NASDAQ$NXST

Nexstar Media Group Inc · Q2 2021 earnings

Q2 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Nexstar's Q2 2021 financial performance was marked by record net revenue and strong growth in core advertising and distribution revenue.

Nexstar Media Group reported record second quarter net revenue of $1,131.6 million, driven by a faster and stronger-than-anticipated recovery in core advertising and continued double-digit distribution revenue growth. Net income was $199.8 million, and Adjusted EBITDA reached $418.8 million. The company raised its pro-forma average annual free cash flow guidance for the 2021/2022 cycle to approximately $1.33 billion.

  • Record second quarter net revenue of $1.13 billion, up 23.7% year-over-year.
  • Net income increased by 103.5% year-over-year to $199.8 million.
  • Adjusted EBITDA rose by 43.0% year-over-year to $418.8 million.
  • Free cash flow was $181.2 million, impacted by the timing of 2021 operating cash tax payments.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.13B

Previous: $915M+23.7%
EPS (adj)

$4.51

Previous: $2.02+123.3%
Political Advertising Revenue

$8.51M

Previous: $21.6M-60.5%
Capital Expenditures

-$66.9M

Previous: -$116M+42.2%
Free Cash Flow

$133M

Previous: -$16.1M+929.4%
Net Income

$200M

Previous: $99.6M+100.9%
Operating Income

$288M

Previous: $196M+46.9%
Gross Profit

-$462M

Previous: -$417M-11.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$313M

Previous: $665M-52.9%
Total Assets

$13.3B

Previous: $13.5B-1.9%
Stock-Based Comp

$10.4M

Previous: $12.7M-18.3%

Revenue & EPS history

Nexstar · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.13B

Q2 2021+23.7%vs Q2 2020
Beat estimate in 13 of 16 quarters(81%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Nexstar · $617M total across 1 segment · Q2 2021

  • Distribution
    $617M+15.0%

Forward guidance

Nexstar expects to generate year-over-year growth across all of its non-political revenue sources for the remainder of 2021 and has excellent visibility to deliver on or exceed its upsized free cash flow targets in the 2021/2022 cycle.

Tailwinds

  • Operating momentum across businesses is expected to continue.
  • Year-over-year growth is anticipated across all non-political revenue sources for the remainder of 2021.
  • The company has excellent visibility to deliver on or exceed its upsized free cash flow targets in the 2021/2022 cycle.
  • The company's assets and operations provide a solid foundation.
  • The business model's resiliency ensures consistency in results.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2021

Historical avgQ2 2021

+0.9%

Avg return

Earnings day

+3.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.6%

Avg return

30 days after

59%

38 / 64 earnings

Positive

+11.5%

Q1 2020

Best reaction

-10.3%

Q2 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.5%-0.0%-7.8%
Q4 2025+5.5%+4.7%-8.3%
Q3 2025-3.4%-0.7%-3.7%
Q1 2025+5.4%+11.9%+8.4%
Q4 2024+11.1%+16.0%+20.6%
Q3 2024-9.4%-8.2%-7.1%
Q2 2024-7.9%-8.5%-6.1%
Q1 2024+2.5%+6.9%-6.9%
Q4 2023+2.3%-3.9%+6.1%
Q3 2023-4.8%-5.1%-1.9%
Q2 2023-10.3%-10.5%-27.4%
Q1 2023-3.6%-3.7%+1.4%
Q4 2022-3.2%-4.9%-11.5%
Q3 2022+2.5%+8.5%+17.4%
Q2 2022+1.9%+3.1%+0.5%
Q1 2022+6.2%+12.9%+12.6%
Q4 2021-3.2%+1.9%+8.2%
Q3 2021+6.1%+8.6%+0.1%
Q2 2021+3.3%+1.6%+0.6%
Q1 2021+0.6%-0.6%+0.2%
Q4 2020+8.1%+7.0%+13.6%
Q3 2020+5.6%+15.8%+35.3%
Q2 2020-0.3%-0.3%+6.8%
Q1 2020+11.5%+18.8%+53.1%
Q4 2019-1.8%+1.3%-45.1%
Q3 2019+5.0%+11.6%+12.3%
Q2 2019-0.3%-0.1%+2.5%
Q1 2019+0.3%-3.4%-10.5%
Q4 2018+5.1%+11.8%+21.6%
Q3 2018-2.6%-3.3%+2.5%
Q2 2018+1.0%+0.6%+4.3%
Q1 2018+1.9%+6.6%+13.2%
Q4 2017-3.1%-1.5%-9.8%
Q3 2017+3.5%+4.1%+12.9%
Q2 2017+3.0%+2.9%-5.1%
Q1 2017+0.5%-3.4%-2.0%
Q4 2016+4.2%+3.0%+0.2%
Q3 2016+4.9%+20.7%+34.5%
Q2 2016-3.1%+1.4%+3.2%
Q1 2016-1.2%
Q4 2015+7.1%
Q3 2015+1.0%
Q2 2015+0.2%
Q1 2015-2.1%
Q4 2014+0.5%
Q3 2014+4.8%
Q2 2014+3.5%
Q1 2014-4.0%
Q4 2013-3.9%
Q3 2013-1.3%
Q2 2013-5.1%
Q1 2013+6.7%
Q4 2012+4.9%
Q3 2012+1.9%
Q2 2012+2.5%
Q1 2011+1.0%
Q1 2012+0.9%
Q4 2011-0.5%
Q2 2011-0.5%
Q3 2011-1.5%
Q4 2010+7.8%
Q3 2010-6.9%
Q2 2010+2.2%
Q1 2010-2.0%

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