NASDAQ$MGPI

MGP Ingredients Inc · Q4 2024 earnings

Q4 2024 earnings · · Before market open · Investor relations

Briefing

MGP Ingredients' fourth quarter results met expectations, with branded spirits and ingredient solutions showing positive strides amidst industry challenges.

MGP Ingredients reported a 16% decrease in consolidated sales to $180.8 million for the fourth quarter of 2024. Net income decreased to a loss of $42.0 million due to a one-time, non-cash adjustment of $73.8 million. Excluding the impact of the Atchison distillery, consolidated sales decreased by 7%.

  • Consolidated sales decreased by 16% to $180.8 million, or 7% excluding the Atchison distillery impact.
  • Gross profit decreased by 13% to $74.5 million, with a gross profit margin of 41.2%.
  • Net income decreased to a loss of $42.0 million, but adjusted net income decreased 6% to $34.4 million.
  • Basic EPS decreased to $(1.91) per share, while adjusted basic EPS decreased 4% to $1.57 per share.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$181M

Previous: $215M-15.9%
EPS (adj)

$1.57

Previous: $1.64-4.3%
Adjusted Operating Income

$46.8M

No prior period
Adjusted Net Income

$34.4M

No prior period
Adjusted EBITDA

$53.1M

No prior period
Gross Margin

41.2%

No prior period
Branded Spirits Gross Margin

46.2%

No prior period
Distilling Solutions Margin

44.8%

No prior period
Ingredient Solutions Margin

23.5%

No prior period
Ad & Promotion Expenses

$10.5M

No prior period
Net Debt Leverage Ratio

1.5

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$18.3M

Previous: -$13.2M-38.8%
Net Income

-$42M

Previous: $31M-235.3%
Operating Income

-$30.4M

Previous: $43.1M-170.7%
Gross Profit

$74.5M

Previous: $85.1M-12.5%

Revenue & EPS history

MGP Ingredients · Revenue · Quarterly

$181M

Q4 2024-15.9%vs Q4 2023
Beat estimate in 10 of 14 quarters(71%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

MGP Ingredients · $212M total across 3 segments · Q3 2023

  • Distilling Solutions
    $112M+3.0%
  • Branded Spirits
    $66.8M+6.4%
  • Ingredient Solutions
    $33M+10.9%

Forward guidance

MGP Ingredients provided its consolidated financial guidance for 2025, projecting sales between $520 million and $540 million, adjusted EBITDA in the range of $105 million to $115 million, and adjusted basic EPS between $2.45 and $2.75.

Tailwinds

  • Sales are projected to be in the range of $520 million to $540 million.
  • Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be in the range of $105 million to $115 million.
  • Adjusted basic EPS is expected to be in the $2.45 to $2.75 range.
  • Weighted average basic shares outstanding of approximately 21.3 million.
  • Effective tax rate of approximately 25%.

Headwinds

  • Revised outlook for the Distilling Solutions business.
  • Ongoing industry-wide challenges.
  • Elevated industry-wide barrel whiskey inventories.
  • Pressure on overall brown goods sales and pricing trends.
  • Headwinds from the repositioning of certain brands.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2024

Historical avgQ4 2024

-0.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.1%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.5%

Avg return

30 days after

58%

36 / 62 earnings

Positive

+15.7%

Q3 2017

Best reaction

-21.4%

Q1 2019

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-5.2%-5.8%-12.8%
Q4 2025-21.2%-25.7%-27.9%
Q3 2025-1.9%+0.6%-7.6%
Q1 2025+4.8%+9.0%-0.2%
Q4 2024-1.1%-0.4%-10.3%
Q3 2024-19.2%-16.6%-17.8%
Q2 2024+4.4%+0.7%+9.9%
Q1 2024+3.0%+3.3%-0.8%
Q4 2023-13.2%-14.4%-9.3%
Q3 2023+2.2%+3.4%-5.6%
Q2 2023+6.6%+8.0%+5.6%
Q1 2023+6.2%+3.8%+5.6%
Q4 2022+8.4%+5.5%-1.8%
Q3 2022+5.2%+7.9%+17.2%
Q2 2022+6.9%+5.0%+3.6%
Q1 2022+0.3%-1.6%+2.4%
Q4 2021+2.0%+2.3%+11.8%
Q3 2021+10.2%+8.3%+23.8%
Q2 2021+14.6%+14.8%+16.1%
Q1 2021+1.7%+4.9%+20.2%
Q4 2020-8.0%-7.0%-12.2%
Q3 2020+4.6%+0.7%+10.2%
Q2 2020-6.5%-6.6%-6.5%
Q1 2020-6.8%-9.4%-8.5%
Q4 2019-10.4%-5.9%-16.1%
Q3 2019-4.9%-6.0%-5.9%
Q2 2019-18.6%-18.6%-28.3%
Q1 2019-21.4%-19.0%-31.5%
Q4 2018+5.3%+5.0%-0.8%
Q3 2018-8.1%-3.5%-4.5%
Q2 2018-5.6%-4.7%-4.4%
Q1 2018-10.2%-4.8%-5.4%
Q4 2017-1.4%-9.5%+6.8%
Q3 2017+15.7%+17.8%+19.0%
Q2 2017+2.9%+2.0%+0.8%
Q1 2017+5.5%+3.2%-2.3%
Q4 2016+10.3%+14.1%+17.9%
Q3 2016+12.6%+14.8%+36.4%
Q2 2016-19.1%-19.9%-4.4%
Q1 2016+0.7%
Q4 2015-17.2%
Q3 2015+1.3%
Q2 2015+10.4%
Q1 2015+2.5%
Q4 2014+0.4%
Q3 2014-3.8%
Q2 2014+8.6%
Q1 2014+2.9%
Q4 2013+1.2%
Q3 2013-4.3%
Q2 2013+5.0%
Q1 2013-2.3%
Q4 2012-4.6%
Q3 2012+2.0%
Q2 2012+6.7%
Q3 2011-0.5%
Q4 2009+2.8%
Q4 2011+2.8%
Q4 2010+2.8%
Q1 2012+2.0%
Q1 2011-8.2%
Q1 2010-7.7%

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