NASDAQ$NXST

Nexstar Media Group Inc · Q1 2024 earnings

Q1 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Nexstar reported strong Q1 2024 results, driven by record distribution revenue and effective cost management at The CW.

Nexstar Media Group reported record first quarter net revenues of $1.28 billion, resulting in a net income of $167 million, adjusted EBITDA of $542 million, and adjusted free cash flow of $403 million. The company saw growth in distribution revenue and reduced operating losses at The CW, contributing to the strong financial performance. Nexstar anticipates building momentum through 2024 with expected record-level political spending.

  • Achieved highest first quarter net revenues in company history.
  • Outpaced consensus expectations for Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted Free Cash Flow.
  • Reduced operating losses at The CW by $50 million year-over-year.
  • Distribution revenue reached an all-time quarterly high.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.28B

Previous: $1.26B+2.1%
EPS

$5.16

Previous: $2.97+73.7%
Adjusted EBITDA

$452M

Previous: $491M-7.9%
Net Cash from Operations

$276M

No prior period
Adjusted Free Cash Flow

$389M

No prior period
Net Income Margin

13.0%

No prior period
Adjusted EBITDA Margin

35.2%

No prior period
Political Advertising Revenue

$32M

Previous: $8M+300.0%
Capital Expenditures

-$44M

Previous: -$36M-22.2%
Free Cash Flow

$131M

Previous: $75M+74.7%
Net Income

$175M

Previous: $111M+57.7%
Operating Income

$275M

Previous: $204M+34.8%
Gross Profit

-$508M

Previous: -$538M+5.6%
Cash & Equivalents

$237M

Previous: $413M-42.6%
Total Assets

$11.9B

Previous: $12.5B-4.2%
Stock-Based Comp

$18M

Previous: $14M+28.6%

Revenue & EPS history

Nexstar · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.28B

Q1 2024+2.1%vs Q1 2023
Beat estimate in 8 of 15 quarters(53%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Nexstar · $598M total across 1 segment · Q3 2023

  • Distribution
    $598M-6.8%

Forward guidance

Nexstar anticipates building momentum through 2024, driven by expected record-level political spending during this presidential election cycle.

Tailwinds

  • Anticipated record-level of political spending this presidential election cycle.
  • Strong financial results expected for the year.
  • Continued progress at The CW.
  • Sequential quarters of primetime audience improvement.
  • All 2024 NASCAR Xfinity series playoff races scheduled to air exclusively on The CW beginning in September 2024.

Headwinds

  • Impact of changes in national and regional economies.
  • Ability to service and refinance outstanding debt.
  • Successful integration of business acquisitions.
  • Pricing fluctuations in local and national advertising.
  • Volatility in programming costs.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2024

Historical avgQ1 2024

+0.9%

Avg return

Earnings day

+3.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.6%

Avg return

30 days after

59%

38 / 64 earnings

Positive

+11.5%

Q1 2020

Best reaction

-10.3%

Q2 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.5%-0.0%-7.8%
Q4 2025+5.5%+4.7%-8.3%
Q3 2025-3.4%-0.7%-3.7%
Q1 2025+5.4%+11.9%+8.4%
Q4 2024+11.1%+16.0%+20.6%
Q3 2024-9.4%-8.2%-7.1%
Q2 2024-7.9%-8.5%-6.1%
Q1 2024+2.5%+6.9%-6.9%
Q4 2023+2.3%-3.9%+6.1%
Q3 2023-4.8%-5.1%-1.9%
Q2 2023-10.3%-10.5%-27.4%
Q1 2023-3.6%-3.7%+1.4%
Q4 2022-3.2%-4.9%-11.5%
Q3 2022+2.5%+8.5%+17.4%
Q2 2022+1.9%+3.1%+0.5%
Q1 2022+6.2%+12.9%+12.6%
Q4 2021-3.2%+1.9%+8.2%
Q3 2021+6.1%+8.6%+0.1%
Q2 2021+3.3%+1.6%+0.6%
Q1 2021+0.6%-0.6%+0.2%
Q4 2020+8.1%+7.0%+13.6%
Q3 2020+5.6%+15.8%+35.3%
Q2 2020-0.3%-0.3%+6.8%
Q1 2020+11.5%+18.8%+53.1%
Q4 2019-1.8%+1.3%-45.1%
Q3 2019+5.0%+11.6%+12.3%
Q2 2019-0.3%-0.1%+2.5%
Q1 2019+0.3%-3.4%-10.5%
Q4 2018+5.1%+11.8%+21.6%
Q3 2018-2.6%-3.3%+2.5%
Q2 2018+1.0%+0.6%+4.3%
Q1 2018+1.9%+6.6%+13.2%
Q4 2017-3.1%-1.5%-9.8%
Q3 2017+3.5%+4.1%+12.9%
Q2 2017+3.0%+2.9%-5.1%
Q1 2017+0.5%-3.4%-2.0%
Q4 2016+4.2%+3.0%+0.2%
Q3 2016+4.9%+20.7%+34.5%
Q2 2016-3.1%+1.4%+3.2%
Q1 2016-1.2%
Q4 2015+7.1%
Q3 2015+1.0%
Q2 2015+0.2%
Q1 2015-2.1%
Q4 2014+0.5%
Q3 2014+4.8%
Q2 2014+3.5%
Q1 2014-4.0%
Q4 2013-3.9%
Q3 2013-1.3%
Q2 2013-5.1%
Q1 2013+6.7%
Q4 2012+4.9%
Q3 2012+1.9%
Q2 2012+2.5%
Q1 2011+1.0%
Q1 2012+0.9%
Q4 2011-0.5%
Q2 2011-0.5%
Q3 2011-1.5%
Q4 2010+7.8%
Q3 2010-6.9%
Q2 2010+2.2%
Q1 2010-2.0%

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