NASDAQ$NXST

Nexstar Media Group Inc · Q3 2022 earnings

Q3 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Nexstar reported record Q3 net revenue, operating income, net income, adjusted EBITDA, and free cash flow.

Nexstar Media Group reported record third-quarter financial results, with net revenue up 9.7% driven by strong growth in political advertising, distribution, and digital revenue. Adjusted EBITDA and free cash flow also reached record levels for the third quarter. The company returned a significant portion of its free cash flow to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases.

  • Net revenue increased by 9.7% year-over-year, reaching a record $1.27 billion.
  • Adjusted EBITDA increased by 19.1% year-over-year to $488.8 million, with a margin of 38.5%.
  • Free cash flow increased by 16.6% year-over-year to $293.6 million, representing 60.1% of Adjusted EBITDA.
  • The company returned $250.1 million to shareholders through share repurchases and dividends.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.27B

Previous: $1.16B+9.7%
EPS (adj)

$6.24

Previous: $3.90+60.0%
Adjusted EBITDA

$489M

Previous: $410M+19.1%
Political Advertising Revenue

$129M

Previous: $12.4M+943.8%
Capital Expenditures

-$100M

Previous: -$105M+4.7%
Free Cash Flow

$189M

Previous: $64.6M+192.2%
Net Income

$289M

Previous: $170M+70.3%
Operating Income

$355M

Previous: $277M+28.1%
Gross Profit

-$511M

Previous: -$480M-6.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$347M

Previous: $194M+78.8%
Total Assets

$13.1B

Previous: $13.3B-1.4%
Stock-Based Comp

$17.2M

Previous: $12.3M+39.8%

Revenue & EPS history

Nexstar · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.27B

Q3 2022+9.7%vs Q3 2021
Beat estimate in 8 of 15 quarters(53%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Nexstar · $642M total across 1 segment · Q3 2022

  • Distribution
    $642M+3.7%

Forward guidance

The company expects the fourth quarter to benefit from strong political advertising trends, while 2023 will see distribution revenue upside from renewals. Looking forward, 2024 is expected to benefit from another record year for political advertising and further distribution agreement renewals.

Tailwinds

  • Strong political advertising trends expected to continue in the fourth quarter.
  • Distribution revenue upside expected in 2023 from agreement renewals.
  • Record political advertising year anticipated in 2024 due to the presidential election.
  • Further distribution agreement renewals expected to benefit 2024.
  • The CW Network, NewsNation, and ATSC 3.0 technology are expected to support further enhancement of shareholder value.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2022

Historical avgQ3 2022

+0.9%

Avg return

Earnings day

+3.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.6%

Avg return

30 days after

59%

38 / 64 earnings

Positive

+11.5%

Q1 2020

Best reaction

-10.3%

Q2 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.5%-0.0%-7.8%
Q4 2025+5.5%+4.7%-8.3%
Q3 2025-3.4%-0.7%-3.7%
Q1 2025+5.4%+11.9%+8.4%
Q4 2024+11.1%+16.0%+20.6%
Q3 2024-9.4%-8.2%-7.1%
Q2 2024-7.9%-8.5%-6.1%
Q1 2024+2.5%+6.9%-6.9%
Q4 2023+2.3%-3.9%+6.1%
Q3 2023-4.8%-5.1%-1.9%
Q2 2023-10.3%-10.5%-27.4%
Q1 2023-3.6%-3.7%+1.4%
Q4 2022-3.2%-4.9%-11.5%
Q3 2022+2.5%+8.5%+17.4%
Q2 2022+1.9%+3.1%+0.5%
Q1 2022+6.2%+12.9%+12.6%
Q4 2021-3.2%+1.9%+8.2%
Q3 2021+6.1%+8.6%+0.1%
Q2 2021+3.3%+1.6%+0.6%
Q1 2021+0.6%-0.6%+0.2%
Q4 2020+8.1%+7.0%+13.6%
Q3 2020+5.6%+15.8%+35.3%
Q2 2020-0.3%-0.3%+6.8%
Q1 2020+11.5%+18.8%+53.1%
Q4 2019-1.8%+1.3%-45.1%
Q3 2019+5.0%+11.6%+12.3%
Q2 2019-0.3%-0.1%+2.5%
Q1 2019+0.3%-3.4%-10.5%
Q4 2018+5.1%+11.8%+21.6%
Q3 2018-2.6%-3.3%+2.5%
Q2 2018+1.0%+0.6%+4.3%
Q1 2018+1.9%+6.6%+13.2%
Q4 2017-3.1%-1.5%-9.8%
Q3 2017+3.5%+4.1%+12.9%
Q2 2017+3.0%+2.9%-5.1%
Q1 2017+0.5%-3.4%-2.0%
Q4 2016+4.2%+3.0%+0.2%
Q3 2016+4.9%+20.7%+34.5%
Q2 2016-3.1%+1.4%+3.2%
Q1 2016-1.2%
Q4 2015+7.1%
Q3 2015+1.0%
Q2 2015+0.2%
Q1 2015-2.1%
Q4 2014+0.5%
Q3 2014+4.8%
Q2 2014+3.5%
Q1 2014-4.0%
Q4 2013-3.9%
Q3 2013-1.3%
Q2 2013-5.1%
Q1 2013+6.7%
Q4 2012+4.9%
Q3 2012+1.9%
Q2 2012+2.5%
Q1 2011+1.0%
Q1 2012+0.9%
Q4 2011-0.5%
Q2 2011-0.5%
Q3 2011-1.5%
Q4 2010+7.8%
Q3 2010-6.9%
Q2 2010+2.2%
Q1 2010-2.0%

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