NASDAQ$FOSL

Fossil Group Inc. · Q1 2021 earnings

Q1 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Fossil's first quarter performance was marked by better-than-expected sales, driven by improved consumer demand in the U.S., strength in Mainland China, and digital channel growth, alongside solid gross margins and cost control, leading to improved profitability.

Fossil Group, Inc. reported a 7% decrease in worldwide net sales to $363 million, but experienced a 40% growth in digital sales. The company's gross margin improved to 50.3%, and operating expenses were reduced by $75 million. The operating loss was reduced to $17 million, and the company achieved its New World Fossil 2.0 program financial targets.

  • Worldwide net sales decreased by 7% to $363 million, but digital sales grew by 40%.
  • Gross margin increased to 50.3% due to reduced inventory valuation adjustments and minimum licensed product royalties.
  • Operating expenses decreased by $75 million, including $53 million in cost reduction from the New World Fossil 2.0 program.
  • Operating loss improved to $17 million compared to $134 million in the previous year.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$363M

Previous: $391M-7.1%
EPS (adj)

-$0.35

Previous: -$1.49+76.5%
Capital Expenditures

-$2.14M

Previous: -$2.85M+25.1%
Free Cash Flow

-$26.5M

Previous: -$88.3M+70.0%
Net Income

-$24.3M

Previous: -$85.4M+71.5%
Operating Income

-$16.8M

Previous: -$134M+87.5%
Gross Profit

$183M

Previous: $140M+30.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$247M

Previous: $245M+0.5%
Total Assets

$1.35B

Previous: $1.53B-12.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Fossil · Revenue · Quarterly

$363M

Q1 2021-7.1%vs Q1 2020
Beat estimate in 7 of 16 quarters(44%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Fossil · $363M total across 4 segments · Q1 2021

  • Watches
    $292M
  • Leathers
    $34M
  • Jewelry
    $30M
  • Other
    $7M

Forward guidance

For fiscal year 2021, the Company now expects worldwide net sales growth of approximately 12% to 16% as compared to fiscal 2020 and Adjusted EBITDA margin of approximately 5% to 7%. For the 13-week quarter ending July 3, 2021, worldwide net sales are expected to increase in the range of 50% to 55% compared to the 13-week quarter ended July 4, 2020, primarily reflecting the current level of pandemic restrictions in key markets compared to last year.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2021

Historical avgQ1 2021

+0.8%

Avg return

Earnings day

+4.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+5.9%

Avg return

30 days after

45%

29 / 65 earnings

Positive

+102.3%

Q4 2017

Best reaction

-37.8%

Q3 2015

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+5.6%-6.1%
Q4 2025+16.8%+14.3%+24.8%
Q3 2025-9.2%-3.3%+85.7%
Q2 2025+31.5%+74.6%+72.4%
Q1 2025+18.0%+34.1%+5.6%
Q4 2024+29.1%+3.1%-23.6%
Q3 2024-10.8%-6.9%+51.5%
Q2 2024+1.8%-0.9%-2.8%
Q1 2024-4.7%+6.2%+25.8%
Q4 2023-5.6%-1.2%+4.7%
Q3 2023-34.3%-35.4%-28.1%
Q2 2023-10.4%-16.3%-17.9%
Q1 2023-9.2%-32.3%-27.2%
Q4 2022-13.4%-15.3%-24.9%
Q3 2022+10.3%+17.7%+21.6%
Q2 2022-4.2%-12.1%-40.2%
Q1 2022-10.2%-10.9%-23.3%
Q4 2021-28.3%-36.3%-25.3%
Q3 2021+16.7%+13.0%-28.2%
Q2 2021+9.1%+7.6%-3.7%
Q1 2021+0.7%+20.8%+38.6%
Q3 2020+18.1%+42.9%+111.3%
Q2 2020+10.2%+18.9%+50.1%
Q1 2020+27.1%+136.2%+29.2%
Q4 2019-19.4%-19.6%-36.2%
Q3 2019-23.4%-36.5%-42.9%
Q2 2019+9.1%-4.4%+34.6%
Q1 2019+17.0%+9.1%-10.4%
Q4 2018-5.9%-8.2%-9.6%
Q3 2018-7.7%-16.9%-25.7%
Q2 2018-18.9%-18.7%-19.4%
Q1 2018+23.1%+27.5%+90.6%
Q4 2017+102.3%+73.1%+38.4%
Q3 2017-18.8%-5.4%-3.9%
Q2 2017-20.8%-26.8%-21.7%
Q1 2017-16.9%-24.4%-38.5%
Q4 2016-15.2%-9.8%-27.1%
Q3 2016-0.6%+5.7%+27.0%
Q2 2016-0.6%+2.9%-8.4%
Q1 2016-27.9%
Q4 2015+32.9%
Q3 2015-37.8%
Q2 2015-6.0%
Q1 2015-5.6%
Q4 2014-15.0%
Q3 2014+9.0%
Q2 2014-6.5%
Q1 2014-10.8%
Q4 2013+5.3%
Q3 2013-1.3%
Q2 2013+12.8%
Q1 2013+10.7%
Q4 2012-2.1%
Q3 2012-10.8%
Q2 2012+25.2%
Q1 2012+4.8%
Q4 2011+3.6%
Q3 2011+1.2%
Q2 2011+9.5%
Q4 2009+6.9%
Q1 2011+3.1%
Q3 2010-1.3%
Q4 2010-1.1%
Q2 2010-1.1%
Q1 2010-4.6%

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