NASDAQ$FWRG

First Watch Restaurant Group Inc · Q1 2023 earnings

Q1 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported strong Q1 2023 financial results, driven by same-restaurant sales and traffic growth, along with increased operating profit margin and net income.

First Watch Restaurant Group reported a strong first quarter in 2023, with significant increases in total revenues, system-wide sales, and same-restaurant sales growth. The company's income from operations margin and restaurant level operating profit margin also increased, leading to a rise in net income and adjusted EBITDA. They also raised the 2023 Adjusted EBITDA guidance.

  • Total revenues increased by 22.1% to $211.4 million compared to Q1 2022.
  • Same-restaurant sales grew by 12.9% driven by same-restaurant traffic growth of 5.1%.
  • Net income increased to $9.4 million, or $0.15 per diluted share, compared to $4.6 million, or $0.08 per diluted share, in Q1 2022.
  • Adjusted EBITDA increased to $27.4 million from $19.4 million in Q1 2022.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$211M

Previous: $173M+22.1%
EPS (adj)

$0.15

Previous: $0.08+87.5%
Same-Restaurant Sales Growth

12.9%

Previous: 27.2%-52.6%
Same-Restaurant Traffic Growth

5.1%

Previous: 21.9%-76.7%
Restaurant Level Operating Profit Margin

21.2%

Previous: 19.6%+8.2%
Adjusted EBITDA

$27.4M

Previous: $19.4M+41.2%
Capital Expenditures

-$14.5M

Previous: -$11.4M-27.8%
Free Cash Flow

-$5.16M

Previous: -$6.72M+23.2%
Net Income

$9.36M

Previous: $4.64M+101.7%
Operating Income

$15.3M

Previous: $7.76M+97.6%
Gross Profit

-$163M

Previous: -$136M-19.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$54.4M

Previous: $46.5M+17.0%
Total Assets

$1.12B

Previous: $1.05B+6.3%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.5M

Previous: $2.29M-34.7%

Revenue & EPS history

First Watch · Revenue · Quarterly

$211M

Q1 2023+22.1%vs Q1 2022
Beat estimate in 9 of 15 quarters(60%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

First Watch · $211M total across 2 segments · Q1 2023

  • Restaurant Sales
    $208M+21.9%
  • Franchise Revenues
    $3.44M+40.7%

Forward guidance

The Company raises certain of its guidance for the 53-week fiscal year ended December 31, 2023:

Tailwinds

  • Total revenue growth in the range of 16.0% to 20.0%
  • Adjusted EBITDA in the range of $80.0 million to $85.0 million
  • Same-restaurant sales growth in the range of 6.0% to 8.0%
  • Positive same-restaurant traffic growth
  • Total of 45-51 new system-wide restaurants

Headwinds

  • Includes approximately 1.0% in total revenue growth associated with May 2023 franchise acquisition
  • Includes approximately $1.0 million in Adjusted EBITDA associated with May 2023 franchise acquisition
  • Updated blended tax rate in the range of 33.0% to 36.0%
  • Net of 3 company-owned restaurant closures
  • Capital expenditures in the range of $100.0 million to $110.0 million

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2023

Historical avgQ1 2023

-0.9%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.6%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.9%

Avg return

30 days after

39%

9 / 23 earnings

Positive

+15.5%

Q3 2024

Best reaction

-17.6%

Q1 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.1%-0.7%-16.0%
Q4 2025-10.7%-19.6%-29.6%
Q3 2025-3.9%-3.0%-1.3%
Q1 2025-17.6%-15.3%-19.8%
Q4 2024-7.0%-8.9%-3.6%
Q3 2024+15.5%+7.1%+5.9%
Q2 2024+10.8%+13.7%+11.0%
Q1 2024-13.1%-16.7%-24.9%
Q4 2023-3.8%-1.8%-10.0%
Q3 2023-0.3%+1.2%+12.1%
Q2 2023+2.8%+3.3%+2.6%
Q1 2023+2.3%+1.3%+6.8%
Q4 2022-3.3%-5.2%-6.0%
Q3 2022-11.4%-3.9%-12.4%
Q2 2022-0.2%+1.9%+2.7%
Q2 2021-0.2%+1.9%+2.7%
Q1 2021+8.9%+19.6%+32.5%
Q1 2022+8.9%+19.6%+32.5%
Q4 2021-1.7%-3.3%-6.0%
Q4 2019-1.7%-3.3%-6.0%
Q3 2021+1.8%-0.3%+2.0%
Q4 2020+1.8%-0.3%+2.0%
Q3 2020+1.8%-0.3%+2.0%
Q2 2020
Q1 2020

Discussion

Share your read of this quarter. Sign-in carries your eToro identity.

Join the conversation

Sign in with eToro to post your read of this quarter and vote on others'.

Sign in with eToro