NASDAQ$MGPI

MGP Ingredients Inc · Q3 2022 earnings

Q3 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

MGP Ingredients reported strong results, with sales increasing across all business segments and brown goods sales growth driving premium beverage alcohol sales.

MGP Ingredients reported a strong third quarter in 2022, with consolidated sales increasing by 14% to $201.2 million. The company saw record sales across all three business segments, driven by strong demand for new distillate and aged whiskey. While brown goods gross profit remained healthy, industrial alcohol and white goods gross profits were negatively impacted by increased commodity costs and excess supply.

  • Consolidated sales increased 14% to $201.2 million due to record third quarter sales across all three business segments.
  • Gross profit increased 3% to $59.1 million, representing 29.4% of sales.
  • Operating income increased 3% to $33.9 million.
  • Basic earnings per common share decreased to $1.07 per share from $1.08 per share.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$201M

Previous: $177M+13.9%
EPS (adj)

$1.06

Previous: $1.09-2.8%
Capital Expenditures

-$29.2M

Previous: -$37.3M+21.6%
Free Cash Flow

-$5.41M

Previous: -$13.4M+59.6%
Net Income

$23.8M

Previous: $23.9M-0.3%
Operating Income

$33.9M

Previous: $32.9M+3.0%
Gross Profit

$59M

Previous: $57.1M+3.4%
Cash & Equivalents

$50.7M

Previous: $16.2M+213.5%
Total Assets

$1.13B

Previous: $1.02B+11.3%
Stock-Based Comp

$955K

Previous: $480K+99.0%

Revenue & EPS history

MGP Ingredients · Revenue · Quarterly

$201M

Q3 2022+13.9%vs Q3 2021
Beat estimate in 10 of 14 quarters(71%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

MGP Ingredients · $201M total across 3 segments · Q3 2022

  • Distilling Solutions
    $109M
  • Branded Spirits
    $62.8M+2.0%
  • Ingredient Solutions
    $29.7M+23.7%

Forward guidance

MGP is revising upward its previous consolidated guidance for fiscal 2022:

Tailwinds

  • Sales are projected to be in the range of $765 million to $780 million.
  • Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be in the range of $162 million to $167 million.
  • Adjusted basic earnings per common share are forecasted to be in the $4.62 to $4.80 range
  • Basic weighted average shares outstanding expected to be approximately 22.0 million at year end.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2022

Historical avgQ3 2022

-0.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.1%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.5%

Avg return

30 days after

58%

36 / 62 earnings

Positive

+15.7%

Q3 2017

Best reaction

-21.4%

Q1 2019

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-5.2%-5.8%-12.8%
Q4 2025-21.2%-25.7%-27.9%
Q3 2025-1.9%+0.6%-7.6%
Q1 2025+4.8%+9.0%-0.2%
Q4 2024-1.1%-0.4%-10.3%
Q3 2024-19.2%-16.6%-17.8%
Q2 2024+4.4%+0.7%+9.9%
Q1 2024+3.0%+3.3%-0.8%
Q4 2023-13.2%-14.4%-9.3%
Q3 2023+2.2%+3.4%-5.6%
Q2 2023+6.6%+8.0%+5.6%
Q1 2023+6.2%+3.8%+5.6%
Q4 2022+8.4%+5.5%-1.8%
Q3 2022+5.2%+7.9%+17.2%
Q2 2022+6.9%+5.0%+3.6%
Q1 2022+0.3%-1.6%+2.4%
Q4 2021+2.0%+2.3%+11.8%
Q3 2021+10.2%+8.3%+23.8%
Q2 2021+14.6%+14.8%+16.1%
Q1 2021+1.7%+4.9%+20.2%
Q4 2020-8.0%-7.0%-12.2%
Q3 2020+4.6%+0.7%+10.2%
Q2 2020-6.5%-6.6%-6.5%
Q1 2020-6.8%-9.4%-8.5%
Q4 2019-10.4%-5.9%-16.1%
Q3 2019-4.9%-6.0%-5.9%
Q2 2019-18.6%-18.6%-28.3%
Q1 2019-21.4%-19.0%-31.5%
Q4 2018+5.3%+5.0%-0.8%
Q3 2018-8.1%-3.5%-4.5%
Q2 2018-5.6%-4.7%-4.4%
Q1 2018-10.2%-4.8%-5.4%
Q4 2017-1.4%-9.5%+6.8%
Q3 2017+15.7%+17.8%+19.0%
Q2 2017+2.9%+2.0%+0.8%
Q1 2017+5.5%+3.2%-2.3%
Q4 2016+10.3%+14.1%+17.9%
Q3 2016+12.6%+14.8%+36.4%
Q2 2016-19.1%-19.9%-4.4%
Q1 2016+0.7%
Q4 2015-17.2%
Q3 2015+1.3%
Q2 2015+10.4%
Q1 2015+2.5%
Q4 2014+0.4%
Q3 2014-3.8%
Q2 2014+8.6%
Q1 2014+2.9%
Q4 2013+1.2%
Q3 2013-4.3%
Q2 2013+5.0%
Q1 2013-2.3%
Q4 2012-4.6%
Q3 2012+2.0%
Q2 2012+6.7%
Q3 2011-0.5%
Q4 2009+2.8%
Q4 2011+2.8%
Q4 2010+2.8%
Q1 2012+2.0%
Q1 2011-8.2%
Q1 2010-7.7%

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