NASDAQ$FWRG

First Watch Restaurant Group Inc · Q2 2025 earnings

Q2 2025 earnings · · Before market open · Investor relations

Briefing

First Watch Restaurant Group Inc reported Q2 2025 results with total revenues of $307.9 million and net income of $2.1 million.

The company achieved 19.1% revenue growth driven by new restaurant openings and same-restaurant sales growth of 3.5%. Net income declined to $2.1 million from $8.9 million in the prior year due to higher operating costs including commodity inflation. Restaurant level operating profit margin decreased to 18.6% while Adjusted EBITDA was $30.4 million.

  • Total revenues increased 19.1% to $307.9 million with 55 net new system-wide restaurants opened year-over-year.
  • Same-restaurant sales grew 3.5% and same-restaurant traffic grew 2.0%, marking the first positive traffic quarter since Q1 2023.
  • Income from operations margin fell to 2.4% from 6.4% year-over-year due to 8.1% commodity inflation and higher labor and occupancy costs.
  • Acquired 19 franchise restaurants and ended the quarter with 600 system-wide restaurants across 31 states.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$308M

Previous: $259M+19.1%
EPS (adj)

$0.03

Previous: $0.14-78.6%
Same-restaurant traffic growth

2.0%

No prior period
Adjusted EBITDA

$30.4M

No prior period
System-wide restaurants

600

No prior period
Same-restaurant sales growth

3.5%

Previous: -0.3%+1266.7%
Restaurant level operating profit margin

18.6%

Previous: 21.9%-15.1%
Capital Expenditures

-$77.7M

Previous: -$58.2M-33.5%
Net Income

$2.11M

Previous: $8.9M-76.3%
Operating Income

$7.31M

Previous: $16.4M-55.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$19.2M

Previous: $45.1M-57.5%
Total Assets

$1.68B

Previous: $1.44B+16.7%

Revenue & EPS history

First Watch · Revenue · Quarterly

$308M

Q2 2025+19.1%vs Q2 2024
Beat estimate in 9 of 16 quarters(56%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

First Watch · $308M total across 2 segments · Q2 2025

  • Restaurant sales
    $305M
  • Franchise revenues
    $2.9M

Forward guidance

Management expects positive traffic trends to continue through the second half of the year and full-year commodity inflation of 5% to 7%.

Tailwinds

  • First positive same-restaurant traffic growth since Q1 2023
  • Continued new restaurant development momentum

Headwinds

  • Elevated egg costs expected to moderate but still impacting margins
  • Wage inflation projected at 3% to 4% for the full year

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports

Historical avg

-0.9%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.6%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.9%

Avg return

30 days after

39%

9 / 23 earnings

Positive

+15.5%

Q3 2024

Best reaction

-17.6%

Q1 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q2 2025
Q1 2026-0.1%-0.7%-16.0%
Q4 2025-10.7%-19.6%-29.6%
Q3 2025-3.9%-3.0%-1.3%
Q1 2025-17.6%-15.3%-19.8%
Q4 2024-7.0%-8.9%-3.6%
Q3 2024+15.5%+7.1%+5.9%
Q2 2024+10.8%+13.7%+11.0%
Q1 2024-13.1%-16.7%-24.9%
Q4 2023-3.8%-1.8%-10.0%
Q3 2023-0.3%+1.2%+12.1%
Q2 2023+2.8%+3.3%+2.6%
Q1 2023+2.3%+1.3%+6.8%
Q4 2022-3.3%-5.2%-6.0%
Q3 2022-11.4%-3.9%-12.4%
Q2 2022-0.2%+1.9%+2.7%
Q2 2021-0.2%+1.9%+2.7%
Q1 2021+8.9%+19.6%+32.5%
Q1 2022+8.9%+19.6%+32.5%
Q4 2021-1.7%-3.3%-6.0%
Q4 2019-1.7%-3.3%-6.0%
Q4 2020+1.8%-0.3%+2.0%
Q3 2021+1.8%-0.3%+2.0%
Q3 2020+1.8%-0.3%+2.0%
Q2 2020
Q1 2020

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