.6%-8.3%+1.4%
Q3 2016+21.3%-0.5%-9.4%
Q3 2015-9.6%
Q1 2015+2.0%
Q4 2014-3.3%
Q1 2013+3.7%
Q3 2012-6.4%
Q2 2012+0.0%
Q1 2012+1.9%
Q3 2011
Q2 2011
Q1 2011
Q4 2010
Q3 2010
Q2 2010
Q1 2010

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