NASDAQ$FOSL

Fossil Group Inc. · Q4 2024 earnings

Q4 2024 earnings · · After market close · Investor relations

Briefing

Fossil reported a decline in revenue and net income for Q4 2024, but showed improvements in gross margin and adjusted operating income.

Fossil Group faced a revenue decline of 18.8% year-over-year in Q4 2024, with all segments and regions experiencing a downturn. However, the company managed to improve its gross margin by 630 basis points and generated positive free cash flow. Adjusted EPS was $0.39, contrasting with a GAAP loss per share of $0.14.

  • Revenue declined by 18.8% to $342.3 million due to weak consumer demand and store closures.
  • Gross margin increased to 53.9%, benefiting from product mix improvements and cost efficiencies.
  • Adjusted operating income improved to $20.1 million, compared to a loss of $8.5 million in Q4 2023.
  • The company ended the quarter with $123.6 million in cash and $177 million in total liquidity.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$342M

Previous: $421M-18.8%
EPS (adj)

$0.39

Previous: -$0.30+230.0%
Operating Margin

-4.8%

Previous: -5.7%+15.8%
Inventory

$179M

Previous: $253M-29.4%
SG&A Expenses

$172M

Previous: $208M-17.1%
Gross Margin

53.9%

Previous: 47.6%+13.2%
Capital Expenditures

-$2.03M

Previous: $1.38M-247.1%
Net Income

-$7.6M

Previous: -$28.2M+73.0%
Operating Income

-$16.3M

Previous: -$7.59M-114.9%
Gross Profit

$185M

Previous: $200M-7.8%

Revenue & EPS history

Fossil · Revenue · Quarterly

$342M

Q4 2024-18.8%vs Q4 2023
Beat estimate in 6 of 11 quarters(55%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Fossil · $225M total across 4 segments · Q1 2026

  • Watches
    $190M
  • Jewelry
    $20.1M
  • Leathers
    $10.6M
  • Other
    $3.52M

Forward guidance

Fossil expects a continued sales decline in 2025 but plans to improve profitability through cost reductions and store closures.

Tailwinds

  • Gross margin improvements expected to continue.
  • SG&A savings of approximately $100 million planned for 2025.
  • Strategic shift to core product categories to drive future growth.
  • Ongoing transition to a more profitable wholesale and digital model.
  • Enhanced liquidity position to support restructuring efforts.

Headwinds

  • Expected sales decline in the mid to high teens for 2025.
  • Continued pressure on revenue due to store closures.
  • Weak consumer demand across major markets.
  • Currency headwinds may continue to impact profitability.
  • Uncertainty around the impact of strategic changes on long-term growth.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2024

Historical avgQ4 2024

+0.8%

Avg return

Earnings day

+4.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+5.9%

Avg return

30 days after

45%

29 / 65 earnings

Positive

+102.3%

Q4 2017

Best reaction

-37.8%

Q3 2015

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+5.6%-6.1%
Q4 2025+16.8%+14.3%+24.8%
Q3 2025-9.2%-3.3%+85.7%
Q2 2025+31.5%+74.6%+72.4%
Q1 2025+18.0%+34.1%+5.6%
Q4 2024+29.1%+3.1%-23.6%
Q3 2024-10.8%-6.9%+51.5%
Q2 2024+1.8%-0.9%-2.8%
Q1 2024-4.7%+6.2%+25.8%
Q4 2023-5.6%-1.2%+4.7%
Q3 2023-34.3%-35.4%-28.1%
Q2 2023-10.4%-16.3%-17.9%
Q1 2023-9.2%-32.3%-27.2%
Q4 2022-13.4%-15.3%-24.9%
Q3 2022+10.3%+17.7%+21.6%
Q2 2022-4.2%-12.1%-40.2%
Q1 2022-10.2%-10.9%-23.3%
Q4 2021-28.3%-36.3%-25.3%
Q3 2021+16.7%+13.0%-28.2%
Q2 2021+9.1%+7.6%-3.7%
Q1 2021+0.7%+20.8%+38.6%
Q3 2020+18.1%+42.9%+111.3%
Q2 2020+10.2%+18.9%+50.1%
Q1 2020+27.1%+136.2%+29.2%
Q4 2019-19.4%-19.6%-36.2%
Q3 2019-23.4%-36.5%-42.9%
Q2 2019+9.1%-4.4%+34.6%
Q1 2019+17.0%+9.1%-10.4%
Q4 2018-5.9%-8.2%-9.6%
Q3 2018-7.7%-16.9%-25.7%
Q2 2018-18.9%-18.7%-19.4%
Q1 2018+23.1%+27.5%+90.6%
Q4 2017+102.3%+73.1%+38.4%
Q3 2017-18.8%-5.4%-3.9%
Q2 2017-20.8%-26.8%-21.7%
Q1 2017-16.9%-24.4%-38.5%
Q4 2016-15.2%-9.8%-27.1%
Q3 2016-0.6%+5.7%+27.0%
Q2 2016-0.6%+2.9%-8.4%
Q1 2016-27.9%
Q4 2015+32.9%
Q3 2015-37.8%
Q2 2015-6.0%
Q1 2015-5.6%
Q4 2014-15.0%
Q3 2014+9.0%
Q2 2014-6.5%
Q1 2014-10.8%
Q4 2013+5.3%
Q3 2013-1.3%
Q2 2013+12.8%
Q1 2013+10.7%
Q4 2012-2.1%
Q3 2012-10.8%
Q2 2012+25.2%
Q1 2012+4.8%
Q4 2011+3.6%
Q3 2011+1.2%
Q2 2011+9.5%
Q4 2009+6.9%
Q1 2011+3.1%
Q3 2010-1.3%
Q4 2010-1.1%
Q2 2010-1.1%
Q1 2010-4.6%

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