NASDAQ$FOSL

Fossil Group Inc. · Q1 2024 earnings

Q1 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Fossil Group announced a decrease in worldwide net sales but expanded gross margins due to the TAG plan.

Fossil Group's Q1 2024 net sales decreased by 22% to $255 million, but gross margins expanded by 300 basis points to 52.4%. The company narrowed its adjusted operating loss compared to the previous year, driven by the Transform and Grow (TAG) Plan. They are maintaining their full year 2024 outlook.

  • Worldwide net sales decreased 22% to $255 million, or 21% in constant currency.
  • Gross margins expanded 300 basis points to 52.4%.
  • Operating loss was $29 million, an improvement from $37 million year-over-year.
  • Inventory decreased 33% year-over-year to $224 million; cash and cash equivalents totaled $113 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$255M

Previous: $325M-21.6%
EPS

-$0.46

Previous: -$0.61+24.6%
Operating Margin

-11.5%

No prior period
SG&A Expenses

$152M

No prior period
Gross Margin

52.4%

Previous: 49.4%+6.1%
Capital Expenditures

-$1.68M

Previous: -$2.61M+35.7%
Free Cash Flow

-$26M

Previous: -$43.8M+40.6%
Net Income

-$24.3M

Previous: -$41.2M+41.0%
Operating Income

-$29.2M

Previous: -$37.3M+21.7%
Gross Profit

$133M

Previous: $161M-16.9%
Cash & Equivalents

$113M

Previous: $127M-11.2%
Total Assets

$891M

Previous: $1.09B-18.0%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.01M

Previous: $1.36M-25.8%

Revenue & EPS history

Fossil · Revenue · Quarterly

$255M

Q1 2024-21.6%vs Q1 2023
Beat estimate in 6 of 11 quarters(55%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Fossil · $225M total across 4 segments · Q1 2026

  • Watches
    $190M
  • Jewelry
    $20.1M
  • Leathers
    $10.6M
  • Other
    $3.52M

Forward guidance

Fossil Group is reiterating its full year financial outlook for 2024. Worldwide net sales are expected to be approximately $1.2 billion and adjusted operating margin is expected to be in the range of -3% to -5%.

Tailwinds

  • The Company expects to generate positive free cash flow in full year 2024, inclusive of tax refunds of approximately $57 million, which were received in the second quarter of 2024.

Headwinds

  • Worldwide net sales are expected to be approximately $1.2 billion, reflecting consumer and channel softness.
  • Net sales will have approximately $100 million of negative impact related to the exit of its smartwatch business.
  • Net sales will have a negative impact due to the closure of Fossil retail stores.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2024

Historical avgQ1 2024

+0.8%

Avg return

Earnings day

+4.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+5.9%

Avg return

30 days after

45%

29 / 65 earnings

Positive

+102.3%

Q4 2017

Best reaction

-37.8%

Q3 2015

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+5.6%-6.1%+6.6%
Q4 2025+16.8%+14.3%+24.8%
Q3 2025-9.2%-3.3%+85.7%
Q2 2025+31.5%+74.6%+72.4%
Q1 2025+18.0%+34.1%+5.6%
Q4 2024+29.1%+3.1%-23.6%
Q3 2024-10.8%-6.9%+51.5%
Q2 2024+1.8%-0.9%-2.8%
Q1 2024-4.7%+6.2%+25.8%
Q4 2023-5.6%-1.2%+4.7%
Q3 2023-34.3%-35.4%-28.1%
Q2 2023-10.4%-16.3%-17.9%
Q1 2023-9.2%-32.3%-27.2%
Q4 2022-13.4%-15.3%-24.9%
Q3 2022+10.3%+17.7%+21.6%
Q2 2022-4.2%-12.1%-40.2%
Q1 2022-10.2%-10.9%-23.3%
Q4 2021-28.3%-36.3%-25.3%
Q3 2021+16.7%+13.0%-28.2%
Q2 2021+9.1%+7.6%-3.7%
Q1 2021+0.7%+20.8%+38.6%
Q3 2020+18.1%+42.9%+111.3%
Q2 2020+10.2%+18.9%+50.1%
Q1 2020+27.1%+136.2%+29.2%
Q4 2019-19.4%-19.6%-36.2%
Q3 2019-23.4%-36.5%-42.9%
Q2 2019+9.1%-4.4%+34.6%
Q1 2019+17.0%+9.1%-10.4%
Q4 2018-5.9%-8.2%-9.6%
Q3 2018-7.7%-16.9%-25.7%
Q2 2018-18.9%-18.7%-19.4%
Q1 2018+23.1%+27.5%+90.6%
Q4 2017+102.3%+73.1%+38.4%
Q3 2017-18.8%-5.4%-3.9%
Q2 2017-20.8%-26.8%-21.7%
Q1 2017-16.9%-24.4%-38.5%
Q4 2016-15.2%-9.8%-27.1%
Q3 2016-0.6%+5.7%+27.0%
Q2 2016-0.6%+2.9%-8.4%
Q1 2016-27.9%
Q4 2015+32.9%
Q3 2015-37.8%
Q2 2015-6.0%
Q1 2015-5.6%
Q4 2014-15.0%
Q3 2014+9.0%
Q2 2014-6.5%
Q1 2014-10.8%
Q4 2013+5.3%
Q3 2013-1.3%
Q2 2013+12.8%
Q1 2013+10.7%
Q4 2012-2.1%
Q3 2012-10.8%
Q2 2012+25.2%
Q1 2012+4.8%
Q4 2011+3.6%
Q3 2011+1.2%
Q2 2011+9.5%
Q4 2009+6.9%
Q1 2011+3.1%
Q3 2010-1.3%
Q4 2010-1.1%
Q2 2010-1.1%
Q1 2010-4.6%

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