NASDAQ$FWRG
First Watch Restaurant Group Inc · Q3 2024 earnings
Q3 2024 earnings · · Investor relations
Briefing
First Watch's Q3 2024 performance reflected strong restaurant-level operations amidst an uneven consumer backdrop.
First Watch reported a 14.8% increase in total revenues, reaching $251.6 million. Net income was $2.1 million, with Adjusted EBITDA growing 18% to $25.6 million. The company opened 9 new system-wide restaurants.
- Total revenues increased by 14.8% to $251.6 million compared to Q3 2023.
- System-wide sales increased by 8.0% to $291.8 million compared to Q3 2023.
- Net income decreased to $2.1 million, or $0.03 per diluted share, compared to $5.4 million, or $0.09 per diluted share, in Q3 2023.
- Adjusted EBITDA increased to $25.6 million compared to $21.6 million in Q3 2023.
Headline financials
Revenue & EPS history
First Watch · Revenue · Quarterly
$252M
Revenue by segment
First Watch · $211M total across 2 segments · Q1 2023
- Restaurant Sales$208M+21.9%98.4%
- Franchise Revenues$3.44M+40.7%1.6%
Forward guidance
The Company updated the following guidance metrics for the 52-week fiscal year ending December 29, 2024:
Tailwinds
- Total revenue growth in the range of 16.5% to 17.0%
- Adjusted EBITDA in the range of $110.0 million to $112.0 million
- Total new system-wide restaurant openings anticipated to be 47, net of 2 company-owned restaurant closures (43 new company-owned restaurants and 6 new franchise-owned restaurants), which reflects the effect of five new restaurant openings delayed by Hurricane Milton and rescheduled to early 2025.
- Blended tax rate of around 33.0%
- Capital expenditures of around $130.0 million invested primarily in new restaurant projects and planned remodels
Headwinds
- Same-restaurant sales growth of around negative 1.0%
- Same restaurant traffic growth of negative 4.0%-4.5%
Historical earnings impact
How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.
Avg. return before/after earnings
Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2024
-0.9%
Avg return
Earnings day
-0.6%
Avg return
5 days after
-0.9%
Avg return
30 days after
39%
9 / 23 earnings
Positive
+15.5%
Q3 2024
Best reaction
-17.6%
Q1 2025
Worst reaction
| Quarter | Report date | Reaction (Day 0) | +5 days | +30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | -0.1% | -0.7% | -16.0% | |
| Q4 2025 | -10.7% | -19.6% | -29.6% | |
| Q3 2025 | -3.9% | -3.0% | -1.3% | |
| Q1 2025 | -17.6% | -15.3% | -19.8% | |
| Q4 2024 | -7.0% | -8.9% | -3.6% | |
| Q3 2024 | +15.5% | +7.1% | +5.9% | |
| Q2 2024 | +10.8% | +13.7% | +11.0% | |
| Q1 2024 | -13.1% | -16.7% | -24.9% | |
| Q4 2023 | -3.8% | -1.8% | -10.0% | |
| Q3 2023 | -0.3% | +1.2% | +12.1% | |
| Q2 2023 | +2.8% | +3.3% | +2.6% | |
| Q1 2023 | +2.3% | +1.3% | +6.8% | |
| Q4 2022 | -3.3% | -5.2% | -6.0% | |
| Q3 2022 | -11.4% | -3.9% | -12.4% | |
| Q2 2022 | -0.2% | +1.9% | +2.7% | |
| Q2 2021 | -0.2% | +1.9% | +2.7% | |
| Q1 2021 | +8.9% | +19.6% | +32.5% | |
| Q1 2022 | +8.9% | +19.6% | +32.5% | |
| Q4 2021 | -1.7% | -3.3% | -6.0% | |
| Q4 2019 | -1.7% | -3.3% | -6.0% | |
| Q3 2021 | +1.8% | -0.3% | +2.0% | |
| Q4 2020 | +1.8% | -0.3% | +2.0% | |
| Q3 2020 | +1.8% | -0.3% | +2.0% | |
| Q2 2020 | — | — | — | |
| Q1 2020 | — | — | — |
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