NASDAQ$MGPI

MGP Ingredients Inc · Q4 2021 earnings

Q4 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported record fourth quarter and full year results, driven by sales growth in each reporting segment and synergistic effects of the Luxco acquisition.

MGP Ingredients reported a strong Q4 2021, with sales increasing by 65.3% to $166.8 million. Gross profit increased by 66.3% to $52.8 million, and operating income increased by 191.6% to $45.3 million. Fully diluted EPS increased to $1.40 per share from $0.69 per share.

  • Sales increased 65.3% to $166.8 million, driven by sales growth in each reporting segment.
  • Gross profit increased 66.3% to $52.8 million, representing 31.6% of consolidated sales.
  • Operating income increased 191.6% to $45.3 million; adjusted operating income increased 70.5% to $29.0 million.
  • Fully diluted earnings per share increased to $1.40 per share from $0.69 per share; fully diluted adjusted EPS increased to $0.87 per share from $0.75 per share.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$167M

Previous: $101M+65.3%
EPS (adj)

$0.87

Previous: $0.75+16.0%
Adjusted EBITDA

$34.5M

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

$10.1M

Previous: $6.19M+63.6%
Free Cash Flow

$7.35M

Previous: $17.6M-58.3%
Net Income

$31.7M

Previous: $11.6M+172.2%
Operating Income

$45.3M

Previous: $15.5M+191.4%
Gross Profit

$52.8M

Previous: $31.7M+66.4%
Cash & Equivalents

$21.6M

Previous: $21.7M-0.4%
Total Assets

$1.04B

Previous: $367M+184.1%
Stock-Based Comp

$308K

Previous: $309K-0.3%

Revenue & EPS history

MGP Ingredients · Revenue · Quarterly

$167M

Q4 2021+65.3%vs Q4 2020
Beat estimate in 14 of 16 quarters(88%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

MGP Ingredients · $84.4M total across 2 segments · Q4 2021

  • Branded Spirits
    $61M
  • Ingredient Solutions
    $23.4M+15.4%

Forward guidance

MGP is offering the following increased consolidated guidance for fiscal 2022:

Tailwinds

  • Sales are projected to be in the range of $690 million to $715 million.
  • Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be in the range of $150 million to $157 million.
  • Basic adjusted earnings per share are forecasted to be in the $4.15 to $4.35 range, with basic weighted average shares outstanding expected to be approximately 22.0 million at year end.
  • Fully diluted adjusted earnings per share are forecasted to be in the $3.95 to $4.10 range, with fully diluted weighted average shares outstanding expected to be approximately 24.1 million at year end.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2021

Historical avgQ4 2021

-0.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.1%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.5%

Avg return

30 days after

58%

36 / 62 earnings

Positive

+15.7%

Q3 2017

Best reaction

-21.4%

Q1 2019

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-5.2%-5.8%-12.8%
Q4 2025-21.2%-25.7%-27.9%
Q3 2025-1.9%+0.6%-7.6%
Q1 2025+4.8%+9.0%-0.2%
Q4 2024-1.1%-0.4%-10.3%
Q3 2024-19.2%-16.6%-17.8%
Q2 2024+4.4%+0.7%+9.9%
Q1 2024+3.0%+3.3%-0.8%
Q4 2023-13.2%-14.4%-9.3%
Q3 2023+2.2%+3.4%-5.6%
Q2 2023+6.6%+8.0%+5.6%
Q1 2023+6.2%+3.8%+5.6%
Q4 2022+8.4%+5.5%-1.8%
Q3 2022+5.2%+7.9%+17.2%
Q2 2022+6.9%+5.0%+3.6%
Q1 2022+0.3%-1.6%+2.4%
Q4 2021+2.0%+2.3%+11.8%
Q3 2021+10.2%+8.3%+23.8%
Q2 2021+14.6%+14.8%+16.1%
Q1 2021+1.7%+4.9%+20.2%
Q4 2020-8.0%-7.0%-12.2%
Q3 2020+4.6%+0.7%+10.2%
Q2 2020-6.5%-6.6%-6.5%
Q1 2020-6.8%-9.4%-8.5%
Q4 2019-10.4%-5.9%-16.1%
Q3 2019-4.9%-6.0%-5.9%
Q2 2019-18.6%-18.6%-28.3%
Q1 2019-21.4%-19.0%-31.5%
Q4 2018+5.3%+5.0%-0.8%
Q3 2018-8.1%-3.5%-4.5%
Q2 2018-5.6%-4.7%-4.4%
Q1 2018-10.2%-4.8%-5.4%
Q4 2017-1.4%-9.5%+6.8%
Q3 2017+15.7%+17.8%+19.0%
Q2 2017+2.9%+2.0%+0.8%
Q1 2017+5.5%+3.2%-2.3%
Q4 2016+10.3%+14.1%+17.9%
Q3 2016+12.6%+14.8%+36.4%
Q2 2016-19.1%-19.9%-4.4%
Q1 2016+0.7%
Q4 2015-17.2%
Q3 2015+1.3%
Q2 2015+10.4%
Q1 2015+2.5%
Q4 2014+0.4%
Q3 2014-3.8%
Q2 2014+8.6%
Q1 2014+2.9%
Q4 2013+1.2%
Q3 2013-4.3%
Q2 2013+5.0%
Q1 2013-2.3%
Q4 2012-4.6%
Q3 2012+2.0%
Q2 2012+6.7%
Q3 2011-0.5%
Q4 2009+2.8%
Q4 2011+2.8%
Q4 2010+2.8%
Q1 2012+2.0%
Q1 2011-8.2%
Q1 2010-7.7%

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