NASDAQ$PBYI

Puma Biotechnology Inc · Q4 2020 earnings

Q4 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Puma Biotechnology reported a net loss for Q4 2020, impacted by COVID-19 challenges, but achieved NERLYNX revenues within guidance.

Puma Biotechnology reported a net loss of $15.0 million for the fourth quarter of 2020, with NERLYNX revenue at $50.0 million. The company continued to be impacted by COVID-19 challenges but met revenue guidance. Positive clinical milestones were achieved, and key milestones are anticipated over the next 12 months.

  • Net NERLYNX revenue for Q4 2020 was $50.0 million, compared to $58.7 million in Q4 2019.
  • Puma reported a net loss of $15.0 million, or $0.38 per share, for Q4 2020, compared to a net loss of $11.2 million, or $0.29 per share, for Q4 2019.
  • Non-GAAP adjusted net loss was $5.5 million, or $0.14 per share, for Q4 2020, compared to non-GAAP adjusted net income of $0.3 million, or $0.01 per share, for Q4 2019.
  • Net cash used in operating activities for Q4 2020 was $5.6 million, compared to net cash provided by operating activities of $1.6 million for Q4 2019.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$52.6M

Previous: $62.9M-16.4%
EPS (adj)

-$0.14

Previous: -$0.29+51.7%
Capital Expenditures

$23K

Previous: $306K-92.5%
Free Cash Flow

-$5.66M

Previous: $1.26M-549.0%
Net Income

-$15M

Previous: -$11.2M-33.9%
Operating Income

-$11.3M

Previous: -$8.7M-29.9%
Gross Profit

$41.6M

Previous: $26.1M+59.4%
Cash & Equivalents

$85.3M

Previous: $60M+42.2%
Total Assets

$244M

Previous: $112M+118.8%
Stock-Based Comp

$9.47M

Previous: $11.5M-17.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Puma Biotechnology · Revenue · Quarterly

$52.6M

Q4 2020-16.4%vs Q4 2019
Beat estimate in 12 of 16 quarters(75%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Puma Biotechnology · $52.4M total across 2 segments · Q2 2025

  • Product revenue, net
    $49.2M
  • Royalty revenue
    $3.25M

Forward guidance

Puma anticipates key milestones over the next 12 months, including completing enrollment and reporting top line data from the randomized cohort in the Phase II SUMMIT trial, conducting a pre-NDA meeting with the FDA, reporting Phase II data from the SUMMIT trial in non-small cell lung cancer patients, reporting data from the Phase II TBCRC-022 trial, conducting a meeting with the FDA to discuss the potential for an accelerated approval pathway, and receiving regulatory decisions for the extended adjuvant HER2-positive early stage breast cancer indication in additional countries.

Tailwinds

  • Completing enrollment in the randomized cohort in the Phase II SUMMIT trial of neratinib in hormone receptor positive breast cancer that has a HER2 mutation in the second quarter of 2021
  • Reporting top line data from the randomized cohort in the Phase II SUMMIT trial of neratinib in hormone receptor positive breast cancer that has a HER2 mutation in 2021
  • Conducting a pre-NDA meeting with the FDA to discuss accelerated approval of neratinib in HER2-mutated hormone receptor positive breast cancer and HER2-mutated cervical cancer in 2021
  • Reporting Phase II data from the SUMMIT trial of neratinib in non-small cell lung cancer patients with EGFR exon 18 mutations in the second half of 2021
  • Reporting data from the Phase II TBCRC-022 trial of the combination of Kadcyla plus neratinib in patients with HER2-positive breast cancer with brain metastases who have previously been treated with Kadcyla in the second half of 2021

Headwinds

  • COVID-19 may continue to impact operations in 2021
  • Potential risks and uncertainties could cause actual results to differ materially from anticipated results
  • Reliance on forward-looking statements which speak only as of the date of the report
  • Risk factors disclosed in periodic and current reports filed with the SEC
  • Any adverse impact on Puma’s business or the global economy and financial markets from the global COVID-19 pandemic

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2020

Historical avgQ4 2020

-1.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.7%

Avg return

5 days after

+4.4%

Avg return

30 days after

47%

21 / 45 earnings

Positive

+36.4%

Q4 2018

Best reaction

-45.8%

Q3 2018

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q2 2025
Q1 2026-2.8%-6.0%-5.8%
Q4 2025-25.1%-15.8%-20.0%
Q3 2025+21.8%+1.8%+8.2%
Q1 2025-4.6%-5.5%+21.2%
Q4 2024+19.7%+18.4%+5.0%
Q3 2024-5.9%+4.9%+2.0%
Q2 2024+6.7%+12.3%-30.4%
Q1 2024-1.8%-4.0%-22.2%
Q4 2023-10.8%-21.5%-19.7%
Q3 2023+4.9%+9.4%+41.5%
Q2 2023+5.8%+13.3%+2.5%
Q1 2023+19.8%+19.4%+35.0%
Q4 2022-20.1%-26.6%-23.1%
Q3 2022+25.5%+50.9%+106.0%
Q2 2022+23.5%+17.4%-17.0%
Q1 2022-19.1%-26.0%-4.9%
Q4 2021+13.5%+25.7%+34.2%
Q3 2021-39.1%-42.2%-54.6%
Q2 2021+3.6%+3.6%+7.9%
Q1 2021+1.6%-0.8%+17.0%
Q4 2020-11.9%-11.9%-12.6%
Q3 2020-11.0%+1.3%+31.8%
Q2 2020-5.7%-7.9%-11.6%
Q1 2020+11.2%+23.1%+6.4%
Q4 2019-2.4%-18.8%-43.9%
Q3 2019+4.2%+18.0%+9.1%
Q2 2019+26.7%+25.8%+22.1%
Q1 2019-38.6%-41.5%-53.9%
Q4 2018+36.4%+35.3%+35.9%
Q3 2018-45.8%-39.5%-37.3%
Q2 2018-7.5%-7.1%-2.1%
Q1 2018-19.0%-18.9%-24.3%
Q4 2017+8.7%+16.7%+4.1%
Q3 2017-22.2%-24.3%-23.9%
Q2 2017-11.6%-1.7%+28.0%
Q1 2017+1.5%+4.3%+163.9%
Q4 2016-10.6%-8.3%+1.4%
Q3 2016+21.3%-0.5%-9.4%
Q3 2015-9.6%
Q1 2015+2.0%
Q4 2014-3.3%
Q1 2013+3.7%
Q3 2012-6.4%
Q2 2012+0.0%
Q1 2012+1.9%
Q3 2011
Q2 2011
Q1 2011
Q4 2010
Q3 2010
Q2 2010
Q1 2010

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