NASDAQ$FWRG

First Watch Restaurant Group Inc · Q1 2024 earnings

Q1 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

First Watch reported a solid quarter with positive same restaurant sales and year-over-year adjusted EBITDA growth.

First Watch reported a 14.7% increase in total revenues to $242.4 million. Same-restaurant sales growth was 0.5%. Net income decreased to $7.2 million, or $0.12 per diluted share. Adjusted EBITDA increased to $28.6 million.

  • Total revenues increased 14.7% to $242.4 million.
  • System-wide sales increased 9.4% to $289.6 million.
  • Same-restaurant sales growth of 0.5% and same-restaurant traffic growth of (4.5)%.
  • Net income decreased to $7.2 million, or $0.12 per diluted share.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$242M

Previous: $211M+14.7%
EPS

$0.12

Previous: $0.15-20.0%
Restaurant Level Operating Profit Margin

20.8%

Previous: 21.2%-1.9%
Adjusted EBITDA

$28.6M

Previous: $27.4M+4.3%
Capital Expenditures

-$28.6M

Previous: -$14.5M-96.9%
Free Cash Flow

-$21.4M

Previous: -$5.16M-314.2%
Net Income

$7.21M

Previous: $9.36M-22.9%
Operating Income

$12.3M

Previous: $15.3M-19.9%
Gross Profit

-$188M

Previous: -$163M-15.4%
Cash & Equivalents

$43.2M

Previous: $54.4M-20.5%
Total Assets

$1.28B

Previous: $1.12B+14.7%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.87M

Previous: $1.5M+24.6%

Revenue & EPS history

First Watch · Revenue · Quarterly

$242M

Q1 2024+14.7%vs Q1 2023
Beat estimate in 9 of 15 quarters(60%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

First Watch · $211M total across 2 segments · Q1 2023

  • Restaurant Sales
    $208M+21.9%
  • Franchise Revenues
    $3.44M+40.7%

Forward guidance

Management provides the following updated outlook for the 52-week fiscal year ending December 29, 2024: Same-restaurant sales growth in a range of flat-to-up 2.0%. Total revenue growth in the range of 17.0% to 19.0%. Total of 51 to 57 new system-wide restaurants, net of 1 company-owned and 1 franchise-owned restaurant closure (44 to 48 new company-owned restaurants and 9 to 11 new franchise-owned restaurants).

Tailwinds

  • Same-restaurant sales growth in a range of flat-to-up 2.0%
  • Total revenue growth in the range of 17.0% to 19.0%
  • Total of 51 to 57 new system-wide restaurants
  • 44 to 48 new company-owned restaurants
  • 9 to 11 new franchise-owned restaurants

Headwinds

  • Same restaurant traffic growth in the negative low single digits.
  • Adjusted EBITDA in the range of $106.0 million to $112.0 million
  • Blended tax rate in the range of 27.0% to 29.0%
  • Capital expenditures in the range of $125.0 million to $135.0 million invested primarily in new restaurant projects and planned remodels
  • Net of 1 company-owned and 1 franchise-owned restaurant closure

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2024

Historical avgQ1 2024

-0.9%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.6%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.9%

Avg return

30 days after

39%

9 / 23 earnings

Positive

+15.5%

Q3 2024

Best reaction

-17.6%

Q1 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.1%-0.7%-16.0%
Q4 2025-10.7%-19.6%-29.6%
Q3 2025-3.9%-3.0%-1.3%
Q1 2025-17.6%-15.3%-19.8%
Q4 2024-7.0%-8.9%-3.6%
Q3 2024+15.5%+7.1%+5.9%
Q2 2024+10.8%+13.7%+11.0%
Q1 2024-13.1%-16.7%-24.9%
Q4 2023-3.8%-1.8%-10.0%
Q3 2023-0.3%+1.2%+12.1%
Q2 2023+2.8%+3.3%+2.6%
Q1 2023+2.3%+1.3%+6.8%
Q4 2022-3.3%-5.2%-6.0%
Q3 2022-11.4%-3.9%-12.4%
Q2 2022-0.2%+1.9%+2.7%
Q2 2021-0.2%+1.9%+2.7%
Q1 2021+8.9%+19.6%+32.5%
Q1 2022+8.9%+19.6%+32.5%
Q4 2021-1.7%-3.3%-6.0%
Q4 2019-1.7%-3.3%-6.0%
Q3 2021+1.8%-0.3%+2.0%
Q4 2020+1.8%-0.3%+2.0%
Q3 2020+1.8%-0.3%+2.0%
Q2 2020
Q1 2020

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